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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    It increases volatility. When you combine deconstructive indices together there's no one size fits all analog. I think it would ballsy and delusional to forecast a cold winter. That doesn't mean 1-2 major snow events are off the table either.
  2. SnoSki14
    That is the most likely scenario as warming continues in this region. Notice it's a lot of the over the top warming with tons of onshore flow underneath.
  3. SnoSki14
    -PDO this year as well
  4. SnoSki14
    What was your forecast for last winter?
  5. SnoSki14
    October will be another blowtorch. The whole CONUS is on fire
  6. SnoSki14
    Looks very mild overall for the entire US with the weekend chill sort of a blip in the warm pattern. The onshore flow and coastal low could blunt highs but should still be plenty warm.
  7. SnoSki14
    That slowdown is what's causing the energy to get left behind and potentially become an ocean storn in the onshore flow environment. Don't know what, if any impacts will result from this but another coastal storm wouldn't surprise me.
  8. SnoSki14
    Definitely will see tons of volatility but that doesn't mean snow either. We could have powerful, wet systems though if any arctic air gets involved then maybe.
  9. SnoSki14
    Lock that in for winter
  10. SnoSki14
    Very warm feel today and humid too.
  11. SnoSki14
    Mod/heavy near New Brunswick. Looks like a good slog of it too. Quite gusty as well
  12. SnoSki14
    There's not enough time for substantial weakening.
  13. SnoSki14
    We have about 8-9 hours til landfall. So it's a race against time with the shear. The storm has done a remarkable job fighting it off. No doubt the very warm, undisturbed gulf and jet stream alignment helped big time.
  14. SnoSki14
    Recon doesn't show degradation. I'm not sure what people are seeing. It's still generating very strong convection near center. It looks very steady to me.
  15. SnoSki14
    It's still a tropical entity that will bring an influx of moisture. I could see 2-3" amounts.
  16. SnoSki14
    The Nino is going to accelerate the warming to a degree no one has ever seen.
  17. SnoSki14
    Looks like a repeat of last month with the mega ridge to the SW of here.
  18. SnoSki14
    It's clearing out on visible
  19. SnoSki14
    You would need a massive Nino override for it to work out for us. Like a rare CC induced combo that actually produces a snowier outcome.
  20. SnoSki14
    We're gonna see some wild weather this winter and then next summer will be a disaster.
  21. SnoSki14
    Yeah could be a prolific rain maker as it comes east. Direct moisture inflow from very hot gulf.
  22. SnoSki14
    Oh man we're going to see a hypercane season once El Nino breaks
  23. SnoSki14
    Exactly so it's not trolling to say it will be a warm, mostly snow free winter.
  24. SnoSki14
    Warm but definitely not dry.
  25. SnoSki14
    I'm bracing for impact. My only hope is that the Super Nino and PDO act as deconstructive forces that somehow allow us to see wintry weather.
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