Jump to content

Daniel Boone

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,098

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Euro depiction of PV over Alaska is not good. However, IF retrogression were to occur and drop/place it over the Aleutians then domino from that. Generally would need a strong ridge build in the AO domain for that though. The Gefs placement of feature looks far more desirable and easier to better align a favorable 500 mb pattern.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Seasonal Total of 6.8" here.
  3. Daniel Boone
    1.8" Total here. The band's after 9 p.m. missed or dissipated b4 reaching here. Portions of the County received 3 inches.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Close to a half inch now and moderate snow . 31 now. What's going on with KMRX ? IN light of recent radar trends you'd think wwa would be hoisted .
  5. Daniel Boone
    1/4" and moderate snow now. 32 deg.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Putting it down here now. All snow.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Rain snow mix began here around 2 p.m..with the ambient temperature 38. Apparent steep T rates. Precip has stopped for now .
  8. Daniel Boone
    Many are touting the advertised strengthening polar vortex at HL will bring an extended mild pattern soon. IF this does happen, odds do favor that as most know but, not guarantee it. A strong -EPO and - NAO can sure mitigate any super resultant +AO mild pattern. Of course, even if those drivers are in place the IOD and MJO may either assist the +AO or the other drivers, depending on mode or phase. So, although the possibility of a mild last half of December appears rather likely attm. there is still some hope. Just a few uplifting thoughts for the snowlovers on here.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Nam 3k , cmc and rgem still look good. Canadians bring the bacon.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Latest Euro a downer, for sure. One thing it does have a bit of a problem with is micro precision. As far as the great Valley, it forecasts as if it runs due NE all the way into SWVA . The Valley takes more of an ENE turn once you get to Morristown/ Rogersville TN area.
  11. Daniel Boone
    February 2015 was fabulous here as most know, with close to 40 inches falling in just over a 3 week span. The +TNH pattern along with one l.p. after another hooking with the +NAO was remarkable. The constant succession of Lps tracking up thru eastern Canada acted t in a way that kept the +NAO from behaving as usual in the they pulled the air southward from it instead of underneath and eastward.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Don't know if this had been mentioned yet (probably has) but, DT has his final Winter Outlook out now. Nice write-up. He is going cold/snowy for the Central and Eastern U.S.. Link is on his Twitter "dtvaweatherman".
  13. Daniel Boone
    Totalled 1.3 inches from event.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Measured an inch on hard surfaces such as snowboard and Vehicle. Heavy dusting on grass although lying leaves had a decent coating.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Picked up 3.03" Total Rainfall from this system. Quite a soaking. Some minor flooding .
  16. Daniel Boone
    Most times models underdo nw Flow snowfall amounts. Particularly Se, Ky and portions of Lee, Wise and Dickenson Counties in Va.. It is these areas that get first "pick" at the lake and wrap around residual moisture. I don't know if this is incorporated in the model's, If not, it should be . Not just elevation. Model's are only as good as what's programmed into or how accurate the data is going into them.
  17. Daniel Boone
    I lived and worked in Pennington gap in Lee County at the time and remember this well. I also recorded the event in my daily weather log. My records from then were unfortunately lost during relocation. However, memory serves me quite well. Snow began in Pennington around 8:30 p.m. and quickly became heavy. By 6:30 the next morning there was 6 inches with just a few flakes falling. I worked for the city at the time and was outside throughout the day and only observed a few light flurries and can recall reports of heavy snow just to our south in Rogersville. Snow began falling moderate to heavy just after 4 p.m. and lasted untill 9 or so with an additional 4 inches falling for a total of 10". The morning low there the 5th was -21 with the official afternoon high of 4 below. This was recorded at the radio station there as well as my home in Pennington gap. A report of -30 (via, WCYB) from the Rose hill area in western Lee County. The Jan 21 1985 outbreak was about the same with -24 Low, -4 High with snow depth of 7".
  18. Daniel Boone
    Happy Thanksgiving to all !
  19. Daniel Boone
    He was talking about the advertised +AO.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Hm replied to my tweet regarding this and said he expected this to happen but, it should be short lived.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Glad youre on the mend Jeff. Great to have u back.
  22. Daniel Boone
    I see CPC IS going warm for most of the country for December. Following those climate models. Of course, cpc is warn biased anyway as most of us know.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Thanks buddy. Just being an old timer with experience and memories that help. Brother, you definitely add valuable insight to the forums. Let's hope the Ghost of those winters of yore pay a visit . Although, I couldn't enjoy them like I used to. Tough to handle the cold anymore.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Radiance, first off, kudos on the work u put into this. Good stuff ! The biggest difference this winter compared to last I believe is going to be blocking. Enough of it and you can have cold cover much of the U.S., coast to coast, including the upper Southeast even with a -PNA. Ala., 1978-79. Of course on back, the '60's featured this fairly consistent. Blocking was so strong it congested the flow to create a +PNA at times with a -PDO background . Of course, as so many make a point of, we are in a warmer Climate era now so, things are different now. Yes, this is true but, a watered down version to the pattern those years is still possible. Also, we are in a decent Solar Minimum now and let's not forget the descending QBO.
  25. Daniel Boone
    This period coming up is going to be tough. So many variables juggling for position.
×
×
  • Create New...