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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah. That would definitely help and may very well be what happens as that has been the case this fall. Model's always have problems when blocking sets up. It's possible they revert back to sustained troughiness in the East like earlier depictions. Back in my day, over 90% of the time a -NAO led to cold in the East even while the West was cold. Recently, the SER/-NAO hook-up has been more prevalent. I may research and see if the occurrence is mainly during Nina's. I suspect it is. Makes sense.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
SER and -NAO too strong for one ; allowing for easy coupling. Too bad the SER isn't further east out by the Sargasso Sea. That would allow cold to come further East even if they were connected/coupled. Hopefully, at the very least one will be weaker than modeleled and allow for a disconnected conduit.- 582 replies
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Dayum !
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Yeah, that usually is the case irt model's adjusting to the block. However, PNA so neg, don't know about it this time.
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Dam*** Nina.
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
This was the earliest leaf fall here in many years. The earliest I remember was 1976. Trees were bare by the first week of November. Maples began changing color by the 3rd week in August!- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
yeah, if its correct i'm right with you. depressing.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep, exactly what I feared. It's a shame we can't have -NAO setup while there's a -EPO and +PNA in place.- 582 replies
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Yeah, I knew it is a nina response however, prefer it further east, ala 95-96 and other more favorable nina years with blocking. Miller b to A hybrids are pretty common in those. Agree on that TPV near Hudson.
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It does occasionally.
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Don't like those high heights in the Gulf. Hope that's exaggerated.
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Better hope it's wrong actually. Don't won't a nao ser linkage, of which has happened a few times in recent years, and that looks close to a possible occurrence, imo. Used to be very rare back in the day.
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
Daniel Boone replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
I've not looked but, sounds like a Miller B to Miller A transfer type. That happened several times in '95-96. -
Would be nice !
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Picked up 0.99" here. Much of the heavier stuff stayed to my SW. It was a good soaking rain. Brings Monthly Total to 3.16". Over an inch below avg..
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
Daniel Boone replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
I used to keep up with him but, he doesn't deserve any respect. All he does is rail others if they don't see things how he does or believe like he does. Calls other's terrible names etc.... -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, and we've witnessed that the last few years. That's something that almost never happened in the Winter back in the day.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think a bit sooner providing the NAO/ SER don't link.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, remember that being discussed; how it may affect blocking in the NHEM.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
The Libs tampered with the Model. Climate agenda.- 582 replies
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It's because of it's placement of that monster off the Washington coast.
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Good catch and possibility actually.
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The self professed greatest Met ever likes to criticize that guy.
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep. only 10 inches for that cold month. One 5 incher and the rest light events.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Those 500 charts look almost identical to the progged lr pattern. Dec. Jan. 2010-11 were cold with solid snowcover much of the time.- 582 replies
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