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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    It's all about timing here. Had this arrived overnight it could've put down advisory snows as far east as the city.
  2. SnoSki14
    Yes 18z
  3. SnoSki14
    Euro looked nice just west of the city for Monday. Gets me 2-3" if correct. Several models concur and I think they'll trend a bit colder once they recognize it'll be a quick thump of snow.
  4. SnoSki14
    The high is in a nice spot. It all depends on the timing and amplification of the shortwave.
  5. SnoSki14
    That's true but the antecedent airmass is good. The only downside is timing. Had this came overnight I think even the city would've gotten snows. Also paying close attention to the 26th. A cold front comes through Wednesday giving us a cold airmass ahead of the next shortwave. With the AO/NAO positive it's very unlikely the shortwave gets as far suppressed like models show right now. Beyond that it looks warm to start March, maybe even very warm with a large ridge building in the east though it could be transient and doesn't automatically mean it can't snow later on.
  6. SnoSki14
    Btw early Monday supports a quick thump of wet snow especially west of the city. Euro had a few inches. Given cold airmass ahead of the system and faster than modeled timing usually seen with these systems it could extend into NYC.
  7. SnoSki14
    Current tellies support a warm March so the chance of snows will be lower than usual. However the pattern should remain highly volatile so nothing is guaranteed.
  8. SnoSki14
    Light snows continuing to fall. Will probably get an inch out of this.
  9. SnoSki14
    I'm pretty confident we get above 51 in the last few days of February. Could even end up on Feb 28. 60F as of now appears unlikely especially with lingering snow cover.
  10. SnoSki14
    Well that's a bust the heaviest burst right now is right in that gray hole in NJ.
  11. SnoSki14
    Lol no I'm aware this is the SNE forum. Just saying near 50 is above normal but not a torch in late Feb even into SNE. The term torch is used far too loosely. If upper 40s are a torch then what happens when it gets into the 60s during a cutter...mega torch.
  12. SnoSki14
    Nice burst looks like sidewalks are mostly covered again.
  13. SnoSki14
    Getting a burst of snow from it.
  14. SnoSki14
    50 is our norm in mid March. What is yours, mid 40s?
  15. SnoSki14
    Maybe but these back-ends haven't been working out very well.
  16. SnoSki14
    It doesn't make sense to me at all. March is snowier than Nov & Dec on average even down to NYC. So you guys definitely have another month plus of chances.
  17. SnoSki14
    How's near 50 in late Feb a torch?
  18. SnoSki14
    Very unimpressed. Lift is weak I don't see how we get more than some snow showers.
  19. SnoSki14
    I wouldn't bet on it.
  20. SnoSki14
    It's been showing that for a while and always backed off.
  21. SnoSki14
    Well I'm ready for winter to end now, it's been a good run. Very close to 40" with nearly 3 weeks of snow cover. This after extremely low expectations this year. Not discounting another snow event before everything completely wraps up but given tellies, MJO it looks very unlikely.
  22. SnoSki14
    If there's no 2nd part to this then we'll probably muster 4" which is a bit disappointing but I'll take it.
  23. SnoSki14
    Roads are gonna be a mess with a crusty layer of ice on top. Only 26F
  24. SnoSki14
    It looks like we're about to mix soon.
  25. SnoSki14
    The sleet shouldn't be racing north given the cutoff to the snows is over extreme NW Jersey, which indicates a strong cold high press. At least not during heavier precip rates. Ultimately the area just north of the main mixing line will jackpot. Probably localized 10" totals.
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