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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Based on the weeklies this snowpack could last til March. And this doesn't account for added snowfall that we'll likely see in Feb. This is a rare deep winter and these patterns nowadays get stuck in place for months. This pattern stems from November. Also it wouldn't surprise me to see March delivering big this year.
  2. SnoSki14
    Something will pop eventually but yes it could be cold/dry for a while. With tons of blocking and confluence our best bet is either clippers or SWFEs. Coastal haven't been our friend for a while With +PNA fading and -PNA being more favorable for us latter Feb that's where I think our next big threat will be. However keep an eye out on the 6-12th still because a lot can shift
  3. SnoSki14
    Classic large +PNA spike with diving shortwave later next week and a probable Miller B transfer. Feeling good about the 6th, much more so than this weekend's disaster
  4. SnoSki14
    I like the 6th. Really strong ridge pops out west at that time. Diving shortwave to Miller B transfer perhaps?
  5. SnoSki14
    Flow is too fast thanks to CC as Tip explained
  6. SnoSki14
    One of those could really dig and become a Miller B with the +PNA ridge still there.
  7. SnoSki14
    There's a follow up system that has more potential imo
  8. SnoSki14
    There's a follow up system that has a better chance to do something a few days later.
  9. SnoSki14
    Keep dreaming
  10. SnoSki14
    We need to see some serious jumps in models soon as time's ticking.
  11. SnoSki14
    A lot of northern stream disturbances and clippers likely. We should clean up
  12. SnoSki14
    Yeah it ain't happening
  13. SnoSki14
    I think 1st half is cold/dry though def not snow free but second half gets a lot more active with that blocking pattern + RNA
  14. SnoSki14
    I remember that storm like it was yesterday with the infamous "convective feedback" Heard it was one of the top analogs for the coming storm too.
  15. SnoSki14
    Guidance is showing several fast moving clippers coming through, maybe one or two amplifies and we get a moderate event otherwise probably 1-3" type stuff.
  16. SnoSki14
    Things would have to start trending today. Unfortunate if they don't because upcoming pattern looks mainly cold/dry with light northern stream systems only.
  17. SnoSki14
    GFS is best for these southern stream coastals but we need some major shifts soon or this threat is done
  18. SnoSki14
    Eh I'm not seeing a lot of positive trends. I'll give it another day to turn things around but it's occluding way too far south and too early. GFS does the best with southern stream system so I'll keep an eye out but we need to see some big moves soon.
  19. SnoSki14
    Boom or bust basically with a chance at a 6-12" SECS
  20. SnoSki14
    Yes please
  21. SnoSki14
    Ridge out west is pretty far back so this definitely has room to trend NW. It's mostly about where it decides to close off that'll tell the story. And yeah historically it ends up being much further north than current forecast shows, which would be ideal for us. Definitely not out of the game yet, not this far out
  22. SnoSki14
    It's very unlikely to play out like that.
  23. SnoSki14
    Everyone I know is already talking about it, the media hype is nuts. It would be historical to get another big storm this quickly so not sure what will happen.
  24. SnoSki14
    I still think it's coming. I don't buy 3' down into the Carolinas
  25. SnoSki14
    Yeah that's sick. Also look at the trends over the past few runs. The signal is crazy
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