
SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Now it's a sleet storm. That 700mb low placement is hurting us. Regardless I have well over a foot and now they'll be a crusty later of ice on top solidifying the pack.
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Firehose from the metro through N/C NJ. If this keeps up for a few hours I'll be near 20".
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Getting a lot of sleet now for whatever reason.
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I'm in Somerset and it's nuts out there. Some sleet mixes in from time to time but mostly very heavy snow.
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I have to be nearing a foot. The rates are insane right now. I'm in the orange on radar.
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Heavy snow though sleet is still mixing in.
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HRRR finally has a clue. Still might be correcting though.
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Snow is picking up. Better growth rates and radar is looking good.
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Snows picking up around Somerset. Maybe a bit of sleet mixed in but that should go away as snow gets heavier.
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Yes it's starting to come together. Things should crank again very soon.
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Personally I'd be pretty satisfied with the current 6" I have. Getting two 6"+ storms in what was supposed to be a dud winter is a win. No need to panic yet. Miller Bs can have a lull period before they really get going.
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I'd rather let things play out first before sounding the alarm. Precip is very light hence the sleet. We're still waiting for the coastal to fully take control.
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Hopefully that's the case. The latest HRRR only gives us another 6-8" which isn't bad of course but would be a significant bust.
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What are your thoughts on the models? Is the benign HRRR out to lunch here.
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If there's an explosion of precip like the Rgem/Nam or Euro show then yes that'll collapse down.
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We'll know in 2-3hrs. If the Nam/Euro are correct then there should be an explosion of precip that encompasses most of NJ & NYC. If that doesn't happen then the HRRR/3K Nam will be correct.
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It's not. Getting sleet in north central NJ.
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Models are surprisingly kind of all over the place with the HRRR, Nam 12K, Nam 3K, Rgem.
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Odd how spotty HRRR continues to be. Also did notice Nam is pretty quite until 6-7AM too.
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4" now just a couple inches shy of my December storm totals. Winds picking up a bit. I wasn't expecting so much this early. Dry slot near Philly appears to be filling in. Looks like coastal is about to take over.
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So not only does Nam produce prolific totals but it has legit blizzard conditions. Gusts are 45-55mph
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Nam/Para GFS are consistent for sure.
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