Daniel Boone
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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Yeah really. Sad how we miss Decembers of yore.
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Weeklies basically warm east/ cold west . Kicked can last couple weeks. They've not been that good lately, so probably wrong, at least as far as a week or so. It may be those super warm SST'S off Japan that's throwing things off kilter.
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Yeah, unfortunately you guys in the western forum area missed out on much of it. Btw, I've been in Jackson. My Sister used to live in Humboldt. Nice area. Reelfoot not far from there.
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Where do you live ? We had alot of events here in 09-10.
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Yep. I'm hoping not. Severe Storms in January that Winter.
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Yeah, definitely not looking good irt November correlation. Many esp. MA see December as main one. Stats show November here. Not many went on to be Great Winters when November was mild. -94-95 starting to stick out again. Only good aspect to it was abundance of rain . It was backloaded but, only received several minor snowfalls of generally an inch or less in February. March did produce a Rain to Thundersnow event with a general 4 to 12" in far SWVA. Up to 18" reported in portions of Harlan and Letcher Co. KY. Just off memory, my Season Total was around 8". Paltry but, not like last Winter's 2.7.
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Nice Unit ! I hope everything goes smoothly.
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You can keep same.
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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah, it's really depressing to say the least. Forest fires are really smoking up the air. Really messing up my Sinuses. -
?? We were referring to patterns. If a pattern was exactly same as late 70s in how it would still be below normal in today's climate. Otherwise, could go either way as far as winter. HLB I think is our main ticket we need this year.
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Yeah, definitely more evidence.
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Exactly point I was making. Glad you followed up. I thought about it after posting that and it would still be as you said way below normal since "normal" or average temps have been raised.
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Not only them but, several pro mets here as well. I don't know why you are so hellbent on going against everyone here that sees things differently. Granted, it could go either way at this juncture. Minus blocking , that latest update Apparently, you want a mild Winter. Your liking, nothing wrong with that.( With economic problems, would be a good thing itr). If not, why want to go all out against those who would like to see at least an average one after so many mild one's ?
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Roundy rounder will be making his rounds
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The MJO should progress along with the favorable SST's in at least 7-8 and probably on to 1. The PDO isn't very negative and doesn't look to get any moreso.
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Yeah, MEI actually dropped some. The N. Atlantic actually is now looking favorable for blocking. The sst in goa are supportive of Alaskan ridging. SST's west and south of there may try to present a problem with getting a typical Nino Aleutian low as they are a bit warm. The Ural Hp connecting over the pole looks good for HLB as you alluded to in the Winter thread.. A -AO/-NAO combo along with mainly central based Nino is going to pay off somewhere. Saw on main forum the NHEM 500 mb composite from 2009 at this juncture looked very similar. I used to do alot of research comparing composites from Analogue years. Some went a similar path but many didn't. So, hard to get hopes real high just yet although the SST progression in area's mentioned do increase the hopes.
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Good discussion guy's. If had time I'd chime in. Btw, the n. Atlantic SST'S are looking better wrt assisting the - NAO and 50-50. With the strong Nino and warm SST's around the Aleutians and Japan the PAC may argue for a Western Trough even with a +PNA at least part of the time so, hopefully N.Atlantic blocking will be prevalent and formidable. Of course, will once again run the risk of ser/ nao linkage unfortunately if that western Trough digs enough imo.
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Good point. Not that I think this winter won't be overall mild, I just think that regardless of a couple degrees warmer climate, wherever the trough setsup predominantly will still average colder than " normal". If we were dealt exact same pattern, as the late 70's for instance, we'd still average below normal for the Winter Season. May not be 6-8 degrees but...
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I couldn't come up with the right emoji. It was a joke. I agree with you. You're not a nobody brother. It's many of the " somebody's" that in essence are the real nobody's.
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Odds are with that look.
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Being who he is, he wouldn't be able to handle that
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Yeah. Like the change in the N. Atlantic. Definitely more blocking oriented signature. May even have a decent shot at decent 50-50's this year. GOA may promote ridging there. Aleutian low may be west of Aleutians or possibly even South with the SST look.
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HL blocking was prominent in the 60's Winter's.
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Right with you on that brother.
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Exactly. You got Webb there, lol.
