SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Pretty much every model shows a burst of snow Friday morning with temps in the 20s as low transfers to coast and winds blow from the NE.
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With a last gasp effort, winter 20-21 refuses to give up the ghost
SnoSki14 replied to moneypitmike's topic in New England
Strong confluence up north should cause this to stay further south. Models tonight suggest rare flash freeze event too for Friday morning. -
There's hints at a rare flash freeze event. Temperatures drop into the 20s with this snow burst Friday morning.
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Looks like a week of cool, raw weather and then full-on spring weather will coincide with astronomical spring. Bottomed out at 24F this morning. Could match that this evening before the clouds roll in tonight.
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If the pattern supports snow then it'll snow. We've seen plenty of snow in March recently. However currently the pattern is very marginal for anything more than a few snow showers or graupel.
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We still had 40" of snow though and BN Feb. Who cares what happens in March.
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Yikes will Boston really see near 0 wind-chills Sunday night? That sucks.
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Today was very nice but too early for mid 70s. 60s would've been fine. Temps could be nearly 50F lower by Saturday morning and there will be a chance for wintry weather next week.
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AO chart looks ridiculous and blows previous records away. In addition the AO may plunge into the negatives a few days after being near +6. Insane volatility.
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I give it till 3/21. The 3rd week of March has a surprising amount of snow events. March averages more snow than December for the NYC metro especially in the past 10 years.
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Much stronger drop today while MJO goes to 8-2. Should be near or below normal starting this weekend and beyond. Thurs/Fri could be the warmest until April.
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Wow at this rate Thursday may hit 75+ It could be awhile before we see things this warm again actually. Too bad it couldn't arrive for the weekend. Weekend looks BN with chilly winds to boot.
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It should make the summer and hurricane season really interesting again. Also some big heat waves are possible.
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There goes any chance at more wintry events. Rest of the month looks mild.
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Sneaky easterly flow Tue-Wed will keep coastal areas chilly. Thursday-Friday will push 70F though it'll be close for Friday. The further south you are the more likely you'll get 70s on Friday. By next weekend and 3rd week of March it'll be a mix between crappy and wintry.
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The gambler's fallacy? Well not quite as the chances of a Cat 2 strike will probably increase due to AGW. Not significantly so but enough to possibly make a difference.
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Some people act as if SNE is like Alaska compared to places just south. Boston had as much snow as NYC this year.
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Thinking widespread 70s maybe for 2 days. It'll be a recipe for overperforming temps.
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More LR nonsense from the Gfs. Looks like a back and forth pattern after this week's warm up. Probably a few cold days mixed in for mid-late March but nothing crazy. AO still looks positive so don't expect prolonged cold even with favorable MJO. I'm thinking we see 75F Thursday or Friday this week after a very cold (teens in spots that radiate) Monday morning.
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Once those 70s hit you won't wanna go back to that. It's not like next week is a mid-winter thaw. We'll be pushing into mid March by then.
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Yeah pretty easily if not 75 honestly. We hit 80 in Feb and 80s in March so it's not a huge stretch. I hope it stays mild afterwards. Hopefully models are wrong on the colder 2nd half. 60s/70s with sunny, dry days are some of my favorites in the spring/fall.
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Surface temps could still be BN with AN heights like in February. Low heights over Canada guarantee BDCF by mid-late Match. Looks like MJO will get into the cooler phases and possibly traverse 8-2. Less MJO circle today.
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Idk about this. MJO looks to get stuck in the circle. AO will stay positive it looks like. Maybe more seasonal temps but nothing too abnormal. Low heights in SE Canada will definitely lead to cooler temps after the warm-up but we'll see multiple days in the 60s if not low 70s from Tue-Fri next week.
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I don't really buy the return to winter after mid-month either. Looks seasonal to me to somewhat BN at best, which could be enough for a wintry event...it is still March after all. 2018 ain't walking through that door though.
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This would be the type of March where we get widespread 70s 2nd week of March and then snows a week later.
