SnoSki14

Worst winter ever for me when you take into account slightly AN temps (N-J), AN precip, preseason forecasts, November tease, all snow to rain systems, and those atrocious weeklies.

Will probably get reduced to a typical wind advisory. Gusts of 50+ could be quite widespread though Monday morning/afternoon.

I can't wait to move past this. Just a couple more weeks to go. But at least everyone knew it would suck and the warmth was really nice that winter. This winter has been pure torture, nothing but one big tease that led to nothing. December & January were barely AN with well AN precip and all we got were dustings. We have nowhere to go but up after this season. The early March cold will be nothing more than a nuisance, which doesn't surprise me anymore. I hope we can get some nice days after the 10th but I fear the Pacific jet will keep things very rainy.

No, more of the same garbage with a bunch of obnoxiously cold days that'll try to hamper early Spring.

It's been the most brutal winter I can remember. And man what a head fake November turned out to be. I can't wait till Spring arrives and this wretched winter gets bleached out of existence. I wish the -EPO was just gone and we could torch March completely 2012 style.

This is already the most pure snow I've had since the November storm, which is very sad. 27/24F

It's snowing nicely, already a solid coating on the ground.

Some resistance to the cold on the coast courtesy of WAR/SE ridging. It could also be where the storminess sets up.

Also depends on where the heavier banding sets up, currently this looks to be from C NJ on west. It'll be close for NYC.

That could easily end up further north, it's a common trend as we get close to the event. HRRR isn't very reliable outside of 8 hours though but it does support the 1-2" hourly max rates.

I think you're blinded by your anti-snow bias. 3-6" is a good call, a lot of forecasts suggest this. Snow will come in like a wall.

Some similarities to the November storm. This is a much colder airmass than we've seen with the other storms. Dews are only in the single digits.

I don't see much sleet with this. Looks like a front end snow thump to rain scenario for us. Primary is weak and very far to the west and there's a strong cold airmass in place. This is much different than the last two systems. One had a very strong intensifying primary (980s) in the lakes to secondary. The other (Sunday) had a weak low right near us with little CAD ahead of it. 1-3" WWA is too low. 3-6" is much more likely. Snow could be heavy for a time, maybe 1-2"+ hour rates. This will be a classic WAA thumper.

I think we'll be good through March 10 and warm afterwards but I suppose it could last longer too. EPS MJO looks to also be following a similar path to last year.

The winter of garbage and scraps continues. They'll just be enough future snowfall in the books to stay out of the top 10 lowest territory. But of course it'll all be gone in 12 hours anyway. If we get 3"+ then this winter will go from the worst I've experienced to the third worst.

I have to disagree, this is a classic WAA front-end thump. It happened a few years ago where we had like 5-6" in an hour or two. There's a reason why warnings are up in the Mid-Atlantic. But we're definitely on the northern edge of this, so it'll be a close call.

Mid-Atlantic may get a crushing thump while we get screwed on Wed lol.

And it won't make any difference. Too little, too late.

People need to give this winter a rest. It's been a flop and there's no miracle coming to save us. March 2018 ain't walking through that door. Better luck next winter.

I hope this is a record warm March, I'll take anything to completely blast this winter into oblivion. It's been the worst winter ever.

You're without a doubt the anti-Snow88, the truth is somewhere in the middle.

That was a given, idk why forecasters never go over on days like this. I think we will score some light events next week. There's a ton of confluence that's acting like a 50/50 low helping to keep systems from getting too amped.

I've noticed the models have been gradually weakening the SE ridge. Not surprising with the MJO likely to meander in phase 8 for the next 2 weeks. I think it's highly unlikely we see an over amped system. At the very least they may play out like SWFE, same goes for Monday.

I think spectacular fails like this winter provide the best learning tools for future forecasts, so at least some good will come out of it. And maybe we can still salvage what's left of this disaster for the last month of true winter.

Spring can't get here fast enough. Oh well, just a few more weeks of this disaster to go.