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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Euro seems pretty convinced of that cutoff and blocking high. There's also a clear SW trend with the cutoff. I don't think Teddy will get that far west because of how far east it is to begin with but it's an intriguing setup nonetheless.
  2. SnoSki14
    40s this morning, probably the coolest weather since May or about 4 months. Looks really cool this weekend and I wouldn't be surprised to see lows undercutting guidance by several degrees so upper 30s maybe? Interesting that forecast discussion points out smoke will keep temps down several degrees today. Likely had an impact yesterday as well.
  3. SnoSki14
    Yeah the cooling is not something we're used to. I see multiple highs in the 60s starting Friday with lows in the mid 40s for next weekend. Tonight into tomorrow looks coolish as well. Should help jumpstart the foliage.
  4. SnoSki14
    Something could develop off the SE coast next week under the large high in the northeast. Models hinting that could become a coastal storm or subtropical storm as it moves north.
  5. SnoSki14
    That looks a bit more favorable for winter if that type of pattern were to hold. Maybe more like 16/17.
  6. SnoSki14
    It's like talking to a brick wall. You could present 1000s of examples and they'll make an excuse for all of them. Don't waste your breath.
  7. SnoSki14
    It'll still likely average AN but it'll certainly feel much cooler than we're used to with actual BN days. Looks like the heat will stay in the west and northern plains for now.
  8. SnoSki14
    Maybe but the window is rapidly closing. We'll probably just see more the same above normal, dewey weather. There are a couple autumnal like cool intrusions though.
  9. SnoSki14
    Barely anything with this.
  10. SnoSki14
    This sucker is poised to be a major (3rd after Paulette) and I have zero doubt it'll impact the US eventually but all those island interactions will complicate things.
  11. SnoSki14
    Looks like a bust for NJ. HRRR is very dry.
  12. SnoSki14
    Barely anything in central nj, looks like everything is east.
  13. SnoSki14
    That would be the one to watch. The other one near Bermuda should be a nice wave maker if it gets to major status. PNA expected to tank which means strong ridging building out east.
  14. SnoSki14
    I see this year as a late bloomer. Late September through October could be very active with a rather late onset of Nina conditions.
  15. SnoSki14
    Outside of no snow at all I agree.
  16. SnoSki14
    Also if we are back to the 30s-50s does that mean the Arctic was as warm and sea ice as low back then as it is now?
  17. SnoSki14
    Oh man get ready for another torch then. We saw how those past "favorable" analogs worked out. I think I'd feel better if every forecast called for a torchy, snowless winter right now.
  18. SnoSki14
    Models are all over the place but the Euro likely has the best handle on things. We'll see if there's any consistency today, of course anything beyond a few days is a total crapshoot.
  19. SnoSki14
    Humans developed nuclear weapons that could literally destroy the atmosphere. We're responsible for mass ecological extinctions. You have to be a complete fool to think humans can't overpower natural forces but please stay ignorant.
  20. SnoSki14
    Wow that's ridiculous. From the furnace to the freezer.
  21. SnoSki14
    And it'll likely never happen again pending some unforeseen major event.
  22. SnoSki14
    I'd be shocked if 99L isn't a storm by tomorrow. This is a well developed wave near peak under favorable conditions. Keep an eye out this could sneak up on models.
  23. SnoSki14
    Decent pattern if we could get a storm around there. Core of the trough should stay over the Midwest with ridging in NE Canada and off the coast at times.
  24. SnoSki14
    There appears to be a high likelihood of a storm targeting the east coast in about 10-14 days. Too early to say if the steering pattern would allow for impacts but the trend this summer has been for increased ridging especially over NE Canada and we've already had 2 systems impact the northeast.
  25. SnoSki14
    Storms have had trouble developing until they get closer, very 2005 esque in that regard. Steering pattern will be very favorable for US impacts going into September. I expect models to show more development soon.
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