Daniel Boone

Kmrx still says changing to rain here by 11 a.m.... we'll see i guess.

Steady lt.to moderate snow. Between quarter and half inch so far.

I guess they didn't want the general public to see how bad their forecasted amounts busted. It was understandable with the waffling model Data. So, id just shown the correct shaded amounts if I were them. Could be they actually believed their portrayed amounts were the case as they get few reports from the area, and some are from citizen estimates.

See they did post a couple of actual spotter reports from Lee County. Although, they whitewashed the rest as if the reported lollipops were in just those very small areas. I went to Pennington gap today. They had 5 as well. Dryden between there and Big Stone reported 4 to 5" I saw pictures from there. So, those higher totals were more widespread than indicated at least in Lee County..

5 inches of heavy, wet snow. Power outages reported.

Here's a shot from Jonesville in Lee County this Morning.

There's power outages here in Lee County. The amounts have been pretty uniform with generally 5-6" reported Eastern sections with 3 or so far western section of County. Melting taking place now as Temp. Is 34. Still some very lt. Snow falling. It was an all snow event here.

As suspected, HRRR was grossly overdoing Downsloping here. In actuality, all short range underforecasted amounts here. Closest was RGEM and NAM 12k I suppose. Euro /Cmc as far as Med.range Mods.

Another Shot.

Measured 5 inches of snow here in Jonesville VA as of 7:30 A.M..

Measured 5 inches of snow here in Jonesville VA as of 7:30 A.M..

Flurries began here about 11:40 .

Just started snowing here.

Currently 35 here. Noticed Bristols 40. Downsloping appears greater there for now. Hrrr didn't do well here for Christmas storm. Of course, different setup but, it as with the Nam 3k does tend to overdo Downsloping here in Lee County. Although, in the current situation with the wind trajectory, unfortunately it may be close to being right.

Yep, for sure John. Brisk NE wind as well. Just hope there'll be heavy precip rates as in the Feb. 05 one. Forecasts busted big time then here as originally under an inch then as was already underway, 1-3", then ws warning basically after the fact. Downsloping, too warm etc...reasoning. Without low dps and heavy rates, early call would've worked. At least, this time we're colder.

If they go by 12z Euro they'll definitely put out wwas and wsw. . They may hold off and watch a couple more SR mods first. Tough when there's so much variance with the mods at such close range.

Thanks buddy. Yeah, that one was rather odd. Marginal temps. The most reported was right along the border of Tenn/ Va. where 8-9 " accumulated. Power outages occurred as limbs fell. I measured 5 at my home in west of Jonesville near the Cedars area then *(in the Valley at 1400 ft). Had limbs fall . Heavy and wet. It was 47 degrees just b4 precip began with a stiff NE wind . I watched snow move up Powell Mountain and spread Ne. Then it started as a lt rain that very quickly mixed as DPS were upper 20s then. It became heavy and rapidly changed to all snow. I worked with a guy then that lived just 2 miles south of me and he said he had 8" I went to Stickleyville(ele; 1650) the next morning and there was 9" there. From there traversed to Big Stone Gap where there was none ! Keokee on a plateau in Northern Lee, *ele, 2400ft+-) none.

My bad John. It was 04. I used to have all storms memorised to the day but, antiquity along with health has really played a number.

In case anyone saw my last post . I corrected the date of that event . It was Feb. 15 2005. Would post maps from then but, too sick even do it now. Tennessee folks check that one out. Even bordering counties in Va. were clocked.

Looking alot like Feb. 15, 2004. Feast or famine with sharp north cutoff.

I still can't pull the trigger on a big Dog for my area as the RGEM has me a bit concerned as it has been money this season here. However, big Dog trigger pulled for Smokies. This system may do something akin to the Feb. 15 2005 storm. Temps were marginal and there was a sharp cutoff on the nnw quadrant. Lee County ranged from a trace northern section (Keokee) to 5 Jonesville to 8 -10" just south of there across the southern half of County bordering Tenn. to Stickleyville bordering Scott county, va. I'm sure John can detail that one. Interesting one 4 sure.

Trended SE from 06z. Hopefully, not an actual trend . Euro did similar with Christmas Storm at this range. Hopefully, same deal here. Short range main watch party from here in anyway.

Riding the Rap...maybe my possible big dog bold prediction trigger will be pulled shortly, lol

Tbh, I hadn't looked at them at all today either as feeling rough kept me from delving n2 them. So, just was getting the info from you guy's, of which is hard to beat. Great bunch we have here! A full latt. Trough was something that was prominent in the Winter of 78-79. Particularly January and February. Strong blocking was the impetus similar to what's being advertised now. The entire Nation was below average except for Maine and south Florida as I recall.