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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Yes that too. Noreasters rarely last more than a day.
  2. SnoSki14
    Yes just because it didn't seem bad where you were doesn't make it any less noteworthy. A retro nor'easter in late September that caused widespread coastal flooding is significant. Gusts of 70+ were recorded. 3"+ amounts will fall. This is definitely a significant and pretty rare event.
  3. SnoSki14
    The warm start to October continues to follow the theme of warmest anomalies to start each month since the summer.
  4. SnoSki14
    Models really adamant on a lot more rain later as storm moves SW of us.
  5. SnoSki14
    That's when the storm retros towards the coast so makes sense.
  6. SnoSki14
    It does have that eerie calm before the storm feeling.
  7. SnoSki14
    This will increase rain totals as largest totals are on SW side of retro low. This could lead to more tree damage as you get the rains plus winds. Fully leafed out trees too.
  8. SnoSki14
    Current satellite looks pretty impressive. The prolonged nature of this plus high tide I think guarantees several places meet major coastal flood category.
  9. SnoSki14
    It'll be very banding oriented rather than steady rain.
  10. SnoSki14
    Models seem pretty locked in on this getting to LI or just south and heading due west into NJ a la Sandy. Obviously a much weaker version of that but could definitely result in major coastal flooding. Peak impacts are Sunday morning. A lot more rain than a Sandy solution given it'll be further north.
  11. SnoSki14
    People are greatly underestimating how destructive this will be for the coast.
  12. SnoSki14
    Like a tropical system with banding.
  13. SnoSki14
    Kinda wild how different the solutions are this close in.
  14. SnoSki14
    If the storm goes south of LI and towards Jersey then it will most certainly have a tropical component
  15. SnoSki14
    That's a very subtropical storm structure
  16. SnoSki14
    People underestimating coastal impacts. Prolonged easterly flow, strong winds and rain with mod/major coastal flooding on top of full moon this weekend. But sorry it's not a Cat 3 that's about to destroy your house.
  17. SnoSki14
    Substantial and laughable shift with GFS. That model is a dumpster fire
  18. SnoSki14
    RGEM was coming in west too. Think gfs starts to cave.
  19. SnoSki14
    Full moon too. Yes it would be ugly for the coasts.
  20. SnoSki14
    Wtf are you talking about. The best model is a strong hit. Unless that changes then it will hit.
  21. SnoSki14
    Euro/Euro AI should win pretty easily here. You can see it already with all of that convection in the western Atlantic.
  22. SnoSki14
    Lots of convection ongoing in western Atlantic. I'm surprised NHC has 0% odds of anything developing. SSTs are well AN in that region.
  23. SnoSki14
    NJ up to southern CT have seen the bulk of the summer rains so you might be onto something Now would this be subtropical?
  24. SnoSki14
    Looks like a pretty dry week now. Got a good soaking yesterday though. Big question mark on any coastal threat
  25. SnoSki14
    It's well coupled. Just look at how dead the hurricane season has been. Strong aleutian low pattern will set up and we'll get flooded with pacific air all winter. If anything we've been much warmer than previous strong Ninos thus far for the summer and now September due to CC effects. I'm seeing a warmer version of 97/98 for us.
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