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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. They may be doing what KMRX does and display the NBM output.
  2. Good post . Spot on. The Nam last I knew still has a warm bias. Don't think it was ever corrected. Also, I think your location and 2500+ ele should do fine.
  3. hmm., faster arrival time before daytime heating should make for colder. tht's what looked like is what caused models to back off on snowfall; the later arrival of precip till Sunday afternoon.
  4. Or that famous dyslexic hothead one, lol
  5. This Winter has been basically a hybrid strong Nina/Nino one.
  6. Yeah' should of adhered to it even though it has been showing what we didn't want to see irt snow. It has been the best overall SRM for this area the last 3 Winter's.
  7. Yeah, remember it well. Very mild Winter. Spring came , along with several high ele. snowfalls thru mid April.
  8. They are generally right for the cental/ Southern Valley and have gotten some better for northern sections. Spotter reports are few from SWVA so, that is one reason for being less accurate for northern zones but, they have increased somewhat and seems to be helping. KMRX uses solely NBM so, take that for what it is i. e, if a superior model such as the EURO once was showed 12" snowfall for the entire Valley but, the rest showed 1-4" the NBM Output would be abysmal regardless of the best models output. No specific Model is weighted more.
  9. Yeah, that is what they do. NBM all the way.
  10. Yeah, good reason for that with the SSW effects coinciding with what looks to be other parameters lining up. Cross Polar Flow looks to be in the picture as well. So, providing something doesn't throw a monkey wrench late Feb/ to mid March may be our most wintry period of this lackluster Winter. The West has had a wall to wall, trifecta one. Been a long time since we've had that. Thinking 2009-10 or maybe 2010-11 was last one.
  11. A good point. I've been thinking along the same lines. Makes sense actually. It has been acting like a hybrid Strong Nina/Nino.
  12. CMC looks a bit fouled in it's precip output. This thing should be juiced, imo . Strong Gulf RH injection, UL energy etc.. really can't see where it could be getting a decrease in Precip output.??.
  13. Hopefully, this time the wretched thing won't score a Coup. I can see how that solution is possible, however. Saw it with the March 2009 System, although it was basically a strong Clipper traveling the Jet Trough SE through Arkansas, West Tn and across Alabama, Georgia then curving North grazing far Eastern TN and slamming Carolina's and Wytheville VA eastward. We were in that void area in the Trough.
  14. Dp's ahead of the system may be of help in area's where temps are well above 0c as evaporational cooling would drop t's rapidly, especially if precip is heavy enough. So, if say, the Nam's correct in it's depiction and 40's are in E.Tenn. that may very well take care of that.We've all witnessed that.
  15. Yeah, Euro could allow a cut further west with that depiction.
  16. Climates getting like Societies getting; what's up is down, Downs up. Right's wrong, wrong's right
  17. Truckee California : http://tahoetopia.com/webcam/downtown-truckee
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