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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Yeah actually it is. Temperatures stay below freezing the entire time and it may not be finished trending. Maybe our post -5 AO drop will work out after all.
  2. SnoSki14
    Seems likely that we'll see at least an advisory event with borderline warning snows for some.
  3. SnoSki14
    The teleconnections say the opposite. It'll likely be AN though not a torch.
  4. SnoSki14
    You'd think it would be further west if it's slower. So probably a good sign the colder trends will continue.
  5. SnoSki14
    It's morphing into a miller B. That's been the trend over the past couple days so we'll see if that continues.
  6. SnoSki14
    This is such a stupid take that's it's not even worth defending. The effects of climate change will easily cost far more than the trillions we'd be putting in. We're already spending 100s of billions annually for disasters related to climate change. But sure let's do nothing and continue to trash the planet and see what happens.
  7. SnoSki14
    A warm outcome is definitely likely but weird things happen during seasonal transition periods. So a random March snowstorm wouldn't surprise me even if it's mixed in with warm weather all around.
  8. SnoSki14
    Just hoping for one more 5-6" event to put us over 40" and wrap this winter up. Things are looking more spring-like post 2/20-21.
  9. SnoSki14
    Some models going for that Miller B route. And they still appear to be trending that way so we'll see what happens. I know some will want to compare Tuesday's bust with Thursday but they are very different storms. The presence of an arctic high is key.
  10. SnoSki14
    The Nam is useless after 48hrs meaning very low model skill. It's also almost always too amplified.
  11. SnoSki14
    It's got good potential. Models keep trending less amped or basically the opposite of tomorrow. Could be a last hurrah too as pattern moving forward doesn't look very favorable.
  12. SnoSki14
    I think so but these trends are important especially as we get closer in. Either way I think Thursday will be a big wintry mess.
  13. SnoSki14
    Some significant ponding for sure. Temps will struggle to warm though so prob not your typical warm (50-60F) cutter.
  14. SnoSki14
    PV overhead whereas Tuesday it's in the Midwest.
  15. SnoSki14
    There's a good chance we see a front end dump but would want it to trend a bit colder/more suppressed. Sucks that the blocking is gone.
  16. SnoSki14
    Don't see the need for warnings and advisories around here. Temps will be above freezing.
  17. SnoSki14
    We get a mini arctic intrusion after Tuesdays system which will set the stage for Thursday. If it weren't for Tuesday's more amped system this one would've been the big cutter. Still a ways to go though. Let's get through Tuesday first.
  18. SnoSki14
    The trend is your friend. Hopefully we get a nice thump before any changeover.
  19. SnoSki14
    Thursday is looking like the more wintry threat as models amp up Tuesday. Could end up being a SWFE or even a later stage Miller B.
  20. SnoSki14
    Some flooding issues probable Tuesday.
  21. SnoSki14
    If that high is as strong as depicted for the late week system then there will likely be a strong thump to mix to rain. It has an extreme SWFE flare to it. A stronger, more amped Tuesday storm will also help.
  22. SnoSki14
    Don't see why Tuesday won't keep trending warmer. Strong SE ridge, no high whatsoever. Nothing to keep the CAD in place beyond current snow cover. The system is weak overall and moves quickly so it won't be a big torchy cutter or anything. A cold rain looking more likely for a lot of places.
  23. SnoSki14
    Looks like some light ZR possible soon.
  24. SnoSki14
    We'll still have to watch where these highs set up. A high closer to us would def result in much colder surface temps. Models will have difficulty with so many disturbances. I'm leaning towards a cold rain for both Tuesday (mid 30s) & Thursday (near 40) that'll get soaked into the pack. Thursday will def trend much warmer if the big gfs phase is correct...think 50s. Icing issues probable for NW zones.
  25. SnoSki14
    Thats a flood threat.
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