Jump to content

SnoSki14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,449

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    Models have been all over the place but warmer than normal should win out. Also already 47F at 11PM, gonna take the under with 46F forecast low.
  2. SnoSki14
    If the ridging is correct late next week then we'll probably make a run at 90 late September.
  3. SnoSki14
    It can't get much worse than last year.
  4. SnoSki14
    If it meets the definition of a TC then it should get a name no matter how weak, sloppy or short-lived it's expected to be.
  5. SnoSki14
    Depends on the cutoff situation
  6. SnoSki14
    It's complicated and Teddy's evolution will play a role in the future pattern. Looks like it'll cause the NAO to go negative.
  7. SnoSki14
    GFS showing 80s late September.
  8. SnoSki14
    To its credit it did spot the phase and curl NW into Canada that models are now catching onto. Hopefully it plays out that way as it will likely generate massive swells just offshore.
  9. SnoSki14
    Most likely scenario. A bit too early to see a big phased in trough, but October could be interesting.
  10. SnoSki14
    The GFS was trending synoptically towards the Euro.
  11. SnoSki14
    Most likely a disappointment though hopefully it'll come close enough for some big swells.
  12. SnoSki14
    Euro seems pretty convinced of that cutoff and blocking high. There's also a clear SW trend with the cutoff. I don't think Teddy will get that far west because of how far east it is to begin with but it's an intriguing setup nonetheless.
  13. SnoSki14
    40s this morning, probably the coolest weather since May or about 4 months. Looks really cool this weekend and I wouldn't be surprised to see lows undercutting guidance by several degrees so upper 30s maybe? Interesting that forecast discussion points out smoke will keep temps down several degrees today. Likely had an impact yesterday as well.
  14. SnoSki14
    Yeah the cooling is not something we're used to. I see multiple highs in the 60s starting Friday with lows in the mid 40s for next weekend. Tonight into tomorrow looks coolish as well. Should help jumpstart the foliage.
  15. SnoSki14
    Something could develop off the SE coast next week under the large high in the northeast. Models hinting that could become a coastal storm or subtropical storm as it moves north.
  16. SnoSki14
    That looks a bit more favorable for winter if that type of pattern were to hold. Maybe more like 16/17.
  17. SnoSki14
    It's like talking to a brick wall. You could present 1000s of examples and they'll make an excuse for all of them. Don't waste your breath.
  18. SnoSki14
    It'll still likely average AN but it'll certainly feel much cooler than we're used to with actual BN days. Looks like the heat will stay in the west and northern plains for now.
  19. SnoSki14
    Maybe but the window is rapidly closing. We'll probably just see more the same above normal, dewey weather. There are a couple autumnal like cool intrusions though.
  20. SnoSki14
    Barely anything with this.
  21. SnoSki14
    This sucker is poised to be a major (3rd after Paulette) and I have zero doubt it'll impact the US eventually but all those island interactions will complicate things.
  22. SnoSki14
    Looks like a bust for NJ. HRRR is very dry.
  23. SnoSki14
    Barely anything in central nj, looks like everything is east.
  24. SnoSki14
    That would be the one to watch. The other one near Bermuda should be a nice wave maker if it gets to major status. PNA expected to tank which means strong ridging building out east.
  25. SnoSki14
    I see this year as a late bloomer. Late September through October could be very active with a rather late onset of Nina conditions.
×
×
  • Create New...