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SnoSki14

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Everything posted by SnoSki14

  1. SnoSki14
    At first glance there'll be tendency for ridging to focus north & west of us with lower heights around our region. The GFS is trying to form a broad ridge over the US but it's likely overdoing it. Thinking June ends up a tad BN due to more onshore flow days helped by very cool SSTs offshore & the early June cool airmass.
  2. SnoSki14
    Early ensemble suggest this may be a common theme for June at least.
  3. SnoSki14
    That might be amplified this year with a much larger area of cold SST anomalies. Anyone betting on early 90s will be disappointed.
  4. SnoSki14
    There's little need for 90s right now. It'll be plenty warm this week with upper 70s to low 80s likely, which is above normal actually.
  5. SnoSki14
    Rain now parking over my county. Rough start to the holiday weekend.
  6. SnoSki14
    Could April, May & June be BN? When's the last time that happened.
  7. SnoSki14
    Average highs are in the mid 70s. The 90s can wait till July.
  8. SnoSki14
    A chilly 45F right now. Can't believe memorial day is in a few days.
  9. SnoSki14
    Pretty cool here at only 60F, very windy as well. Crappy weather for beaches memorial day weekend.
  10. SnoSki14
    Overhead ridging will promote more easterly flow. Not a classic hot Bermuda ridge pattern.
  11. SnoSki14
    Isn't that the default forecast every summer.
  12. SnoSki14
    I think the first 90s will have to wait till June. There's a ton of easterly flow down the pipe. I'm fine with that. The 90s could hold off till July for all I care.
  13. SnoSki14
    Really crappy for beaches though, only 50s
  14. SnoSki14
    I feel like we won't see much rain but it'll be dreary, cloudy, breezy for most of the week. 50s to low 60s
  15. SnoSki14
    GFS brings the subtropical system straight north & interacts with ULL. Looks messy. Could be gusty too with moderate coastal flooding.
  16. SnoSki14
    The potential is there. We'll see what happens. Summery day today, 85 with dews in the 60s.
  17. SnoSki14
    A lot of forecasts I've seen had near to above normal snow this year courtesy of west based Nino. Whatever the ENSO state it'll all depend on blocking as always.
  18. SnoSki14
    Last two winters were supposed to be huge for us and were duds so I think I'll take my chances. The standard analogs have less punch than they used to. Also it can't get any worse than last winter outside of zero snow I suppose.
  19. SnoSki14
    Easterly fetch would still keep us cool but far cry from what it was showing. Will see if it shifts again. PS. Looks like a bit of easterly influence today. Mid 60s here while mid 70s in western NJ.
  20. SnoSki14
    I wonder if the emerging Nina will disrupt it. I'm hoping we see a strong Nina to radically alter this stale pattern we've been in.
  21. SnoSki14
    Models clearly have a lot to work out next week. GFS radically different this run. Hopefully ULL stays south of us, I'm ready for a nice long warm stretch.
  22. SnoSki14
    Yes, next 3 days look warm to very warm especially Friday. Next week is somewhat up in the air. We'll see how pessimistic models become but the risk of several cooler/wet days is there. Unless the last week of May is a huge torch it'll be tough to wipe out the negative departures this month.
  23. SnoSki14
    The low or subtropical storm is partially captured by an ULL near the coast.
  24. SnoSki14
    Nope
  25. SnoSki14
    Omega block possibly setting up. 80s/90s cancelled.
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