SnoSki14

Wrong again or should we remove the past couple days from the data set too.

The big ridges progged have really been muted significantly but we could still see a day or two of heat really pop like on Wednesday.

If the weakness that takes it east of FL is weaker or the ridge is a bit stronger than it would've been a hit. At the very least it'll make things somewhat interesting.

I'm not sure why so many think we could be affected by a tropical system next week, a million things would have to align for the Euro solution to happen. I see the synoptics, storm moves through Bahamas just east of Florida and then turns N/NE into a weakness. Ridge reforms to its N/NE and storm turns back to the NW and hits someone on the coast. Question is how strong will the system be, how strong will be weakness/ridge be, and where will the storm initially go. Will it be near the Gulf like GFS or east of Florida.

I was starting to wonder when we'd get a fantasy run that shoots a cane up here.

Looks like an Omega high type of pattern or at least that's what models are leaning towards.

Yeah 90 will probably be the best we can do. Overall I'm seeing mostly 80s for the next 10 days or so, which is solidly AN. Wonder if the blocking will return.

Not in your lifetime. Best bet is another Irene, maybe a 1944 or 38 at worst within the next 50 years. A Gloria is most likely sometime within the next 5-10 years.

Lol wasn't that silly. In reality it'll probably be another +2 to +3 type of month mostly due to very high mins. 90s could still be hard to hit outside warmest spots due to the dirty ridging and tropical influences.

You're getting torched, high dew, high temp stuff for a very long time. Welcome back summer.

I think September 2019 will be the hottest September on record. The ridging looks incredible and doesn't fade. GFS has days and days of 90s and lows not dropping below low 70s for numerous days after 9/10. Wow

Looks like a large ridge will develop over us and stay there so more 90s will be possible. Also allows any tropical system to make it to the US.

This one band is delivering moderate to heavy rains.

Southern spots possibly though models have been trending weaker with any heat potential. Only see low 80s in my forecast.

And today was the last of the 90s until next year.

More like 1 in 750. In fact we're far more likely to see a LI express than a Sandy.

90s after 9/10 would indicate records being broken. There is evidence of a substantial ridge building in around that time though however 90s will be a tough sell, definitely not happening for the city.

Wrong again

The troughs have been quite strong since late August and there's a nice PNA building. I know 9/10 times nothing ever happens but it's not like there's anything else going on.

I think 90s are possible on Wednesday, then a huge drop Thursday/Friday (60s) as Dorian heads OTS.

Next Tue/Wed will be the last shot I think. After that things turn cool for a while. Even if the 2nd half of September is warm to very warm you would still need a highly anomalous, record breaking pattern to get 90+ by then.

The Sept 3-8 period looks toasty.

The focus should be on biodiversity, which is getting threatened yearly though not just due to fires.

12z Euro OP bringing the warmth though.

Sneaky chance at 90 this Fri/Sat for the hottest spots but unlikely otherwise. 1st of September doesn't look very warm either and 90s are hard to come by after 9/10. Strongly negative -EPO should keep cooler air masses nearby.