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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it continues the cutter idea. Hopefully it's wrong.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Makes perfect sense.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Exactly !
  4. Daniel Boone
    Really need that TPV to assert under the block to help stave off that thing from cutting. That's the piece of the Puzzle that's missing and hurting the portrait from being a masterpiece. Strong LP under that block, whether 50-50 , 60-40, or even 70-30 for that matter should get it done. The Blizzard in the Dakota's is an example of a Storm cutting and going toward the block before stalling. A strong enough system will cut without a strong enough mechanism to weaken or shunt it.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Let's just hope the Ensembles turn out to be the winner. Tonight's 0z runs should show whether or not the trend is for a cutter. Really need that TPV to assert itself under that block to stave that off. The Blizzard that hammered the Dakota's moved toward the block before stalling. You'd think it would have began weakening under the duress and start sliding SE.
  6. Daniel Boone
    That was the trademark of the middle 1970's Nina's. Cutter after cutter, rain ending as flurries the cold/dry. Rinse and repeat. Hated those Winter's. You guys on the eastern slopes got lucky a couple times with cad and a coastal that was just far enough west in the '74-75 Nina.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Nina the Ninja .
  8. Daniel Boone
    That's been a concern of mine as I noticed modeling showing LP trying to close in on Alaska. Definitely want any vort to stay outa there. However, strange things have happened even with it there, particularly if enough blocking is in place in the NAO Domain. So, hopefully blocking will reassert and we keep somewhat of a +PNA in conjunction.
  9. Daniel Boone
    It's possible for Blizzard conditions even as is with the strong Arctic winds and heavy upslope on backside if it comes to fruition. Man , if timing is right, some of our major snowstorms come when Arctic fronts have just came thru as a Storms rides up that front. If that happens, Hammer time!!!
  10. Daniel Boone
    I remember that. Yeah, Kentucky did get hit. It was weird I remember how the cold did. I'll look up KTRI Daya on that period. Think they were even a bit less cold than here. Mainly Sunny and dry too .
  11. Daniel Boone
    Would be magnificent !!!
  12. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I remember that. You guys were decidedly colder.
  13. Daniel Boone
    That would rival the coldest I've recorded of which goes back several minutes. High of -4 Jan. 21, '85 and Feb. 5, '96. Both with deep snowpack.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Same here.
  15. Daniel Boone
    It did but just wasn't the bitter cold as was Plateau west. Coldest daily high I recorded was 23 during that. Cold but, nothing unheard of.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, you guys on the Plateau westward were alot colder with that one than Eastern area's.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Good point. I would imagine that since climo adjustments have been made{jacked up normals over the years in response to warming} that there is some effect in mr outcome. Whether that would portend to a colder or warmer one is the question. Food for thought.
  18. Daniel Boone
    I see on the GFS snow map Lee County snowhole sticking out. Lol. That's the result of years of erroneous data going into the model ingest system from the Pennington gap co-op site. Sad. That's why the NWSFO's need to make sure everything is up to par at those sites.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yep. Causes us so much anguish. It is depressing when you get rounds of precip when it's mild and when it finally gets cold, dry as a bone. That's the good thing about El ninos; usually systems trekking along the subtropical Jet during mild and cold periods.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, shows 1 p.m. Temps Christmas in single digits SWVA/NETN with below zero highest elevations.
  21. Daniel Boone
    An inch here as of 10 p. m.. light to moderate rain began around 8 a.m. and continued until 6:30 , then a few showers. Hopefully, we get another inch or so as water levels still need replenished up this way.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Actually makes sense the way the cold Nina Winter's progressed. There were the breaks , of which snow would melt assisted with rain and flooding for short intervals, only to turn back to cold and snow. You're right on with the Chinook Carver's. That was a part of the evolution in those Winter's. I'm still not sold on that this Winter however as so far the Nina ( cold west, mild east) pattern has won out this late fall/Winter. 3 weeks cold west vs week to 10 days east. Also, those cold eastern Nina Winter's pretty much all started earlier with the base cold pattern. Not really sure that means much , really though. On a positive note, the blocking that has shown up may help in getting that rare colder eastern Winter. MJO should help later on I think as SST'S become more favorable in critical area's.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Being a Relic, I've lived to see several white Christmas's . My all time favorite being 1969 with 10" Christmas Morning.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, Nina has really been ruling the Roost. If blocking can hold strong enough we should get some low road systems. Agree on PNA as well. That would put the icing on the Cake. Seems it's like pulling teeth to get a -NAO +PNA Combo anymore. A big worry too is once the cold settles in ,we go bone dry. I remember the super cold Christmas '83 out break doing just that. Not a single flake ! A High of zero that day in Pennington gap with bare ground. Unreal ! Get this, 2 days later a southern Ms Valley System moves in starts as Snow, coats the ground with a heavy dusting and then suddenly turns to Rain. Storm cut west.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, was just looking at that. Man , if that comes to fruition, white Christmas would be likely with locked in cold .
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