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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Precip looks to pivot N&W west even if it stays east. We'd likely get some tropical enhancement due to its close proximity. Also if it stays broad and/or subtropical which is more likely then the location of the CoC won't matter much in terms of impact.
  2. SnoSki14
    Thinking Friday is much more active than expected. TS Fay is looking more and more likely.
  3. SnoSki14
    I'm not sure I've ever seen that on radar, at least not in our area.
  4. SnoSki14
    Next week looks really hot. If we avoid onshore flow and clouds we could see mid to upper 90s for several days. The recent dry weather would even argue for higher temps.
  5. SnoSki14
    I don't see anything beyond what we've been seeing so far. Probably just upper 80s to low 90s. Nothing crazy for July. 2010-2011 ain't walking through that door. The strongest heat will likely be to our north this season.
  6. SnoSki14
    If it meets the criteria then it should get a name. Dolly definitely met the criteria for a TS.
  7. SnoSki14
    Should make for an interesting winter forecast.
  8. SnoSki14
    Euro night and day vs yesterday. July 4th weekend remains a question mark.
  9. SnoSki14
    Overnight Euro is already pulling back on any extreme heat. Looks like another omega block showing up. Cutoff with onshore flow to start July, could exit by July 4th though these systems tend to stick around longer. GFS OP would be very cool to start July.
  10. SnoSki14
    I don't see anything beyond low 90s, there's also hints of more onshore flow. I don't buy the big heat the Euro is selling.
  11. SnoSki14
    Euro/EPS definitely showing more of a cutoff situation again. Looks like typical early summer weather with us probably averaging slightly AN due to warm mins. Have to watch for more onshore flow though which will keep temps down.
  12. SnoSki14
    Not too concerned about drought where I am. Doesn't take much to get a good quick soaking in the summer and we're actually near normal for June with stormier conditions on the way.
  13. SnoSki14
    The subtropical ridge has shifted so far north that we're getting onshore flow on the backside of it. But yes it is pretty incredible, the Siberian heat is also extremely unusual.
  14. SnoSki14
    The dry weather could actually aid in us getting 100s in July/August if a pattern develops that can funnel that kind of heat. Also 90s delayed not denied for early next week instead of this weekend?
  15. SnoSki14
    Huh? Guidance shows large +PNA and troughiness in the east late June into July. There's no evidence of any prolonged hot spell.
  16. SnoSki14
    A lot of that will get knocked down in the days ahead. We'll see what happens post easterly flow.
  17. SnoSki14
    Another near 90F day today. Probably the warmest day for a while though Tue/Wed could be pretty warm.
  18. SnoSki14
    It'll be interesting. 2020 would be the year for some catastrophic 1938 style cane.
  19. SnoSki14
    Close call for first 90s here today. Places like Newark & NYC probably won't get there. Think it'll be a while before NYC gets their 1st 90F given the pattern.
  20. SnoSki14
    I was gonna say it seems a few spots hit 90-91F down south.
  21. SnoSki14
    It looks pretty expansive, I don't think it'll miss us.
  22. SnoSki14
    Very warm weather will be hard to sustain as ridge wants to park itself in the Midwest and then fold under SNE. You may get a 1-2 day heat spurt but that's about it.
  23. SnoSki14
    Yesterday was our last shot at 90F for a while. We'll see what happens 2nd week of June but I have a feeling the troughiness to our east will come in stronger as ridging builds in the Midwest.
  24. SnoSki14
    No 90F today but very muggy and warm nonetheless. Some showers firing off.
  25. SnoSki14
    At first glance there'll be tendency for ridging to focus north & west of us with lower heights around our region. The GFS is trying to form a broad ridge over the US but it's likely overdoing it. Thinking June ends up a tad BN due to more onshore flow days helped by very cool SSTs offshore & the early June cool airmass.
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