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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, agree. As of now, I think we have a decent shot at a White Christmas actually.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I think that's one of the reasons the Nams up and down on Totals. T profile aloft and 2m along with surface T estimate. Rates will be a factor. Hopefully comes in a bit colder and quiker than currently progged and Rates are high so, we lower elevation folks can score.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Yeah man !!! Big change from recent years.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Good post and points man. Storm track is encouraging and the war actually appears to maybe be a bit east of the last bad years with it. SST's are somewhat different along the coast than previous times. The STJ probably will help keep it further East also wouldn't you think ? .
  5. Daniel Boone
    Lol. Yeah, you summed it up perfect over there. I'm actually leaning a decent Winter snowwise overall, even December ftm as I've alluded to before.. Have just began to see some truth to the Bluewave argument regarding the MJO and the problem the 500 MB has had characteristically as compared to Years with similar Enso as the WPAC/ IO are so warm it clearly shows a response . Domino effect west to East. Hopefully, the sure strength of the Nino and HLB can off set the forcing from that broad very warm SST Area. The fear in my mind would be an Alaskan Vortex in place of Aleutian LP. If HLB strong enough , that would keep that on back in the Aleutians. That's what I'm rooting for as a counter along with mainly Central based Nino forcing . ( in laymen's terms).
  6. Daniel Boone
    MJO seems to want to redevelop in IO as it starts to come out into wpac. Is there a huge underwater Volcano in the IO or something !?! I mean.. geeze. .
  7. Daniel Boone
    Fast flow coming into PNW looks like the problem; just shoving things along.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Man !, so sorry that you went through all that . That's just unreal ! Thank God you're healing. Praying for a complete recovery.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, neutral tilt . Be nice if goes negative after reaching our longitude. Either way, Neutral should still have decent backside. Archumbault may be at play here.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Had some heavy Snow Showers make it to Valleys. Accumulation mainly 2000 ft and above. Eyeballing estimate of 1-2 inches on top of Wallen Ridge at 3000 ft just south of Pennington gap. Received report of 2-3" Sandy Ridge section of Wise County.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, more than likely too North. May be some tailend wraparound and some upslope. If we can get that Front riding wave we'd do well.
  12. Daniel Boone
    6z gefs has +EPO next week. If correct may go over to consensus forecasted mild period. We'll see. This may be one of the odd man out years and that gets squelched or even overridden by other drivers as happened in those " odd" year's. Probably not but, there's a little hooe if one doesn't want the canonical Nino December warmth.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Looks alot like '60's Nino's.
  14. Daniel Boone
    If correct, yeah odds favor what you mentioned of what the consensus has been forecasting for that time frame really. However, we have seen things go against the grain recently. Maybe one of the time's we go back to before the last 5-6 year's. Just a little positive thought.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Snow shower's earlier here . Quick dusting that melted quickly in lower elevations. A dusting to an inch or so from 2000 feet upward.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Snow Showers here this morning. Quick dusting in valley location that quickly melted. Elevations above 2000 feet still has a dusting to an inch or so up around 3000 ft.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yep, they were. Nino, Nina -PDO etc.. it still snowed!!
  18. Daniel Boone
    Exactly.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yeah really, lol . Never saw anything differentiating MJO Phases based on Enso.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Thundersnow Sugar Ski & Country Club Sugar Mountain Web Cam - Resort Cams
  21. Daniel Boone
    Saw on SE sub that it was snowing at 4500 ft this morning. I'd venture to say Thundersnow occurred above 4000 feet with the cells this Afternoon. Temp fell from 52 to 43 during storm here.
  22. Daniel Boone
    thunder in the mountains ftw ! Thunderstorms crossing area currently. Large claps of thunder here.
  23. Daniel Boone
    The only mistake that forecaster is making is saying the snow " could be heavy". Should be "will be" , as is obvious. Can you imagine that ?! Those rates !!!!!!
  24. Daniel Boone
    I think that Winter Knoxville recorded around 6 feet. I'm thinking a Dr Dewpoint Article by Joe D'aleo on Intellicast had it.
  25. Daniel Boone
    I recall several years ago models would always have to adjust to blocking effects. They would trend colder as we progressed during those episodes. May be at least partially what's going on.
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