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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    At least Alaska will finally turn frigid. Once the pattern reverses we might get a huge arctic blast 2nd half of January.
  2. SnoSki14
    Many cited similarities to last year and so far it's pretty similar. I think we need a huge shake up to change this recurring pattern. We've been very fortunate over past 20 years so I'm done complaining about not getting another blockbuster winter. However I'm not looking forward to another cold, wet March/April which seems inevitable yet again.
  3. SnoSki14
    I'm loving it, it's like an extended early spring. Have no use for dry, bitter cold. Not sure it stays dry though with Pacific jet on steroids.
  4. SnoSki14
    Soaring AO/NAO, positive EPO, MJO near warm phases. It's a torch recipe. You can close the shades for many weeks. Gorgeous day today, so much better than last week's cold.
  5. SnoSki14
    The death vortex over Alaska is all I need to know that things are going to suck. The entire CONUS looks torched too. Uncertain when or if any of that cold building over Alaska comes south.
  6. SnoSki14
    MJO now going into phase 6/7 and looping back to 6. This would be a disaster if you want winter weather. AO/NAO now forecast to rage positive. So no cold air or snow is in sight for the foreseeable future.
  7. SnoSki14
    I'm good with 40s & 50s for the winter. Luckily we don't get a lot of prolonged cold spells anymore. If it's not gonna snow then it might as well be mild/dry.
  8. SnoSki14
    Looks mild & dry for several weeks. If we're lucky maybe this will be the default pattern that takes us right into spring.
  9. SnoSki14
    MJO looks to head towards phase 7 after New Year. If this is correct then we should see colder weather start showing up again.
  10. SnoSki14
    Coldest of the season with 15F. Thankfully it's only a couple days of this and then we mild for several weeks.
  11. SnoSki14
    Darn it I'm too far south of this thing though did just get a snow squall warning alert.
  12. SnoSki14
    We'll get a short taste tomorrow night as a small arctic lobe swings through. Models actually trending colder as we get closer. Widespread low to mid teens look likely with very gusty winds. Probably sub-zero wind chills.
  13. SnoSki14
    Trough might back in from the east as today's Euro suggests.
  14. SnoSki14
    You do know you live in New England right, the place of endless, crappy Springs.
  15. SnoSki14
    We'll get our MECS/HECS in March and another crappy, blocky spring.
  16. SnoSki14
    The mostly -AO & neutral to negative -NAO favor the former. Our corner of the CONUS will probably continue to be much cooler vs the rest of the country.
  17. SnoSki14
    Good bring on the spring-like weather. Had enough of this cold rain and if it's clearly not gonna snow then bring on the warmth. Tho in reality im looking at the indices particularly the AO and it looks mostly negative. MJO isn't guaranteed to enter phase 6 either so maybe not a crazy torch like 2015. Signs of a -EPO to start January paired with a -NAO/AO and good climo should lead to better outcomes after the torch ends. MJO could head towards phase 7/8 as well.
  18. SnoSki14
    I'm glad to avoid the ice but another cold rainy super soaker is beyond depressing. Models give us solid 1-2" amounts. Give me 01/02 or 11/12 over this crap any day.
  19. SnoSki14
    HRRR suggests some dynamic cooling could take place as heavier precip hits however that should primarily impact those areas you've mentioned. Still very concerned about a significant ice event for those folks.
  20. SnoSki14
    Feels like ever since last November mother nature's been screwing with city officials & they swallow the bait each time.
  21. SnoSki14
    Unless you're 88 who thinks every event will magically turn snowy.
  22. SnoSki14
    Shocking.
  23. SnoSki14
    I honestly don't think there's much of a norm anymore. We're chasing moving targets and getting increasingly more unusual pattern combos due to AGW. I think we'll try to revert back to the 80s style -AMO pattern but it'll be nothing like that decade when you'll compare the two.
  24. SnoSki14
    EPS supports CONUS wide torch, Pacific jet howling as MJO approaches warmer phases. But sure whatever you say. Colder air will hold off until after the New Year.
  25. SnoSki14
    Complete inferno. 60s & 70s Xmas week?
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