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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    We'd be very lucky if that ends up being our December pattern. It's marginal but not too bad for snow chances as we get closer to winter with better climo.
  2. SnoSki14
    I'm not falling for this trick again. All signs show December being mostly mild however there's a window early on for some action. The cold air does look pretty depleted though as we lose the -EPO despite the favorable coastal pattern.
  3. SnoSki14
    Wow was that well thought out. Good luck this season, hopefully it verifies a little more optimistic than you have particularly further south.
  4. SnoSki14
    No teens but down to 21F, could get down to 20F next 20 minutes. Widespread upper teens and low 20s across the entire area, very impressive before November 15th. Sneaky cold tonight as well for areas that radiate. Could be even colder than this morning though wind chills will be a lot warmer.
  5. SnoSki14
    26F with dews in the low single digits, so pretty good chance at first teens of the season. Forecast is 21F.
  6. SnoSki14
    A complete waste of resources. I still can't get over how everyone screwed up last November even when it was very clear that we'd get hit by a moderate snowstorm hours in advance. And ever since then everything has been overkill.
  7. SnoSki14
    Pretty big differences between the Gfs & Euro LR. GFS hasn't been the best so I'd definitely side with the Euro/EPS. Looks wintry near Thanksgiving.
  8. SnoSki14
    Had some good light snows earlier, first of the season outside of a couple flurries with last week's cold shot. 34F now, nearly 30 degrees colder than 24hrs ago.
  9. SnoSki14
    It's solid light snow right now, def no flurries with that band.
  10. SnoSki14
    Getting flakes now with that band.
  11. SnoSki14
    Yes very likely now with things quickly cooling below 0C aloft with still a moist layer present.
  12. SnoSki14
    Temps leveling off at 39F, should hold or slowly drop for next 2-3 hours before more steady declines. Some moisture could make it's way on the form of snow showers if the HRRR is correct.
  13. SnoSki14
    Temps plummeting right now. Was around 55F a couple hours ago, must've dropped 10F over the past 20 minutes. Winds are gusty too. Down to 40F as of 9:30
  14. SnoSki14
    Thank goodness the arctic air goes away for a long time after Wednesday, it's too early for this stuff. Give me some nice 50s/60s please.
  15. SnoSki14
    Like Bluewave stated it's like a tiny ice cube in a massive hot ocean. I'm pretty sure you'll still get isolated cold periods for several more decades until the warmth overwhelms everything unless of course we do manage to curb our emissions over the next 30-50 years.
  16. SnoSki14
    Got down to 21 this morning, teens are a lock next Wednesday.
  17. SnoSki14
    First 20s of the season, hard to believe it was in the low 70s around this time Halloween night a mere 8-9 days ago.
  18. SnoSki14
    31F now, everyone goes below freezing tonight.
  19. SnoSki14
    Given how poorly the winter ended up after an early snowfall, I don't mind waiting. I'd rather not have a repeat of last year.
  20. SnoSki14
    This is a winterlike airmass so I disagree. You just need a good track at least with this system. We've seen much worse airmasses mid-winter.
  21. SnoSki14
    Euro was too slow with the pattern shift on 10/31-11/2 and the GFS was too fast by like 1-2 days. It's possible we may see the same timing issues play out here. I wouldn't discount snow right now.
  22. SnoSki14
    I think we're going to see one of the most radical two halves ever. 2nd half looks to be a blowtorch, early guidance like tonight's GFS already hinting at it.
  23. SnoSki14
    Yes, first low is on the frontal boundary and the second is the one heading NE from the gulf which needs to amplify for us to see a snow event.
  24. SnoSki14
    Could just end up being an Arctic front too, long ways to go though.
  25. SnoSki14
    This is one case where you want the WAR to flex its muscles so the system isn't too flat. Luckily that's been the trend for a very long time now. Very 2014/2015 esque type of setup.
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