Jump to content

SnoSki14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    14,534

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    The upcoming pattern is an absolute ice destroyer, massive blocking high over the Arctic. Extent will plummet late June into July. https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/reforecast2/teleconn/forecast.html
  2. SnoSki14
    Just a little too far north to be impacted. South Central NJ has been the severe weather capital as of late.
  3. SnoSki14
    Had plenty of sunny breaks, very warm and humid now. Getting pretty unstable, I'd be surprised if we didn't see some flooding rains and/or severe weather later.
  4. SnoSki14
    The ice has gotten battered due to a very unfavorable May/June, and the pattern is only projected to get worse as renewed blocking develops. I expect a cliff dive in sea ice next couple weeks.
  5. SnoSki14
    Yeah that's annoying, we waited all of last winter for the -NAO to show up and nothing happened.
  6. SnoSki14
    Hopefully that stays away from my area.
  7. SnoSki14
    That persistent cold pool will temper any sort of high heat. I'd be very cautious about LR models that depict any sort of high and especially sustained heat.
  8. SnoSki14
    And soon the daylight will start to reverse, oh the horror.
  9. SnoSki14
    This is the kind of pattern where someone could get 5"+ and someone could see nothing. Best chance for widespread heavy rain will be later this week.
  10. SnoSki14
    Talk about a tepid warm signal. There's no way you're getting big heat with that massive cold pool to the NE. At best it'll be slightly AN due to high mins.
  11. SnoSki14
    Our chance at 90F this month could be shot as the big heat stays south. It's not often we see zero 90s in June.
  12. SnoSki14
    Sounds good, after last summers sauna it would be nice to see a normal summer.
  13. SnoSki14
    My windows have been open numerous times May-June, which is very rare. The dews and even the mins on several days have been very comfortable too tho that's likely to change as we get into the thick of summer.
  14. SnoSki14
    For early April yes. Still cloudy and very gusty by me. 63F.
  15. SnoSki14
    Yeah we ain't getting much from this.
  16. SnoSki14
    I'll take it. The pleasant weather has been a bit too boring for my taste.
  17. SnoSki14
    June's become one of those rare near normal months as of late kind of what March has turned into, a +0.5 to +1 month appears likely again this year.
  18. SnoSki14
    Except that the blocking is more than residual, June may set another 500mb record for blocking at this rate. Can things drastically change by July, definitely, but I've got a feeling this current pattern isn't going anywhere. And to be clear we're still technically AN right now, so the only thing that's being kept at bay is the high heat maxes.
  19. SnoSki14
    So will the 90 forecasts.
  20. SnoSki14
    Record low ice this year?
  21. SnoSki14
    As climos still going up it's possible to sneak in a 90 degree day or two by that time. However it's also more likely that models scale back on any heat potential as we approach that period.
  22. SnoSki14
    And it'll be wrong as it was in the past.
  23. SnoSki14
    Could end up being an average summer, which would feel downright cool versus what we're used to. But it's also possible that the -NAO translates into hotter weather by mid July.
  24. SnoSki14
    Pretty ridiculous Greenland blocking on the models especially for what will be mid June. Definitely no big heat (85+) for the foreseeable future. I wonder what role this will play for the hurricane season.
  25. SnoSki14
    Yup a good 10 degrees colder just away from the metro. 47F for me, probably the coldest we'll see until September.
×
×
  • Create New...