Could be even worse honestly. April this year is substantially warmer than last, we're talking top 5 warmest, and this looks to continue with the WAR pattern.
I think a brutally hot yet stormy summer is on tap.
Latest Euro picking up on the blocking, considerably colder now than 0z run.
Strong -NAO/AO incoming, more southward corrections in storm track and subsequently colder air wouldn't surprise me.
This would be after Tuesday, Sat-Tue look mild overall.
Probably a cooler than normal mid April. We could see some late season nor'easters if the -NAO ends up being really strong.
NAO effects will get more and more diluted as season progresses though.
Teens in the coldest spots are likely, dews are below zero in many places and in the single digits for most.
Like a desert, temps will tank once the sun sets.
Temps are a good 10 degrees higher than forecast, instability is greater than expected as I've gotten a lot of sun.
Will be interesting to see what happens later on. Some storms starting to sprout in eastern PA.
They did today. Only reached the low 40s, ten degrees below forecast.
I think we'll see a lot of these kinds of days March-May. Canada is cold with well AN snows and highs pressing from our NE have been a common occurrence.
SSTs to our E/NE are near to BN as well.