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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. There's not enough time for substantial weakening.
  2. We have about 8-9 hours til landfall. So it's a race against time with the shear. The storm has done a remarkable job fighting it off. No doubt the very warm, undisturbed gulf and jet stream alignment helped big time.
  3. Recon doesn't show degradation. I'm not sure what people are seeing. It's still generating very strong convection near center. It looks very steady to me.
  4. It's still a tropical entity that will bring an influx of moisture. I could see 2-3" amounts.
  5. The Nino is going to accelerate the warming to a degree no one has ever seen.
  6. Looks like a repeat of last month with the mega ridge to the SW of here.
  7. You would need a massive Nino override for it to work out for us. Like a rare CC induced combo that actually produces a snowier outcome.
  8. We're gonna see some wild weather this winter and then next summer will be a disaster.
  9. Yeah could be a prolific rain maker as it comes east. Direct moisture inflow from very hot gulf.
  10. Oh man we're going to see a hypercane season once El Nino breaks
  11. Exactly so it's not trolling to say it will be a warm, mostly snow free winter.
  12. Warm but definitely not dry.
  13. I'm bracing for impact. My only hope is that the Super Nino and PDO act as deconstructive forces that somehow allow us to see wintry weather.
  14. If by interesting you mean 0 snowfall and +10F winter months then sure
  15. It's gonna be mid-late March weather with extra rain for 4 months.
  16. I think the rain threat will return on the models.
  17. Yeah we should. Plenty of rain/no drought and temps haven't been too hot. Looks like a really great stretch after this week too. As long as it's not stormy we should have a great season
  18. It's a lot more than milder. Mid to upper 80s late week
  19. Yes that too. Noreasters rarely last more than a day.
  20. Yes just because it didn't seem bad where you were doesn't make it any less noteworthy. A retro nor'easter in late September that caused widespread coastal flooding is significant. Gusts of 70+ were recorded. 3"+ amounts will fall. This is definitely a significant and pretty rare event.
  21. The warm start to October continues to follow the theme of warmest anomalies to start each month since the summer.
  22. Models really adamant on a lot more rain later as storm moves SW of us.
  23. That's when the storm retros towards the coast so makes sense.
  24. It does have that eerie calm before the storm feeling.
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