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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
True.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
yeah. we have a difference maker this time that hopefully will project that further east. Gfs is terrible with upstream blocking.- 582 replies
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
Daniel Boone replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Even though im not in the SE area, thats some interesting stuff Larry and still relates to our adjacent areas. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Agree. I'm feeling pretty confident. We've been burned so many times it's tough to be though.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, the block may be the difference maker here, depending on how deep the trough is out west, however. If there's a deep trough still out there it could cause the boundary to be more ene oriented and cause frozen precip to be relegated to our north and west. Hopefully, we get a west, east boundary and the entire forum cashes in . IF there is an ene orientation, hopefully it'll be far enough south to still get the area in the frozen zone. I've witnessed that on several occasions.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Cosgrove is honking for a major snowstorm just before Christmas for the Apps to Ohio Valley. As some know on here, Coz has been in the business many years and is an expert in LR and Pattern recognition. He, imo, is an ef hutton of Meteorology.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's acting as if ur not signed in then.- 582 replies
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GFS just spits out any solution there is under the Sun from run to run. "Upgrade"? More like, Downgrade.
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
It was.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Its become complete utter junk, imo. It just shows any possible outcome run to run.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, should be at least a couple synoptic snow events the last half of the Month along with upslope events as well if the projected 500 pattern comes to fruition.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, the latest "upgrade" appears to really fouled some things up. For one, they over compensated for it's " cold bias". Apparently didn't do anything irt how it doesn't work well with blocking. Other things they've tampered with appear to be evident as well.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, enso is heavily weighted by them.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
You got that right Buddy. Looks promising for much of the area having a white Christmas actually.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I remember that being the case. We were fortunate up this way. Wise in Wise County broke the State Seasonal Record that year; 123.4 inches ! I recorded 52" in Pennington gap here in Lee County ( not a record here ) . The 60's was a snowy decade for the area. Nina, Nino, -PDO, -PNA, it didn't matter, lol- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
That is actually a probable solution with strong blocking. Even a further South track is possible but, most likely not this go around. It would be nice to finally get into a 95-95 type pattern. Several Miller B transfers of which tracked far to the South.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
A little confidence builder; the 1960's featured several -PDO, -PNA, -NAO combo Winter's and they weren't too shabby Snowfall wise.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, hopefully the deep cold will come far enough east to get us on the cold side of the boundary.- 582 replies
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
IF the projected Pattern pans out, the CMC would be the winner at range irt the Operationals. It has constantly projected the very cold Pattern. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's really a shame the anticipated blocking hasn't threw the Nina off kilter much. So far, about all it's done is help with the moisture transport into our area. It is possible had the Blocking not setup we'd be dry and warm with a huge SE Ridge dominating.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, sure looking more and more like a Plains/ Rockies Winter. It may translate East to encompass areas similar to last Winter and year before.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
We'll call it the Woke Hack.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, it's absolutely fouled up. It was bad enough before but, this takes the cake, lol. Looks like it's been hijacked by the Climate agenda money milking bunch.- 582 replies
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wow! you all are getting slammed. so far just about an inch and a quarter here the last couple days. hopefully, we get 2 to 3" more.
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Speaking of cold biases, the new gfs upgrade tweaked it's somewhat still cold bias... A little too much it appears.- 582 replies
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