SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Got skunked today which is good. Strong storms went north and south of me.
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You're dealing with heavy thunderstorms so amounts will vary considerably place to place. That's a huge signal that someone could get hammered (6"+) though. 1-3" per hour type stuff
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Thing is today is supposed to be much more widespread than yesterday as we have a clear trigger.
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Those higher probabilities should be adjusted N/NNE based on guidance
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Ensembles are showing a lot of rain as the heat breaks. Would not be surprised to see it go from drought conditions to flooding in a hurry.
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Temperatures dropped into the 60s for parts of northern NJ
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Wow that's wild.
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Very high launchpad with temps already 80-85F across the region. 105+ looks certain
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What a scorcher right now. A lot of places may not drop below 80F tonight and tomorrow night.
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Yeah it's only heatstroke
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86/71 right now. The roast begins
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So this isn't "typical" summer weather like some claim.
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It's not scaling back. 105+ readings on the table Thurs-Fri
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Good sign that higher temps will verify Thurs/Fri.
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There's enough mixing to get us there. The prolonged drought and peak sun will help a lot too. I'd be surprised if at least a couple places don't hit 105+
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Record breaking summer heat in a super Nino... we're so cooked
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What's with the cool pocket off of the northeast. -
I'm looking for a 105 in New Brunswick on Thursday or Friday.
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That's historic here in NJ. Ridge axis being a bit west could spare New England from 100s.
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105+ across Europe past few days. Records getting shattered every month and yet many will still claim CC has nothing to do with it.
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Looks a lot worse than typical. Long lasting with many records broken.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Idk about all that but clearly the super Nino is not fully in charge of our weather. We're getting a lot of Nina influences which makes forecasting winter very challenging. -
Idk it's got model and ensemble support and we're still a few days out. Ridges have only trended stronger as we got closer. In addition the overall dry environment would make higher temps more plausible. I think some 105+ readings are on the table.
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This signal will only strengthen as we get closer. Many records will be shattered
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How are dews looking?
