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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, lr will tend to want to show some enso base state pattern influences such as Alaskan/Aleutian ridging. Probability is higher of those occurrences with Nina base state as we know. Hopefully, a PV stretch or MJO will thwart that but, won't be surprised if the former happens. Wavelengths will begin shortening in Feb. as Carver alluded to so , things will shuffle for sure.
  2. Daniel Boone
    I used to interact with him but, lost all respect. He is, as is any passioned Met or Enthusiast, knowledgeable in pretty much all facets of Meteorology. However, he is the epitome of Narcissist. Very insulting and demeaning if anyone disagrees with him. He busted terribly with his Wolfing Winter Storm back in December. He , as most other's did, bit the Model's projections. Thing is, if you brought it to his attention he'd lose his cool and excise it off somehow.
  3. Daniel Boone
    About an inch and a half here. Sun's coming out now. Much of County did receive more but, I wound up with more than expected as it looked last night we'd be lucky to get an inch.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Shafted here so far. heavy dusting. looks like western end of County doing good.
  5. Daniel Boone
    light snow falling here.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Exactly. They're showing way more than typical elevation differences. Could be there factoring boundary layer heavier than usual.
  7. Daniel Boone
    That Feb. 2015 one wound up being the 15-20 inches deal for here. North Jonesville, near Stone Mountain officially reported 20 while my local se of Town 15".
  8. Daniel Boone
    My take on the Models depiction for area's like Wise for instance are snowfall projections are too low, if the setup depicted is realized.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Good work Holston ! Thanks for all you do. I seldom feel like doing much these days and what you, Carver's John etal do really helps. I Hope / pray your loved one"s are recovering.
  10. Daniel Boone
    You know that couldn't happen. KMRX say's you only have a 40-50% chance of an inch or more. lol
  11. Daniel Boone
    Praying for you and your Family brother. I hope all goes well and for a speedy recovery.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Those were the good ole day's.
  13. Daniel Boone
    That's that meltdown I was talking about brother, lol.
  14. Daniel Boone
    We are really having trouble getting any meaningful 50-50 LP this Season. A problem for sure. Those SST's there apparently the main culprit.
  15. Daniel Boone
    The warmest January on record Analog. lol.
  16. Daniel Boone
    There are some signs an overall mild eastern pattern continues with short breaks through January(hopefully not). You know, if the mild eastern pattern remains dominant into early FEB., the 71-72 may come into play as somewhat of an analog. That was a 2nd Year Nina and was one of mine for last Winter. That Winter featured an Alaskan Vortex in Jan/Feb of which finally shifted by mid Feb.(may of been a strat. disruption) and much of that cold moved into the Eastern US. A Miller A moved up the coast that phased with a LP over the Eastern Lakes. We received 8 inches from that one on the 17th. That was a memorable one for me as I was in hospital with the Flu . I recall people commenting that day that it was in the 20's out and the snow had just started just west of Town(Penn.gap). I got out the next day and man was it cold and windy!
  17. Daniel Boone
    Been keeping up with that one. I've been letting the locals know about it as a time to watch for the possibility of wet snow. I'm thinking a pretty good liklihood for higher eles but leaning , mainly cold rain lower for the most part as of now.
  18. Daniel Boone
    The West is having a banter Winter ❄️ Nina's their best friend out there.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Exactly. If you just look at where the Model's have the MJO, you'll see the correspondence in the 500 Chart's. It carries alot of weight.
  20. Daniel Boone
    An excerpt from a Weather channel Article : There are documented case's of a foot per hour in Lake effect area's of New York. Burt compiled a list of the record snowfall rates in his book "Extreme Weather", and the top amount in a single hour was 12 inches in Copenhagen, New York, Dec. 2, 1966. That same location also picked up 6 inches in 30 minutes during the event I've recorded 6" in an hour and 10 minutes.
  21. Daniel Boone
    You may be right brother. I am sort of leaning(more like hoping for,lol) toward a non typical Nina Feb. . I'm banking that on the MJO. Those SST's should warm enough by then to allow for greater amplitude into the cold phases. Of course, we will start having wave length changes late Month of which will affect one way or the other. The Atlantic is really a thorn still, as we need that 50-50 and those SST's affecting that area may not become favorable.
  22. Daniel Boone
    excellent way of describing it. well said, lol
  23. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I agree wholeheartedly. The Month will probably end warmer than average but, not outrageously so. That's base Nina. Almost a given . However, if we can get things to align right if that MJO gets into cold ph. and crawls, there's a chance for maybe a somewhat cooler than avg. Month . Tough to do in a Nina as we all know but, it can and has happened.
  24. Daniel Boone
    The Southeast Crew is having a meltdown. Some of the Twitter musings they're looking at. I don't know what some of those are going by but, nothing has really given a definitive absolute of a warm January like some are touting . Like it's set in stone; like the Gospel or something.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Happened here in Feb. 2015.
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