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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Carver's, Bnawx you sound just like me, lol. Those late 70's Winter's were a snowlover's Dream ! They were long, cold and snowy. Before TWC came along I would watch every evening local TV weather cast. Sometimes I would jump from one channel to the other and catch other casts. Then came TWC and I, like Carver's would glue to it any time I could get the chance. Those were fun time's. I actually began my weather watching in the late 60"s. I'm an Antique. Some great Winter's then as well , in particular 1969-70.
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The -PDO in conjunction with the Atlantic SST State probably the biggest Killer's. QBO just exacerbates the problem as well.
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Excellent work Holston ! Hopefully that 50-50 will come through this time.
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah. Fingers crossed it'll work in our favor. Really, tbh, about the only hope we got. -
As we all know, Models will go nuts for a while in response to the SSW. So, I wouldn't take alot of stock in what they're depicting now. There'll probably be about every solution under the sun.
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
Daniel Boone replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
SSW going to have models going nuts for a while. -
I agree with your assessment Carver. I'm thinking a further east trend with systems the farther along we go. Probably be cutters and eastern trajectory one's early in but expect more similar to what we witnessed this last system. So, odds look more promising for snow in our snow starved eastern area's, particularly if the SSW stimulates the usual Blocking. My added 2 cents worth.
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2023
Daniel Boone replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
I'm 60 and it's the least snowy I can recall here. Just 2.6" so far. -
Most times I agree with Coz but, not this time. Reason being, SSW, MJO and Enso change. Btw, meant to mention in the post of who Coz is. He and Dave Dierks were friends in College. Dave credits him for taking Meteorology as a Major.
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Yeah, it's just ridiculous. Parts of the area may not reach Atlanta Climo. I'm still in hopes enough comes together end month first March to save it from being least snowy on record here.
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Tonight's SRM's trend should be showing with each run now irt snowfall uptick. Rgem gets onvoard, we're good.
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
You'll get slammed. -
Yeah, it's sad. Perfect track but, no typical cold around. Only in this poor excuse of a Winter. P. S.., I've saw a similar system dump heavy snow in April.
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Yeah. Too bad Euro is not what it once was.
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Yeah, hi-res euro showing decent amounts northern valley and plateau.
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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
That's the blend of models output. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
They may be doing what KMRX does and display the NBM output. -
2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Daniel Boone replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Good post . Spot on. The Nam last I knew still has a warm bias. Don't think it was ever corrected. Also, I think your location and 2500+ ele should do fine. -
February 11-12 ULL Winter Storm
Daniel Boone replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
hmm., faster arrival time before daytime heating should make for colder. tht's what looked like is what caused models to back off on snowfall; the later arrival of precip till Sunday afternoon. -
February 11-12 ULL Winter Storm
Daniel Boone replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
Actually, it should help. -
Or that famous dyslexic hothead one, lol
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February 11-12 ULL Winter Storm
Daniel Boone replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
This Winter has been basically a hybrid strong Nina/Nino one. -
Yeah' should of adhered to it even though it has been showing what we didn't want to see irt snow. It has been the best overall SRM for this area the last 3 Winter's.