SnoSki14
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
SnoSki14 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Good luck with that dude. I see a very similar pattern to last year. And I wouldn't be shocked if the deep south got smoked due to some suppressed cut off while northern areas get shut out again. You will not get a storm unless the Pacific jet from hell abates. -
Yeah but notice the coolest anomalies are out west which would indicate either a broad trough and/or a strong Pacific jet. If you're looking for snow, you're not going to get much in that pattern. This winter could very well be like last with relatively colder anomalies but a lack of snow due to unfavorable storm tracks.
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Ugly pattern for winter lovers. Big block north linking up with SE ridge again.
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The Pacific jet from hell needs to abate or it'll be more of the same garbage
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Yup just more of the same. Doesn't matter how much blocking you get if you have a pacific jet on steroids. It's an extremely unfavorable pattern for snow.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
SnoSki14 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
People can deny all they want but it won't change reality. How the factual equivalent of 2+2=4 with regards to anthropogenic climate change became political is baffling. But hey I guess you can call this warming a blip in the history of the planet. Once humans wipe themselves out, temperatures and the climate will eventually drop & stabilize. -
First 20s with 29
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Winter could lean on the colder side relative to what we're used to (think cold/dry to warm/wet and vice versa) but unless the pacific jet abates it's going to be extremely challenging to get a favorable winter storm track.
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It'll be slightly AN due to back tland forth pattern.
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Models had the low intensifying at a faster pace earlier as it passed through. I'm guessing it'll be sub advisory for most for like 1-2hrs, nothing noteworthy.
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Same ole crap. We'd be lucky to get 1 winter storm all winter.
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Wintry threats are certainly possible in November but very unlikely Then again with how bad winters have been, any month is unlikely
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Some potent stuff showing up on models actually. 3"+ amounts locally. Severe maybe?
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- heavy rain
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I hate the cold, dark mornings so yes it's fine. Can't imagine it still being dark at 8-830.
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Feels like mid November. Cool & cloudy, only 53F right now
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
SnoSki14 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Again the rain will be the story. Core of strongest winds will impact a small area. -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
SnoSki14 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Final intensification burst tonight. About to go sub 900mbs One of the craziest satellite images I've ever seen in the Atlantic -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
SnoSki14 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Here we go Jamaica. Hit a wall, expect N/NNE turn shortly. Also the best its ever looked on satellite. -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
SnoSki14 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
It's looping around. Start of the turn north to NNE -
I wonder if Melissa shifting a bit more NW is helping to amp those totals too via tropical enhancement or some kind of PRE
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
SnoSki14 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Additionally with the storm making landfall in W Jamaica that'll probably cause even greater rainfall and orographic lift on its east side, not to mention the entire island gets 20"+ amounts. NE movement ideal for surge too -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
That's usually an indication of a sharp turn coming shortly. I expect a N to even NNE turn soon. -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
SnoSki14 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
A north to NNE turn will commence very shortly. There's no ridging left to keep this moving west. Tourist heavy Montego Bay will likely get eastern eyewall -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
SnoSki14 replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Just looking at radar and satellite you'd think this monster would harmlessly bypass Jamaica to the south. They would need a miracle now
