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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Yup a good 10 degrees colder just away from the metro. 47F for me, probably the coldest we'll see until September.
  2. SnoSki14
    Would be nice if this could hold for next fall/winter. Also wow at the dramatic turnaround from record low heights.
  3. SnoSki14
    Nonstop cloud to cloud lightning with that last line of storms, some wind but not much else.
  4. SnoSki14
    There's a ton of onshore flow possible end of this week into next along with the decent two day NW flow cool down Mon-Tue. 90+ readings will be very unlikely in this pattern. Even 85+ will be hard to come by. I'm not sure when this will change, these stuck patterns last for months.
  5. SnoSki14
    Onshore flow for days, lots of clouds and BN highs.
  6. SnoSki14
    I'll be impressed if highs can stay in the 60s under mostly sunny skies in early June. Lows also forecast to be in the upper 40s, both very rare without a major onshore flow event.
  7. SnoSki14
    Not much going on, last couple days felt very early fall like However overall activity in PA/NJ in late May could signal an active severe season once we get into July/August given the cyclical pattern we've been in.
  8. SnoSki14
    Agree it's been mostly a decent spring in NJ, not so much in parts of LI but that's par for the course in nearly every Spring. June 10 onward should feel more summery as the blocking influences continue to deteriorate.
  9. SnoSki14
    How am I trolling, I'm looking at the radar.
  10. SnoSki14
    The whole line is weakening, even the rain shouldn't be very heavy. Another disappointing severe weather day here.
  11. SnoSki14
    High shear, low CAPE type storms with a strong frontal boundary in place, so I think we will get a good smack especially just S/W of the city.
  12. SnoSki14
    Strong gradient over NJ & frontal boundary has elevated storms in the past. Models still hit us pretty hard.
  13. SnoSki14
    I like tomorrow's threat even moreso than today's, I think we'll have less junk to deal with early on too.
  14. SnoSki14
    That looks really impressive, a tornado or waterspout with that one would not surprise me.
  15. SnoSki14
    As I said earlier, morning to afternoon showers killed what could've been a really significant event.
  16. SnoSki14
    Suns out now and temp up to 77F, getting increasingly unstable in a hurry, maybe we won't bust this time. Impressive activity in PA
  17. SnoSki14
    RAP really tries to advect the unstable parameters N&E, will see if it holds any weight. Temps now climbing above 70, dews in the mid 60s.
  18. SnoSki14
    PA is in line for more tornadoes, par the course this year, hopefully they don't see anything like Dayton.
  19. SnoSki14
    My. Holly noted that the severe strongly depended on what happens with the weakening MCS. It's already 1230 and showers are still affecting the area and will continue to do so. Greatest threat will be SE PA, southern third of NJ. Threats dead north of there IMO. If you check out the instability parameters (CAPE, Shear, Supercell) they are targeting SNJ, SE PA. Some of that may affect N&E but not enough to help us.
  20. SnoSki14
    Morning activity has already killed this threat.
  21. SnoSki14
    We should've seen the high temperature potential busting this week. Won't get higher than the low 80s and should mainly stay in the upper 70s. Good news if you hate high heat. Will probably have to wait till July for it.
  22. SnoSki14
    Models have backed off from the extreme heat 95+ but a couple shots of 90 are still possible. However things probably drop into the 70s or lower in between the hotter shots (Gfs shows 50s during the afternoon on Tue). High latitude blocking is preventing the SE ridge from dominating our weather. Wonder how long that lasts.
  23. SnoSki14
    I'm not getting my hopes up, all I ask is for a decent strong storm. Skies are still cloudy by me.
  24. SnoSki14
    Looks like we're back in the slight risk for severe storms later today. Enhanced covering most of PA into West NJ border. It all depends how well the airmass can destabilize after this morning's rain/storms.
  25. SnoSki14
    Dipping into the 40s now, a big drop from near 90 on Sunday.
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