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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. If the center can align better with the mlc then she could get to 60-65mph. Doesn't look bad on IR. I'm predicting stronger impacts than currently forecast. Some 6"+ amounts likely.
  2. Sounds like it'd be a good hit. Heaviest stuff will be north east of center.
  3. Storms like Fay will likely become more common in the future. Who knows soon we might get a home grown cane developing off the Delmarva.
  4. GFS is a bit further west but most models lean more east right now. NYC metro could be near jackpot zone with rains.
  5. Bring it, enough boring weather it's time for some extremes.
  6. Precip looks to pivot N&W west even if it stays east. We'd likely get some tropical enhancement due to its close proximity. Also if it stays broad and/or subtropical which is more likely then the location of the CoC won't matter much in terms of impact.
  7. Thinking Friday is much more active than expected. TS Fay is looking more and more likely.
  8. I'm not sure I've ever seen that on radar, at least not in our area.
  9. Next week looks really hot. If we avoid onshore flow and clouds we could see mid to upper 90s for several days. The recent dry weather would even argue for higher temps.
  10. I don't see anything beyond what we've been seeing so far. Probably just upper 80s to low 90s. Nothing crazy for July. 2010-2011 ain't walking through that door. The strongest heat will likely be to our north this season.
  11. If it meets the criteria then it should get a name. Dolly definitely met the criteria for a TS.
  12. Euro night and day vs yesterday. July 4th weekend remains a question mark.
  13. Overnight Euro is already pulling back on any extreme heat. Looks like another omega block showing up. Cutoff with onshore flow to start July, could exit by July 4th though these systems tend to stick around longer. GFS OP would be very cool to start July.
  14. I don't see anything beyond low 90s, there's also hints of more onshore flow. I don't buy the big heat the Euro is selling.
  15. Euro/EPS definitely showing more of a cutoff situation again. Looks like typical early summer weather with us probably averaging slightly AN due to warm mins. Have to watch for more onshore flow though which will keep temps down.
  16. Not too concerned about drought where I am. Doesn't take much to get a good quick soaking in the summer and we're actually near normal for June with stormier conditions on the way.
  17. The subtropical ridge has shifted so far north that we're getting onshore flow on the backside of it. But yes it is pretty incredible, the Siberian heat is also extremely unusual.
  18. The dry weather could actually aid in us getting 100s in July/August if a pattern develops that can funnel that kind of heat. Also 90s delayed not denied for early next week instead of this weekend?
  19. Huh? Guidance shows large +PNA and troughiness in the east late June into July. There's no evidence of any prolonged hot spell.
  20. A lot of that will get knocked down in the days ahead. We'll see what happens post easterly flow.
  21. Another near 90F day today. Probably the warmest day for a while though Tue/Wed could be pretty warm.
  22. It'll be interesting. 2020 would be the year for some catastrophic 1938 style cane.
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