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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Yeah it looks really good right now. There's a 50/50 chance the immediate NYC metro ends up jackpotting. Some of the outputs are really impressive. You have the CMC, Euro, Rgem showing 20-24"+ totals now. That's not something that should be taken lightly. And the wind threat is real with the tight gradient.
  2. SnoSki14
    It's a clear outlier and will likely play catch up for a while.
  3. SnoSki14
    I'll take a GFS/Nam combo please.
  4. SnoSki14
    Yeah that was nice lol Good to see the Icon wake up. That high is really quite something and it'll act as a brick wall and help squeeze as much moisture as possible. Someone's gonna see 20"+
  5. SnoSki14
    Hopefully this will give my area a nice 6" snowfall. That's all I ask.
  6. SnoSki14
    Agreed give me a full fledged blizzard any day. Boxing day storm was the most memorable snowstorm in my lifetime due to its ferocious winds, better than Jan 2016 and just squeezing past PD II 2003.
  7. SnoSki14
    Near blizzard conditions are possible in coastal locations. Pretty strong gradient setting up.
  8. SnoSki14
    Side note it hit 62F today. Gotta love how warm the day before a snow event often is and yes don't count out tomorrow.
  9. SnoSki14
    So are you thinking the Ukmet is the way to go?
  10. SnoSki14
    I'm hopeful about this one. There's a small possibility this gives us more snow if Wednesday's storm turns to garbage.
  11. SnoSki14
    Well we have 3 days for it to trend a certain way. It won't be a bust if models show mostly rain by tonight's or tomorrow's runs. If it suddenly went bad 24 hours out or during the storm then I see that as a bust. And if things trend poorly then it is what it is, you can't get upset about the weather. The PNA is not good and the Atlantic blocking may not be enough to save us but we'll see I guess. Someone's gonna get a good storm, it just may not be the immediate NYC metro.
  12. SnoSki14
    Yes it would be a bust but some did accurately note the PNA would hurt us and all it took was weaker confluence for us to see mostly rain.
  13. SnoSki14
    The fears are being realized. We're only a couple ticks away from a rain event and there's still 3 days left. Lack of PNA really hurting us.
  14. SnoSki14
    It's possible the inland solutions correct east as the storm starts forming and begins heading our way.
  15. SnoSki14
    Hopefully it's correct. How's its skill level been?
  16. SnoSki14
    And then there's the Gfs lol
  17. SnoSki14
    That's sleet or rain. You ain't seeing snow with a low that far inland.
  18. SnoSki14
    I don't like where things are going. That shortwave is no joke and models appear to be backing off the confluence.
  19. SnoSki14
    Hopefully that's the case. I think it'll be very difficult to warm the surface unless the storm is on top of us.
  20. SnoSki14
    Watch Forky be right and it ends up being a big rainstorm.
  21. SnoSki14
    Definitely expect some snow in the nearby suburbs though.
  22. SnoSki14
    Euro would def give us some coastal flooding/wind issues.
  23. SnoSki14
    Definitely. I don't care about playing the jackpot games though. My area had basically nothing last winter so even 6"+ would be a huge win especially in a season where every major forecaster called for a snowless, torch winter.
  24. SnoSki14
    I'd be weary of the overly amped runs too given the strength and placement of the high. Hopefully we all cash in though. I do think the GFS was way too suppressed.
  25. SnoSki14
    Just keep in mind the Euro tends to overamplify systems while the Gfs can be more suppressed. I'll take a mix of the two for now and see what happens next couple days. NYC metro looks good even if it takes a more amped track.
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