SnoSki14

Very odd pattern for this time of year. Euro looks like early spring with semi cut-off low pressure systems scouring across the southern US. The only places that'll see BN temperatures are parts of the south due to clouds/rain. There's zero arctic transport so the best you could hope for is a bombing system & perfect track and even that may not do it.

Next week was the potential some people highlighted with the Hudson bay block. They were correct in that regard. Of course none of that matters if the airmass isn't favorable. EPS looks a bit better though.

That's a hail Mary type of threat late next week. Very little cold air but the track may not be terrible. Could be good for New England where they have more breathing room. +PNA & MJO passing thru 7 likely helps. Afterwards the MJO basically stays in the circle. I'm in favor of it popping out near 8 after Feb 10 with lagged impacts 10-14 days later. Early forecasts show it starting that loop as we begin Feb. Should set the stage for a late winter comeback Feb 20 through March.

With temps in the 40s? There's no cold air in sight. Doesn't matter if the track is good if we have a rotting Pacific airmass in place.

Massive -NAO is equally possible like past few years and I strongly favor it.

JB is looking more stupid each passing day. He said 93/94 and 14/15 was coming in Feb. What a joke! Oh well on to late Feb/March for our next snowstorm. I predict a massive Greenland block as we enter March.

And it's been garbage.

Mt. Holly agrees. Looks like a snow to rain system for most.

My belief is that in due time everyone will transition over simply from market forces alone. Not sure when we'll get to net zero emissions but there's always a new breakthrough on the horizon nuclear fusion being the holy grail of them all. That doesn't mean the transition period won't be rough though. I think a lot of lives will be lost and trillions of dollars from weather related disasters will be commonplace for a few decades before everything stabilizes. I don't think it'll be the end of the world as some proclaim.

3-4" would be like a HECS this season. Nice to see things trend positively as we get close to the event for once.

It's a day 9/10 system, why are we even arguing about temps.

Doesn't look like it'll enter 8 though. Seems it goes through 7 and dies off in circle or stay in 6/7 at very low amplitudes.

That's a point a lot of people either ignore or worse. I believe the US/Europe contribute 15% of all emissions & are gradually declining while China/India/Russia do the rest and they're rising. Even if the US/Europe were to go net zero we'd still have a global problem. Unless those countries change, nothing will change.

Good forecast so far by Iso. Can't argue with majority of snowfall falling in late Feb/March.

That would be nice. At least models didn't destroy the snow threat this time.

This will likely be our last shot at snow for awhile so enjoy it. I think 1-3" remains a good call with higher amounts N&W of the city. It'll feel like winter for a change.

Yeah everytime there's promise it keeps getting pulled back. Even the current cold shot is much less severe than initially expected and then we're back in the 40s and 50s next week. I should've stuck with my late Feb to March winter comeback prediction because so far everything has gone just as bad as last season (worse in fact).

If only they were reliable. Last season they were a disaster.

Would fit the cold/snowy March pattern we've been in. Also Feb's have pretty much roasted after 2015.

A true win this season. Hopefully it doesn't get washed away though.

I didn't rip anything. It does look like April, it looked like April the last run. Are you stalking me now. And the Euro showed it looping back to 6 a couple days ago too. Don't get mad at me because your forecast may not work out.

Anything beyond a certain time frame should always be taken with a grain of salt. And given how crappy the winter has gone it could only go up from here.

Well it does just not quite when we want it. Is November/March considered winter? Oh well hope everyone enjoys their March HECS this year.

I meant 500mb, geez just take the compliment. Relax it's just the weather.

Don't worry the pattern change is coming. Have faith in PB.