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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that's what we discussed awhile back in pushing that thing west . Need blocking to help with that as well. May be a quick block pop as wave breaking may get it done. Btw, check out the high pressure over our area now. 10.33 mb !
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah really. Forcing from one side to the other.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, was thinking similarly. Would possibly allow systems that tracked across the deep South then to travel further North.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Not a pessimist nor optimist but, a realist
  5. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, exactly.
  6. Daniel Boone
    The JMA also has cold Jan-Mar. Of course that's been par for the course with it so, that's that but, with added support from other guidance maybe it's onto something. Glaam going to be going extremely positive. That's typical Nino response right there and also as Larry Chuck noted in the main forum a cold SE signal. The intensity is whether general Nino cool south or a cold SE apparently irt the glaam. The Coz may still be in his game as you mentioned. Dare to say, if guidance continues that way even JB may be looking better. A little late but, not denied maybe. We've gotta give you credit here too Carver, you called the flip in mid January ans backloaded early on. If it's early Jan... Still a great call. I'm with on that now and think we still have back and forth mainly due to those SST's still supportive if MJO warm Ph passes. If those were cooler we'd be in big time business imo.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it would. Basically canonical Nino. Maybe someone will do the work and post a map.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, great Winter up here. Miller b/ miller A hybrids, Miller B transfer's. Wise set VA Seasonal Snowfall Record that Winter. 123.4". Still stands.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Sure looking that way right now. Terrible for Winter wx enthusiasts.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Cohen has an update on the PV stretching. Odd behavior if correct.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, remember flower bushes blooming in January, lol. Hopefully,the Strat will throw a good monkey wrench into that horrible pattern if that happens. Who knows, Strat may be messing with guidance now.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Coz is a bit uneasy as well now i think.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yep. Rather frustrating brother. I recall the monster storm in Feb 73. Clouds is all we got while Ga, SC and NC got hammered. Also, I remember the Deep South getting clocked then the next system would go north and we'd get rain. Happened a good bit in the early to mid 70's I recall.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Agree on Holstons Post. That's a Pin worthy if there ever was.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I know. Just a bit irritated over the stretch we've gone through I suppose. In my long life I've lived through good streaks and bad one's. Forecasted back before a host of Model's were available as well new research information. We've came a long way but, there's times not much better. So many variables, minute factors that morph and become major player's in a relatively short time. Monkey Wrenches is a good term for them. Regardless of knowing these things, I always hated to fail in forecasting. I'm sure we all are pretty much that way.
  16. Daniel Boone
    It's about to the point to where I feel I'll be lucky to see an even Average Winter again considering my antiquity and agw along with SST'S continually working against us overall. Lol.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, let's hope the '94-95 and 97-98 one's in particular doesn't come back to haunt us.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Right on the money with analysis I believe. Exactly my take now Brother. As you mentioned earlier, we still have a shot or two of getting something by Christmas in lower elevations. Hopefully, we get some of that cold from Eastern Canada or at least System manufactured from aloft to get it done. It's still rather heartbreaking to see that 500 pattern and it be too warm in December !!
  19. Daniel Boone
    Looks like Eastern Canada will have a heavy Snow pack at least. If we can get ca drainage from there into storm systems riding up, may be cold enuff to get it done.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Not near the rain totals originally slated for much of the area either. Trough too positive tilt.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Several news sources video's up on YouTube. Traffic cam captures of Tornadoes and substations blowing.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Turning neutral tilt too late possibly.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Hope ur right. As of now, pretty much all models are getting it going too far East to benefit the Valley and Plateau. I'm hoping things trend West.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, the rest has anafrontal development further East. Hopefully they're off and it occurs sooner further west but, hopes are down for now.
  25. Daniel Boone
    That's rough stuff ! I hope/ pray for a speedy recovery.
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