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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Thundersnow Sugar Ski & Country Club Sugar Mountain Web Cam - Resort Cams
  2. Daniel Boone
    Saw on SE sub that it was snowing at 4500 ft this morning. I'd venture to say Thundersnow occurred above 4000 feet with the cells this Afternoon. Temp fell from 52 to 43 during storm here.
  3. Daniel Boone
    thunder in the mountains ftw ! Thunderstorms crossing area currently. Large claps of thunder here.
  4. Daniel Boone
    The only mistake that forecaster is making is saying the snow " could be heavy". Should be "will be" , as is obvious. Can you imagine that ?! Those rates !!!!!!
  5. Daniel Boone
    I think that Winter Knoxville recorded around 6 feet. I'm thinking a Dr Dewpoint Article by Joe D'aleo on Intellicast had it.
  6. Daniel Boone
    I recall several years ago models would always have to adjust to blocking effects. They would trend colder as we progressed during those episodes. May be at least partially what's going on.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, blocks definitely doing it's work for them. Pacifics killing us. Saw video from Airport in Germany yesterday and looked like nearly 2 feet on runway ! Much higher drifts.
  8. Daniel Boone
    There's some hope this Winter for the East according to the Great incredible Oz of Meteorology, Snowman's brother, Radiance wx. He said it'll be more '09-10 Nino like by March. Maybe as early as late February . All hope is not lost What great News!!!
  9. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, has one Storm(18th) dumping 14" here.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Exactly.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Yep. Whatever the cause, it's definitely got some strength. Bluewave may be onto something with his reasoning regarding the western Pac warmth.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Possibly foul HLB Blocking up.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, been hoping trend would be westward with that feature.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Larry's website.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Excellent post brother ! As far as any credit to me, just seeing what's presented before us and giving my relic opinion, lol. Going to be alot of luck with this one. Basin wide Nino going to make it tougher, really. Sure there's more favored forcing areas but ...you know what I'm saying. To pinpoint exactly when the MJO will reach the cold phases, your Post is right on. You're the best man !
  16. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, wouldn't surprise me with Nino Climo and the basically basin wide strong Nino. The phase forcing should change favorably in January. So, you're probably right man. I still hold some hope for something to knock the typical canonical Nino December off kilter enough to give us a shot or two.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully, the mild spell is shorter than forecasted. Block will squelch it some. MJO Amplitude in warm phase may be the determining factor in how much warming we get. That warm pool might amplify it's affects, however though. Hopefully, it will move along and get to cold phases. It should hit a decent Amp once there.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Not saw anything from Anthony since August. Seems I remember seeing something somewhere of health issues.
  19. Daniel Boone
    I see Isotherm lurking but, not posting. Miss his Outlook.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Radiance wx posted on main forum enso thread how CFS v2 was showing a warm December referencing the eastern states as he's been forecasting. He showed how his analogues have outperformed guidance this Fall. He's been forecasting another cold /snowy Winter in New Mexico where he lives. He actually does pretty good over all but, he kinda stuck his foot in his mouth as the CFS 2 is showing the entire country mild for December, even New Mexico. I thought it kind of funny, lol
  21. Daniel Boone
    Cfs2 has entire US mild for December... even New Mexico( surely not, that has to be wrong). Old Mexico too for that matter, lol
  22. Daniel Boone
    If that turns out to be realized, good odds of a cold probably snowy Holiday period, providing that warm pool off Japan doesn't throw a monkey wrench and alter the typical downstream pattern. Could that be at least partially responsible for an eastward displaced Aleutian/Goa Lp.?.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, checked their Twitter and they finally did mention possibly ending as a mix in the Mountains Monday morning last night. Of course they were referencing higher elevations. So, still late and also the elevation and precip type part. With the setup and model output I'd worded flurries in the lower eles Monday morning with snow shower's in higher elevations ending late morning. Depending on how long and strong blocking holds, could be cooler than indicated during projected mild period.
  24. Daniel Boone
    That warm pool off Japan has and is having impacts on the 500mb pattern as Bluewave has been harping on for awhile now. That PAC Jet is a powerhouse over that area now. Will it cause the goa lp to be displaced east from typical Nino forcing locations ? Will it alter the MJO typical forcing as well ? Going to be some odd set ups this Winter I believe.
  25. Daniel Boone
    First flakes of Season in lower elevations of Lee County this morning as flurries were observed.
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