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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Glad you did and great analysis as usual man.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Was just looking at that a little while ago. Probably has legs this time. Definitely a snow threat last week of the month. Too bad not a few days sooner for Christmas.
  3. Daniel Boone
    It's basically keeping what it has further North. Has the flow off Lake Michigan aimed toward Wva whereas other Models have it further South toward SEKY and the SW tiip of VA and on to the TN/NC Mountains.
  4. Daniel Boone
    For whatever reason the GFS somehow doesn't pickup basically any nwsf really. Just the disturbance mainly and that to the North.
  5. Daniel Boone
    GFS basically says what nw flow event . Hopefully it's wrong.
  6. Daniel Boone
    If the Hrrr hasn't been upgraded any it still has a bit of a warm bias in this area. So, will be a test to see if that still exists.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that's why I mentioned there should be a semblance. I agree with you totally on the strength for sure brother.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, may be a hiccup as it appears to totally dissolve any semblance in the NPAC for that matter. You'd think there'd be one somewhere.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Right on about the 3k. It needs some adjustment irt that. It seems they overcompensated decreasing qpf output due to the regular Nam over forecasting amounts. Question is, why does that obviously show on the 3k but, not the 12 k ?.. Should on both.
  10. Daniel Boone
    We'll see if they up those projected totals in the morning if guidance increases amounts. They're going to be gunshy even moreso than usual particularly because of that last failed snowfall projection I think.
  11. Daniel Boone
    I noticed that, lol. Dang, hopefully the systems strong enough to overcome the downslope enough to work out for there.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, agree. Enso is top ingest, Along with MJO and historical daily data of which would be the Analogue basically . Of course NWS and FAA Station data is also as far as precise Temperature output , a no brainer there, lol.. I , like you man, am sure there's more as well.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it sure looks like what you described is the case to me as well. Hopefully we get that retrogression of that ridge into western Canada. We can still work with a central ca ridge if we can get a constant flow of Lps moving up the eastern seaboard and pulling down CA from eastern Canada. That can work oddly enough with a +NAO. the C. Can. H pulling air from the Arctic in tandem with the + Nao pulling it, then insitu 50-50 from training Lps pulling that air into the Eastern US. Not likely to happen but, has and can.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, agree. Main System moving up the Coast will be tough until further North where it draws in colder air. Maybe highest elevations of the Smokies and mid App chain can score from it as well.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Eastern Canada has enough if pulled down by a strong enough system.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Not where orographic lift cools enough for snow but, on lower the above freezing wind would melt dendrites quicker. So, in the grand scheme , nothing really noteworthy.
  17. Daniel Boone
    As far as a perpetual one , I don't know but, I'd venture to say he likes perpetual one's.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Man, wouldn't it be nice if that cold air up in the upper Midwest could get down here for that. Talk about a Snowstorm
  19. Daniel Boone
    ? That's what I put. Lol The last symbol is exclamation mark. Just noticed, yeah put priod in there. Good catch, lol
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, that's what we discussed awhile back in pushing that thing west . Need blocking to help with that as well. May be a quick block pop as wave breaking may get it done. Btw, check out the high pressure over our area now. 10.33 mb !
  21. Daniel Boone
    Yeah really. Forcing from one side to the other.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, was thinking similarly. Would possibly allow systems that tracked across the deep South then to travel further North.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Not a pessimist nor optimist but, a realist
  24. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, exactly.
  25. Daniel Boone
    The JMA also has cold Jan-Mar. Of course that's been par for the course with it so, that's that but, with added support from other guidance maybe it's onto something. Glaam going to be going extremely positive. That's typical Nino response right there and also as Larry Chuck noted in the main forum a cold SE signal. The intensity is whether general Nino cool south or a cold SE apparently irt the glaam. The Coz may still be in his game as you mentioned. Dare to say, if guidance continues that way even JB may be looking better. A little late but, not denied maybe. We've gotta give you credit here too Carver, you called the flip in mid January ans backloaded early on. If it's early Jan... Still a great call. I'm with on that now and think we still have back and forth mainly due to those SST's still supportive if MJO warm Ph passes. If those were cooler we'd be in big time business imo.
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