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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. I think 1st half is cold/dry though def not snow free but second half gets a lot more active with that blocking pattern + RNA
  2. I remember that storm like it was yesterday with the infamous "convective feedback" Heard it was one of the top analogs for the coming storm too.
  3. Guidance is showing several fast moving clippers coming through, maybe one or two amplifies and we get a moderate event otherwise probably 1-3" type stuff.
  4. Things would have to start trending today. Unfortunate if they don't because upcoming pattern looks mainly cold/dry with light northern stream systems only.
  5. GFS is best for these southern stream coastals but we need some major shifts soon or this threat is done
  6. Eh I'm not seeing a lot of positive trends. I'll give it another day to turn things around but it's occluding way too far south and too early. GFS does the best with southern stream system so I'll keep an eye out but we need to see some big moves soon.
  7. Boom or bust basically with a chance at a 6-12" SECS
  8. Ridge out west is pretty far back so this definitely has room to trend NW. It's mostly about where it decides to close off that'll tell the story. And yeah historically it ends up being much further north than current forecast shows, which would be ideal for us. Definitely not out of the game yet, not this far out
  9. Everyone I know is already talking about it, the media hype is nuts. It would be historical to get another big storm this quickly so not sure what will happen.
  10. I still think it's coming. I don't buy 3' down into the Carolinas
  11. Yeah that's sick. Also look at the trends over the past few runs. The signal is crazy
  12. Actually think we're in a really good spot right now. Ridge out west is pretty far west giving us plenty of wiggle room to shift NW. And big storms almost always shift NW
  13. Models are still east so there's no perfect solution on display.
  14. I wonder if future runs will expand the precip shield.
  15. Yeah we're legit going to get some crazy freeze ups and ice jams
  16. Euro runs are golden this far out. If you factor in the typical NW ticks then we're in a great spot If we saw a perfect track now I'd fear the coastal ending up by Buffalo
  17. At this time 5+ days out with the past system Richmond should've had your totals. Instead SNE banked 20+ totals and we went from heavy snow to sleet. In other words, it's coming
  18. Yup. Even mets thought suppression was likely last time. It's just nice to have storms to track honestly. Been a long time since we had consistent major snow threats
  19. 5 days before yesterday's storm we thought NC/VA were bullseye and we'd be seeing cirrus The trend is always more NW so this is good right now
  20. If they're right then this weekend was just an appetizer That's 2'+ type potential that the Euro showed
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