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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Yeah, I suspect they'll beef back up if System doesn't trend further north.
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Big difference in Temps in east Tn in relation to snowpack. Check out the difference in lows in the Johnson City area compared to Knoxville.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, definitely feeding off each other( PDO, MJO etc). If we can get some strong convection fire near the Dateline it could negate the MJO warm phases somewhat. Problem is, the domino effect of pressure from the dominant MJO is probably hampering convection development along Dateline. If we could get the MJO to the Dateline with little convection in the IO , that may reverse the pattern of that. Seems PDO has became closer to neutral last I checked so, may have a decent shot. If so, there is a possibility of a monster Snowstorm ( Maybe historical)for the area somewhere from mid February to mid March I believe, particularly if the SSW does it's thing with the NAO.- 1,263 replies
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Still thinking mainly frozen NE sections as enough mixing and lifting of deep Valley cold should drop incoming SW WAA to below freezing all levels from about Rogersville to Kingsport North. Probably mix from there south through Knoxville. With all the snow pack to our wsw it is possible the snow line could be further south as the cold lower air will lift as it is pulled ne by the System. Then there's a backlash that may get at least northern sections. Just my antique 2 cents.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, MJO looks strong in warm phases. Those heated waters out there just continue every year now. Really don't know the exact cause. Could be underwater Volcanic activity. Some speculate a byproduct of Climate change. Whatever the reason, it is what it is and it continues to lean Eastern US Winters on the overall mild side.- 1,263 replies
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Currently 3 here and cloudy with a few flurries . -
Currently 3 degrees here.
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Daniel Boone replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lol, yeah good to go,lol. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Daniel Boone replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Totalled 7.2" with this one . All snow. High yesterday was 28.5. Low this Morning was 13. Currently 17. Got official measured reports of 8 inches near Pennington gap and 7 in Dryden, eastern Lee County. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Agree completely.- 1,263 replies
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If they're seeing a strong push of mild air ahead of the System that's why. However, the entrenched lower level cold should spell sleet/freezing rain with still snow northeastern sections (upper valley) as cold from the valley lifts and mixes with the waa ahead of the system.
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Agree. I looked over alot of the goings on last night and if right, we're probably looking at maybe 60's as early as next week. If that big SER materializes and we're stuck in the MJO warm phases .. ugh. The SSW is probably needed this go around for sure. Hopefully, guidance is off on the MJO.
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Amazing the difference between you and there irt snow and cold most of the time. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Really strange that mid layer warm tongue still shooting up the Valley. It's as if an ULL is sitting to our West. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully, that'll survive up through here. Sounds like Lee side Low at work. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I'm a bit concerned about February as well as the MJO has me skiddish. It may set off that Firehose into Canada again. Probably not but, possible. IF it were to, would probably delay cold till later in February. Hopefully, that won't happen. Otoh, maybe the warm phases get knocked off kilter by other Drivers as happened in some Winter's of yore.- 1,263 replies
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Expect 8-10 brother. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That's what I was thinking, maybe some larger flakes with those Shower's. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
6" here. Suddenly stopped as broken area coming through. Some of those showers with the batch coming off eastern plateau are heavy and may put down a quick inch or two. I expect you to get 8-10 at least Carver. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, it does. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Daniel Boone replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Excellent post man ! I agree on your reasoning on all points. We were fortunate here in that we were colder than TRI and Ratios better but, rates have been light for the most part as flakes have been small. Portions of the County have been experiencing larger flakes, generally near mountains. I currently have about 4.5 inches.
