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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Well you're not getting a +PDO so I guess we'll all be tanning in mid January
  2. SnoSki14
    A +PDO coupled with a super Nino is just 97/98. A -PDO could cause deconstructive interference which makes the pattern much more variable.
  3. SnoSki14
    The 23/24 Nino was supposed to be very favorable for snows but it ended up being one the warmest/least snowiest. ENSO is still just one factor
  4. SnoSki14
    There's zero indication that the wet pattern will end. In fact the super Nino guarantees a stormy pattern.
  5. SnoSki14
    I don't know how true that is but I don't believe it's going to be a wall to wall torch with very low snows. I think this winter will be highly variable and the back half will generate at least 1 major snowstorm for the east.
  6. SnoSki14
    Looks more high dew type stuff than 95+ heat.
  7. SnoSki14
    Still nearly zilch near New Brunswick
  8. SnoSki14
    For an organized system like this I'm surprised it's not that widespread. I'll see what the stuff in PA does though
  9. SnoSki14
    I got the split in New Brunswick with storms to the N/W and now to the east. Happened yesterday too.
  10. SnoSki14
    Total miss in central NJ
  11. SnoSki14
    Yup will be a bust here. HRRR takes the stuff in central PA south of us too. What we need is a tropical system or remnants of one to get some major rains
  12. SnoSki14
    HRRR looks very dry outside of NW NJ
  13. SnoSki14
    The stuff by state college could eventually get here in a weakened state later this evening otherwise things look tame for eastern sections. Flood outlook did a good job at highlighting eastern PA, central west and NW Jersey. Anyone east of 287 and south of 78 won't get much
  14. SnoSki14
    Looks like everything will be too far west. NW NJ looks like the spot to be
  15. SnoSki14
    If you have a strong closed low with PWATs above 2" in late July then someone's gonna see a ton of rain. Given the rains we've had this month I see a flood risk upgrade to moderate for Tuesday
  16. SnoSki14
    A Nino is just one piece of the pie. Sure it may affect other pieces but it's still a separate entity. And in today's changing climate the signals are more muddled.
  17. SnoSki14
    No apparently summer is basically over just like how some said cool weather was here to stay in mid June. Ensembles clearly show more hot weather as August arrives and I wouldn't rule out more 100+ readings
  18. SnoSki14
    Strong Ninos are supposed to have cool summers and we'll be near normal at best
  19. SnoSki14
    We are also relying on analogs that might as well be from an ancient timeline.
  20. SnoSki14
    If you mean no more 100s then most likely but it's only July 23. Heat will likely return sometime in August
  21. SnoSki14
    Looks like an overall great stretch of weather coming up. Near normal temps, pleasant nights and mornings with lower dews. Drier weather
  22. SnoSki14
    What is this the midwest!
  23. SnoSki14
    It's been quiet south of 78 but we're getting sun now and lots of clearing so kinda worried about later
  24. SnoSki14
    Atmosphere is a lot more unstable vs the weekend. Severe potential is a lot higher later
  25. SnoSki14
    Both but people have the weather memory of a goldfish. A couple cooler days and suddenly they think summer hasn't been record hot.
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