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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Could be even worse honestly. April this year is substantially warmer than last, we're talking top 5 warmest, and this looks to continue with the WAR pattern. I think a brutally hot yet stormy summer is on tap.
  2. Models show temps could be well in the 80s for early next week as massive ridge dominates the CONUS.
  3. HRRR showing intense squall line near daybreak. Derecho maybe?
  4. Already an early look at a 2018 summer repeat. Maybe this time the heat will match the humidity and give us the hottest summer ever (dews + temps).
  5. Sounded like a pretty generic and broad forecast to me. "May should be nice if we don't get any BDCF and cut-off lows" Isn't that how it is every May?
  6. Those dreaded east winds keeping things chilly today, only 46F right now.
  7. Early signs of a brutally hot & humid summer? Chances are trough stays in west-midwest while coasts heat up.
  8. Could be a nice severe weather pattern though for the summer.
  9. We don't get them nearly as often as eastern SNE does. Sometimes they see these BDCF all the way into June.
  10. Nearly a 30 degree difference between today and yesterday. 48F vs 77
  11. 51F, down 15 degrees in past 2-3 hours. Nam wins on the BDCF battle. Probably no better than low 50s today.
  12. Gorgeous weather down here. 30s & 40s sound dreadful.
  13. Latest Euro picking up on the blocking, considerably colder now than 0z run. Strong -NAO/AO incoming, more southward corrections in storm track and subsequently colder air wouldn't surprise me. This would be after Tuesday, Sat-Tue look mild overall.
  14. Probably a cooler than normal mid April. We could see some late season nor'easters if the -NAO ends up being really strong. NAO effects will get more and more diluted as season progresses though.
  15. That's a huge AO drop though, I think a coastal or a brush by is still on the table.
  16. A blistering 77F right now.
  17. Teens in the coldest spots are likely, dews are below zero in many places and in the single digits for most. Like a desert, temps will tank once the sun sets.
  18. Yea no big spring warm-up here. Days like last Friday will be few and far between. Was in the mid to upper 20s last couple nights for lows.
  19. Not bad, had a big burst of wind, some very heavy downpours and a few strikes. Probably just a couple notches below severe criteria.
  20. Temps are a good 10 degrees higher than forecast, instability is greater than expected as I've gotten a lot of sun. Will be interesting to see what happens later on. Some storms starting to sprout in eastern PA.
  21. HRRR has been consistent with a line of strong storms coming through. They should spark up over Western NJ/eastern PA over the next couple hours.
  22. Not surprisingly temperatures have blown past forecasts, now 74F and climbing.
  23. Keep an eye on Monday with a pretty energetic shortwave coming down the pipe. 12z GFS tries to blow it up some more than previous runs.
  24. They did today. Only reached the low 40s, ten degrees below forecast. I think we'll see a lot of these kinds of days March-May. Canada is cold with well AN snows and highs pressing from our NE have been a common occurrence. SSTs to our E/NE are near to BN as well.
  25. It's a one, maybe two day torch followed by a massive PNA and east coast trough. Huge storm potential March 18-25 period.
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