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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Flow is too fast thanks to CC as Tip explained
  2. SnoSki14
    One of those could really dig and become a Miller B with the +PNA ridge still there.
  3. SnoSki14
    There's a follow up system that has more potential imo
  4. SnoSki14
    There's a follow up system that has a better chance to do something a few days later.
  5. SnoSki14
    Keep dreaming
  6. SnoSki14
    We need to see some serious jumps in models soon as time's ticking.
  7. SnoSki14
    A lot of northern stream disturbances and clippers likely. We should clean up
  8. SnoSki14
    Yeah it ain't happening
  9. SnoSki14
    I think 1st half is cold/dry though def not snow free but second half gets a lot more active with that blocking pattern + RNA
  10. SnoSki14
    I remember that storm like it was yesterday with the infamous "convective feedback" Heard it was one of the top analogs for the coming storm too.
  11. SnoSki14
    Guidance is showing several fast moving clippers coming through, maybe one or two amplifies and we get a moderate event otherwise probably 1-3" type stuff.
  12. SnoSki14
    Things would have to start trending today. Unfortunate if they don't because upcoming pattern looks mainly cold/dry with light northern stream systems only.
  13. SnoSki14
    GFS is best for these southern stream coastals but we need some major shifts soon or this threat is done
  14. SnoSki14
    Eh I'm not seeing a lot of positive trends. I'll give it another day to turn things around but it's occluding way too far south and too early. GFS does the best with southern stream system so I'll keep an eye out but we need to see some big moves soon.
  15. SnoSki14
    Boom or bust basically with a chance at a 6-12" SECS
  16. SnoSki14
    Yes please
  17. SnoSki14
    Ridge out west is pretty far back so this definitely has room to trend NW. It's mostly about where it decides to close off that'll tell the story. And yeah historically it ends up being much further north than current forecast shows, which would be ideal for us. Definitely not out of the game yet, not this far out
  18. SnoSki14
    It's very unlikely to play out like that.
  19. SnoSki14
    Everyone I know is already talking about it, the media hype is nuts. It would be historical to get another big storm this quickly so not sure what will happen.
  20. SnoSki14
    I still think it's coming. I don't buy 3' down into the Carolinas
  21. SnoSki14
    Yeah that's sick. Also look at the trends over the past few runs. The signal is crazy
  22. SnoSki14
    Actually think we're in a really good spot right now. Ridge out west is pretty far west giving us plenty of wiggle room to shift NW. And big storms almost always shift NW
  23. SnoSki14
    Models are still east so there's no perfect solution on display.
  24. SnoSki14
    I wonder if future runs will expand the precip shield.
  25. SnoSki14
    Yeah we're legit going to get some crazy freeze ups and ice jams
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