SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Warm and rainy lock it in. There's zero cold air anywhere. -
Agree the week of Thanksgiving 2027 should be the first shot at flurries.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not gonna lie if winter is gonna be like its been the last 2 weeks then sign me up. Yes it's dull as dirt, San Diego style weather, but it feels great. I know we'll pay for it next spring/summer though. Summer 2027 will be a complete global disaster. -
Gfs is complete garbage now. I only look at Euro/Euro AI
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I feel like we're gonna pay for this.
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It should get a lot more active. NAO/AO will be dropping, PNA rising. Ensembles are getting a lot wetter.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Warmer than +10 to +12 would be the apocalypse. -
80+ incoming
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That's extremely bad from an ecological perspective if you care about the natural environment. Also creates more disease vectors, more allergies, damaging frosts/freeze cycles into the winter/spring. All this depends on how long this abnormal weather lasts. A few days is fine but anything over a week and problems compound.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We're gonna have a non winter like the west experienced last year. Probably a real wake up call for many when we're seeing multiple days of 70s in Jan/Feb and zero snow. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You're actually right this time. Upper 70s in my forecast right now. Could be 80+ for 2-3 days. Crazy stuff -
There's a huge blowtorch coming later this week well into November. Euro AI showing mid to even upper 70s for multiple days. Lows only in the 50s. Records will be shattered.
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Crazy warmth showing later this week into November. Multiple days of low to mid 70s, maybe upper 70s. Wow
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Ensembles hinting at wetter pattern 1st week of November. Maybe first signs of the wetter super Nino pattern?
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The widespread warmth across the US is insane. Just shocking
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I love it. San Diego weather here for mid autumn.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Last November told the story of the coming winter. We'll see if this year November does the same. -
October is AN precip wise here. Coming dry weeks will reverse rapidly.
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I wonder if the drought out in plains and west is causing a feedback loop too.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If that's true then we may see 80 in Jan and widespread early flowering -
Very weak sauce. To be expected with limited instability and weak lapse rates
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It increases volatility. When you combine deconstructive indices together there's no one size fits all analog. I think it would ballsy and delusional to forecast a cold winter. That doesn't mean 1-2 major snow events are off the table either. -
That is the most likely scenario as warming continues in this region. Notice it's a lot of the over the top warming with tons of onshore flow underneath.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-PDO this year as well -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What was your forecast for last winter?
