Self-destructive sun likely with strong cold pool aloft. Could see a lot of afternoon showers.
Coastal threats popping up as well midweek and weekend. Rare May flakes are not out of the question.
Models could be too quick to break down the pattern but as of now there's hints of warmer weather near or just after mid May.
A lot of morning cloud debris could make 80F out of reach, will be close.
Nicest day in weeks. Tomorrow looks awesome too then things go downhill.
Next weekend looks yuck. Multiple highs in 50s lows in 30s. Frost/freeze potential in colder areas probable.
I guess it could be worse. I've seen highs in the 40s for May before.
Blockbuster type pattern had it been Nov-March. Even early to mid April it would've been good.
Models could be overdoing the amplification though but I do think we'll see some 30s before mid May.
By May even cooler weather still feels okay. The exception is a coastal or any prolonged onshore flow.
That being said a high in the 50s is definitely well below normal for May which is pushing 70+ for climo.
May is always a marginal month for severe and the pattern starting next week will put a lid on severe threats.
Don't think things will change much until late May or June.
50s and potentially 30s for lows is very cool for May and is relatively chilly.
Still it could be a lot worse and it may very well be.
I'm seeing hints of a -NAO/AO along with a -EPO which could be a prelude to rare mid May coastal storms.
There's been a trend to slow it down. Sunday will easily be the better day.
Just checking Boston 10 day and yeesh it's like in the low-mid 50s everyday.
That's like March down here, how do you guys survive such prolonged dreariness.
Agreed though I'm not sure it'll surpass 77F.
I don't see anything that says prolonged warm pattern. If anything things get more anomalous by May 10 & beyond as we see more -EPO influence and +PNA.
Some rare 30s for lows wouldn't be shocking this May.
Definitely thought this would've occurred in March like past years but March-May have been flip-flopping where at least one of those months torch.
This year it was March as April is a lock to be BN and May looks to be heading that way too.
There's a transient ridge that allows warmer air to come in but general blockiness out west means any ridging will be temporary.
In fact the ridging in the west will only intensify which means the trough in the east will get deeper after May 4th.
Also seeing ridging in EPO/AO/NAO regions as well which will only reinforce the cooler/stormy pattern.
There's a lot of heat in the south though. Gulf is on fire.
I think once this cool pattern breaks we may be in for some sizzling temperatures.
I do think it'll be active though and the tropics will be extra active this year.
Could be even cooler with widespread clouds/rain.
When the pattern does break either later in May or June we'll jump right into mid-summer most likely.
GFS/Euro actually look a lot more promising with regards to warm spring weather.
Wonder if it's real or another head fake. EPS is still generally cool though it has a couple warmer days poking through over next 10 days.