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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
They may be doing what KMRX does and display the NBM output. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Good post . Spot on. The Nam last I knew still has a warm bias. Don't think it was ever corrected. Also, I think your location and 2500+ ele should do fine. -
February 11-12 ULL Winter Storm
Daniel Boone replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
hmm., faster arrival time before daytime heating should make for colder. tht's what looked like is what caused models to back off on snowfall; the later arrival of precip till Sunday afternoon. -
February 11-12 ULL Winter Storm
Daniel Boone replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
Actually, it should help. -
Or that famous dyslexic hothead one, lol
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February 11-12 ULL Winter Storm
Daniel Boone replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
This Winter has been basically a hybrid strong Nina/Nino one. -
Yeah' should of adhered to it even though it has been showing what we didn't want to see irt snow. It has been the best overall SRM for this area the last 3 Winter's.
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, remember it well. Very mild Winter. Spring came , along with several high ele. snowfalls thru mid April. -
They are generally right for the cental/ Southern Valley and have gotten some better for northern sections. Spotter reports are few from SWVA so, that is one reason for being less accurate for northern zones but, they have increased somewhat and seems to be helping. KMRX uses solely NBM so, take that for what it is i. e, if a superior model such as the EURO once was showed 12" snowfall for the entire Valley but, the rest showed 1-4" the NBM Output would be abysmal regardless of the best models output. No specific Model is weighted more.
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Yeah, that is what they do. NBM all the way.
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Yeah, good reason for that with the SSW effects coinciding with what looks to be other parameters lining up. Cross Polar Flow looks to be in the picture as well. So, providing something doesn't throw a monkey wrench late Feb/ to mid March may be our most wintry period of this lackluster Winter. The West has had a wall to wall, trifecta one. Been a long time since we've had that. Thinking 2009-10 or maybe 2010-11 was last one.
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
A good point. I've been thinking along the same lines. Makes sense actually. It has been acting like a hybrid Strong Nina/Nino. -
CMC looks a bit fouled in it's precip output. This thing should be juiced, imo . Strong Gulf RH injection, UL energy etc.. really can't see where it could be getting a decrease in Precip output.??.
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Yeah, probably another mirage for us. Story of this Winter.
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Hopefully, this time the wretched thing won't score a Coup. I can see how that solution is possible, however. Saw it with the March 2009 System, although it was basically a strong Clipper traveling the Jet Trough SE through Arkansas, West Tn and across Alabama, Georgia then curving North grazing far Eastern TN and slamming Carolina's and Wytheville VA eastward. We were in that void area in the Trough.
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Dp's ahead of the system may be of help in area's where temps are well above 0c as evaporational cooling would drop t's rapidly, especially if precip is heavy enough. So, if say, the Nam's correct in it's depiction and 40's are in E.Tenn. that may very well take care of that.We've all witnessed that.
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, Euro could allow a cut further west with that depiction. -
Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Cheer it on Jeb !!! -
Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Climates getting like Societies getting; what's up is down, Downs up. Right's wrong, wrong's right -
Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yep, lol -
Truckee s getting it again ! http://tahoetopia.com/webcam/downtown-truckee
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Truckee California : http://tahoetopia.com/webcam/downtown-truckee