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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. Early ensemble suggest this may be a common theme for June at least.
  2. That might be amplified this year with a much larger area of cold SST anomalies. Anyone betting on early 90s will be disappointed.
  3. There's little need for 90s right now. It'll be plenty warm this week with upper 70s to low 80s likely, which is above normal actually.
  4. Rain now parking over my county. Rough start to the holiday weekend.
  5. Could April, May & June be BN? When's the last time that happened.
  6. Average highs are in the mid 70s. The 90s can wait till July.
  7. A chilly 45F right now. Can't believe memorial day is in a few days.
  8. Pretty cool here at only 60F, very windy as well. Crappy weather for beaches memorial day weekend.
  9. Overhead ridging will promote more easterly flow. Not a classic hot Bermuda ridge pattern.
  10. Isn't that the default forecast every summer.
  11. I think the first 90s will have to wait till June. There's a ton of easterly flow down the pipe. I'm fine with that. The 90s could hold off till July for all I care.
  12. I feel like we won't see much rain but it'll be dreary, cloudy, breezy for most of the week. 50s to low 60s
  13. GFS brings the subtropical system straight north & interacts with ULL. Looks messy. Could be gusty too with moderate coastal flooding.
  14. The potential is there. We'll see what happens. Summery day today, 85 with dews in the 60s.
  15. A lot of forecasts I've seen had near to above normal snow this year courtesy of west based Nino. Whatever the ENSO state it'll all depend on blocking as always.
  16. Last two winters were supposed to be huge for us and were duds so I think I'll take my chances. The standard analogs have less punch than they used to. Also it can't get any worse than last winter outside of zero snow I suppose.
  17. Easterly fetch would still keep us cool but far cry from what it was showing. Will see if it shifts again. PS. Looks like a bit of easterly influence today. Mid 60s here while mid 70s in western NJ.
  18. I wonder if the emerging Nina will disrupt it. I'm hoping we see a strong Nina to radically alter this stale pattern we've been in.
  19. Models clearly have a lot to work out next week. GFS radically different this run. Hopefully ULL stays south of us, I'm ready for a nice long warm stretch.
  20. Yes, next 3 days look warm to very warm especially Friday. Next week is somewhat up in the air. We'll see how pessimistic models become but the risk of several cooler/wet days is there. Unless the last week of May is a huge torch it'll be tough to wipe out the negative departures this month.
  21. The low or subtropical storm is partially captured by an ULL near the coast.
  22. Omega block possibly setting up. 80s/90s cancelled.
  23. Looks like an omega block pattern developing early next week on Euro/GFS. Both trending stronger with ULL/sub-tropical storm off coast. If true would be cool & unsettled next week.
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