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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Everything is covered even the side streets. Close to an inch already on the grass. Very light snow atm.
  2. SnoSki14
    Ridiculous if correct. That's a blizzard. No wonder Nam's spewing out near 30" totals.
  3. SnoSki14
    This is why I stopped watching local news.
  4. SnoSki14
    Yeah it looks like a half inch at least.
  5. SnoSki14
    The MJO isn't the end all be all. It's currently in phase 6 and we're getting a blizzard.
  6. SnoSki14
    I'd take that it gives me 20+
  7. SnoSki14
    Looks really good.
  8. SnoSki14
    There will be a tick east. It's already coming in and temps are colder than forecast. I like where the GEFS have this thing.
  9. SnoSki14
    First flurries already.
  10. SnoSki14
    Ukmet finally joins the party.
  11. SnoSki14
    Pretty good alignment between this and regular GFS. Para going the colder route, which is interesting given the Gfs is always the colder one.
  12. SnoSki14
    Quite a bit colder too. Not surprised as temps will likely come below forecast. The cold air will be tough to shake and low will probably end up slightly east of models.
  13. SnoSki14
    Rgem has a tendency to overamplify things. I think given the depth of the cold and precip the coastal front will be further east. Will be keeping an eye on the dry slot though.
  14. SnoSki14
    After the 12z suite I think I'm good with model watching outside of the very short term HRRR. 12"+ looks like a lock even under a worst case scenario. Forecast looks good with 13-18". Will be the biggest storm since 2016 for me.
  15. SnoSki14
    Just keep in mind the HRRR is basically useless beyond 12hrs
  16. SnoSki14
    Big upside to this one, let's hope for that last minute Miller B east push.
  17. SnoSki14
    NYC is iffy with the mixing. Heaviest amounts will likely be just N&W of the city. Regardless they should easily get up to a foot or more.
  18. SnoSki14
    Likely way too amped but that's pretty typical of the Rgem. 15"+ seems likely before any dry slot or mixing for the city. 06z Nam/Gfs/Para GFS were stellar. Personally hoping para scores a coup here.
  19. SnoSki14
    Ukie has been all over the place with this one. Unless the Euro agrees it's a clear outlier.
  20. SnoSki14
    The more southern displacement of Atlantic blocking and strong ridging east of New England this year is partly why coastals, even Miller Bs may be closer to the coast. The ridge out west being further east than typical for big coastals probably helps us avoid a hugger.
  21. SnoSki14
    Wow at CMC
  22. SnoSki14
    Still can't believe it'll be snowing tomorrow evening into Wednesday possibly.
  23. SnoSki14
    I wonder why they trimmed my warning totals down from 11-15" to 9-15".
  24. SnoSki14
    Better run of the regular GFS. Ticks the low a bit further west but front end dump is really strong. Looks like the dry slot gets into NYC and west for a time before another round of snow as the low drifts east. Jackpot NNJ
  25. SnoSki14
    Lol 46"+ I'm gonna have to sell that.
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