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Everything posted by Chinook
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
One of my family members had to go to the basement. -
Toledo got 1.57" today with frequent lightning at times. I think I saw some small hail, but it didn't cover the ground much.
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Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I would have thought there would be a bit more discussion of tornado warnings near STL. Otherwise, one tornado warning south of Fort Wayne right now. -
new confirmed tornado at Hoyt
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A few storms developing near Topeka's radar look like they could get going into supercell mode.
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Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
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Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
The NWS has 1" to 1.5" QPF for most of the area, and currently the temperatures at 5000 ft could be 32-40 degrees as it is snowing, or raining, and 32-34 degrees late at night on Thursday morning. Certainly some version of a winter storm watch will be incoming. -
Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
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Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
I'm sure there will be a lot to talk about in the future. The GFS has a shortwave with some snow at hour-108 and then there's more snow after that. The 500mb low will roll around the Four Corners area, I think. But like I say, that one is more than 100 hours in the future. -
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Friday night could have an enhanced risk for tornadoes
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Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
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Severe weather outlooks for this week: Honestly I'm not sure what so say regarding this. I don't think a lot will get going tomorrow in the daytime. There should be more severe activity popping up from 12z to 18z Friday, along with up to 65 kt of shear in Louisiana at that time. The GFS shows high storm relative helicity in Mississippi. This is a sounding near Biloxi for Friday with low-CAPE, high humidity
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
quick increase in reflectivity at Dixon -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Chinook replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
another two tornado warnings (almost right at Cyclone77's place) and also an unwarned cell to the east -
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Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
I posted these images in the El Nino discussion. This shows the subtropical jet stream did most of what it was supposed to do. There are also some abnormally westerly winds near the equator, with a component of the wind transporting the moisture to California. (westerly winds at the equator should be happening in the West Pacific.) -
Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
Washington state snow pack should be rather low in all aspects. As you can see, the southern snowpack values aren't too bad as El Nino normally favors the Southwest. These days we can say that the California jet stream is doing a good job at blasting warmer air in the middle of the country. A lot of the CO mountains should pick up some good snows from the westerly winds. -
Mountain West Discussion- cool season '23-24
Chinook replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
local storm reports have 5" - 42" from Reno up to the Donner Summit.