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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    But will it flip is the question. If the atmosphere acts more like a Nino then December could be mild.
  2. SnoSki14
    Incredibly stupid decision all around, was it that hard to look at a weather map and a few models.
  3. SnoSki14
    NYC will go below freezing next Fri/Sat and many places, maybe even the city, could see lows in the mid to lower 20s. Most suburbs will see 30-32F this weekend/Monday morning. Very good agreement from GEFS/EPS on next Fri/Sat cold shot. Stark contrast 1st half of Nov vs October.
  4. SnoSki14
    Normally I'd laugh at the GFS showing this but there's strong support for cold near mid month.
  5. SnoSki14
    STW now up for north/western sections. Not too surprising, the severe is mainly shear/lift driven vs instability so there's a good chance it gets to the coast.
  6. SnoSki14
    Getting sun now too, temps up to 75F could help amplify the threat tonight.
  7. SnoSki14
    Well down here getting 70s with near 70 dews under cloudy skies on October 31st is very unusual, in fact it's record breaking for dews this late in the season.
  8. SnoSki14
    Or they're just playing stupid. Don't forget that we live in a world where anti-vaxxers and flat-earthers are a thing.
  9. SnoSki14
    I think the strongest winds will just be ahead of that line so those strong winds could mix down as the line falls apart. Also great discussion out of Mt. Holly regarding tonight's setup.
  10. SnoSki14
    According to Don S. the 2nd half of Nov could torch. Hard to disagree he's been spot on so far.
  11. SnoSki14
    I doubt there's any causality to early season snows vs how winter will turn out. Personally I'd love a Thanksgiving snowstorm.
  12. SnoSki14
    Warm-up? I'm still waiting for a cool down.
  13. SnoSki14
    Wind advisories will likely be hoisted given the trends, maybe HWW for eastern sections though looks borderline right now.
  14. SnoSki14
    Don't worry we will before the month ends, I'm willing to bet the house on that.
  15. SnoSki14
    I think they're underplaying the potential. Temps will be in the low 70s with near 60 dews and near record PWATs so do think we'll see strong momentum transfer.
  16. SnoSki14
    Thursday into early Friday should be interesting.
  17. SnoSki14
    The EPS was not. I do think there will be WAR resistance though which would pretty much guarantee more stormy weather.
  18. SnoSki14
    Delayed but not denied though as the -EPO pattern finally delivers cooler conditions post Halloween. First real widespread freeze threat possible this weekend.
  19. SnoSki14
    The dry September was a mere blip, October coming in AN to well AN in many places with perhaps more to come Halloween.
  20. SnoSki14
    Euro keeping the ridging up there, 12z op going bonkers with it in the LR so it'll be cold somewhere.
  21. SnoSki14
    Yet ppl are posting the ridiculous GFS snowy runs like they're gospel. GFS is complete garbage and is getting stomped by the Euro.
  22. SnoSki14
    And don't see that changing this winter. Anyone predicting a rockin winter is gonna get burned. The good stuff will be out west yet again. We need a massive pattern reshuffle.
  23. SnoSki14
    JB also thinks the Earth has been in a global cooling phase for the past decade. And though I like DT he can quickly get ahead of himself.
  24. SnoSki14
    It really is, complete fail for late October. Cool down keeps getting pushed back, looks incredibly warm for last week of October into November now.
  25. SnoSki14
    It's got tropical origins, I think we'll get a good hit.
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