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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, noticed that. Hopefully, it's out to lunch on that run. I never liked it as it was always too low on snowfall projections for this area as there were always more realized. however, it did improve last Winter. So, hope it's not onto something. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The loss of electric is a real possibility. The cut backs on production by the Biden Admin. has already put a strain on the grid. This is worrisome to say the least. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, definitely makes a difference. Each ever recorded record cold featured good snowpack. One exception I can think of is the Christmas '83 outbreak. Dry as a bone but, the high was Zero where I lived at the time in Pennington gap. I can only speculate how cold it would have been had there been snowpack. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Let's just hope it's wrong. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah. You can bet if skies clear and winds subside they'll be below zero reading's one or two of the mornings. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Shouldn't surprise us. That far SE System yesterday hogged a decent amount of moisture from our south. The system off the coast will zap some toward it. Not alot to work with. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep, sure was here too brother. 37" for the Month in Pennington gap. 33.4" in Jonesville. Northern Lee and Wise County , 50+ . Unreal ! -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I hadn't been thinking clear on this upcoming cold and thought was coldest since feb 96 but, then I remembered feb 20 2015. -16 Jonesville. - 20 Pennington gap morning lows. I recorded a high of 12. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
That's somewhat disturbing to say the least. -
December 22-23, 2022: Warm Rain to Arctic Chill
Daniel Boone replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, it's looking like it may be falling inline with the GFS. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Excellent post Carver's ! Nothing needs added. Right on the Money imo.- 582 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Exactly. Nam3k at this range performed terrible at my location Winter before last. Heck, it even did right before each event ! If it had been right, 80% of the Snow we got would if been Rain. -
December 22-23, 2022: Warm Rain to Arctic Chill
Daniel Boone replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Remember that well. Actually, January '78 is the time I remember. We were supposed to of gotten in in the great Ohio Valley Blizzard of '78. Warnings were up. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Actually meant to chime in earlier but, recently spoke with KMRX about the forecasts they put out and what input is used. They said they use the NBM. So, that explains the low forecasted snow Total they put out this afternoon. So, unless more come inline with the GFS and RGEM they'll continue with the low forecasted amounts. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, you're right on as usual brother. Rgem has shown to be the best, overall, irt snowfall projections for our area. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
They're basically following Euro looks like. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, late December '69 a good example. Very cold, snowy winter. '95-96, overall cold and very snowy had bouts of heavy rain and flooding. Winter '63.. etc.. could go on and on. P. S., felt should throw this in. There have been a few exceptions to the rule of severe Winter's having their thaws and flooding. 76-77 and '77-78 come to mind. 76-77 did flood but, wasn't till Spring. April 4th. Those are extremely rare and exceptions to the rule, however.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wouldn't be surprised, lol. Hopefully that firehouse runs into a huge eastern, Arctic Jet driven Trough and overflows it with Snow ❄️- 582 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The theme for the fall and early Winter has been 3 weeks cold west vs a week to 10 days cold east. Block or no block. I don't know why but, it's as if we are going through a cyclic continual process. The Nina is the biggest Driver. I suspect the MJO is having some impact. Alas, the NW Atlantic SST'S. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
I agree completely man. Model's appear to have gotten worse over the last couple years. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Nothing worse than rain then flash freeze and bitter cold with no snow. Better to be warm and sunny for Christmas. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
One way or the other I'm pretty positive we'll get some snow, whether a dusting or several inches. I have saw that happen with transfer's; a decent shield of snow heading in from the west only to be killed by a system developing well to the east and sucking the energy into it. I have also witnessed Lee side development that enhanced precip by throwing moisture back . -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
This may be one of those years when some area's see a white Christmas ( 1" or more) while other's a short distance away doesn't . -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nina Ninja still main culprit. I do wonder lf a formidable 50-50 Low were in place how this would transpire. I do believe that is the biggest problem with this pattern let alone the powerhouse storms coming out of the Plains. Those SST's around Newfoundland are the probable cause, i.m.o -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Daniel Boone replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeppers !