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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Nam is an icy disaster.
  2. SnoSki14
    If you're a fan of long lasting snow cover then sleet will encase the snow and it's gonna last a long time
  3. SnoSki14
    I think pretty much everyone will see 7-8" with the thump. The wall of snow to sleet idea is playing out as expected. Now it's just about timing. The longer we hold off the transition, the more snow we get. Even a 2-3 hr delay could mean the difference between 7" and 10"+
  4. SnoSki14
    6z Nam looks a lot better than 0z...much more in line with other models
  5. SnoSki14
    Adjusted WSW to 7-13 now which I completely agree with. Front end thump will bring the goods followed by sleet/ZR. It's gonna be a mess 6z HRRR showing that crazy front end dump. Big improvement over 0z
  6. SnoSki14
    I'll give what it shows tomorrow a lot more weight than tonight but it's great at picking up warm layers so we can't discount it
  7. SnoSki14
    Yeah so much for suppression fears Trough out west was a big red flag for this.
  8. SnoSki14
    I can practically hear snowman19's giddiness after seeing the Nam.
  9. SnoSki14
    I guess we'll find out
  10. SnoSki14
    Epic bust if Nam is correct. Gives me in central NJ like 3" before going to sleet lol
  11. SnoSki14
    Thump looks better actually
  12. SnoSki14
    Really loving that early Feb period.
  13. SnoSki14
    Yeah the pattern actually gets a lot better after our next storm. In fact the current pattern ain't that great, there's way too much troughiness out west (no wonder we're mixing) Kind of a miracle if we do get 8-10"+ amounts out of it
  14. SnoSki14
    That's pretty darn good. What's the high end?
  15. SnoSki14
    Out of curiosity does anyone have sleet/ZR totals from the Nam. Curious to see the ice outputs
  16. SnoSki14
    The ridge placement out west for this storm wasn't ideal. MJO wasn't ideal either. There's a reason why big snowstorms are a rare commodity here especially in the CC era. Good news is pattern actually gets better after this storm. Better PNA and more favorable MJO
  17. SnoSki14
    It's good for verifying mixing but only in the short range. It's not reliable beyond 36hrs
  18. SnoSki14
    I hope Nam is wrong because this will be a nasty ice event here. Surface temps aren't budging away from the coast and will probably verify colder than models show.
  19. SnoSki14
    WSW with 10-15" which is a bit high. I would've gone with 8-12" which is the model consensus but we'll see if those early ratios make up for it.
  20. SnoSki14
    There's a sneaky clipper that tries to amplify as it dives in ahead of any early Feb threat. Keep an eye on that
  21. SnoSki14
    They are banking on high ratios to get it done but those rarely go more than 12-13:1
  22. SnoSki14
    They'll probably go 8-12 when warnings come out
  23. SnoSki14
    Hopefully it's the start of a trend today.
  24. SnoSki14
    The Nam went from the least snowy to one of the snowiest in 1 run lol Hence why you should use it sparingly beyond 36-48hrs
  25. SnoSki14
    Yup the more intense the precip the more it'll fight back against mixing.
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