SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Yes as cloud debris will get in the way.
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A lot of the current fires were caused by lightning. Sure we could educate people more and clean up the forests but that's not gonna stop these fires from happening. The only thing that'll stop them is immediately addressing the climate change problem.
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Awful given the fires there.
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EPS/GEFS continue to signal strong cool down 1st week of Oct with possibly some rains.
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As best as you're gonna get. I wonder if the early cool down and rather dry conditions will trigger early foliage this year. I'm already seeing colors popping up.
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Is it odd that I feel better about the coming winter when all the forecasts show a snowless torch winter. It's like playing with house money.
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Another night in the 40s. September actually feels like September for once.
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September is still likely to end up AN but it'll be a departure from the crazy warm Septembers of recent years. Things def look a lot weather to end the month if the pattern shown is correct. GFS overplayed its hand with the ridging though so a late season 90F looks very unlikely right now and probably done till next Spring.
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Models pretty consistent on another big ridge forming out west. Trough axis should be to our west though so could see some heavy rains around that time. Perfect time for a homegrown storm too but we never seem to get that on cue.
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Models have been all over the place but warmer than normal should win out. Also already 47F at 11PM, gonna take the under with 46F forecast low.
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If the ridging is correct late next week then we'll probably make a run at 90 late September.
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It can't get much worse than last year.
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If it meets the definition of a TC then it should get a name no matter how weak, sloppy or short-lived it's expected to be.
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Depends on the cutoff situation
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It's complicated and Teddy's evolution will play a role in the future pattern. Looks like it'll cause the NAO to go negative.
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GFS showing 80s late September.
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To its credit it did spot the phase and curl NW into Canada that models are now catching onto. Hopefully it plays out that way as it will likely generate massive swells just offshore.
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Most likely scenario. A bit too early to see a big phased in trough, but October could be interesting.
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The GFS was trending synoptically towards the Euro.
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Most likely a disappointment though hopefully it'll come close enough for some big swells.
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Euro seems pretty convinced of that cutoff and blocking high. There's also a clear SW trend with the cutoff. I don't think Teddy will get that far west because of how far east it is to begin with but it's an intriguing setup nonetheless.
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40s this morning, probably the coolest weather since May or about 4 months. Looks really cool this weekend and I wouldn't be surprised to see lows undercutting guidance by several degrees so upper 30s maybe? Interesting that forecast discussion points out smoke will keep temps down several degrees today. Likely had an impact yesterday as well.
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Yeah the cooling is not something we're used to. I see multiple highs in the 60s starting Friday with lows in the mid 40s for next weekend. Tonight into tomorrow looks coolish as well. Should help jumpstart the foliage.
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Something could develop off the SE coast next week under the large high in the northeast. Models hinting that could become a coastal storm or subtropical storm as it moves north.
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That looks a bit more favorable for winter if that type of pattern were to hold. Maybe more like 16/17.
