Jump to content

Chinook

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    11,173
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Chinook

  1. This buoy will get close to the eye
  2. I think the GFS had a low pressure in a Gulf about a week ago, but there was nothing on the NHC outlook, and then.. nothing, and then.. this.
  3. yes, current radars show 110 kt (126.5mph) wind in the clouds at the eyewall, above ground. That's some crazy stuff.
  4. tornado warning Apalachicola FL, with larger tornadic supercell out over the open water, as I mentioned
  5. tornado over the water, south of Crawfordsville FL
  6. Now the NCEP systems have rolled out the RRFS ensemble members (I guess,) and the NAM, for now, has not disappeared.
  7. Yes, I think most of the winds on the latest recon were just about 70kt, if a bit more, and then surface winds should be lower than flight level, by 10 kt. I think the continued pressure of about 978mb supports relatively the same as this morning's recon, which may have had a bit of 75-80kt flight level.
  8. This is a very good video on the El Nino-powered winter(ish) tornado forecast
  9. Fall heat wave with approximately 17 deg F above normal coming up for northern Colorado.
  10. I have brought back my 500mb map/ 250mb map archives for general research purposes. I started off doing this a couple of years ago for tracking the jet stream during the El Nino winter a couple of years ago. https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Sep_2026_500mb_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Sep_2026_250mb_loop.html
  11. over 6" of rain for Amarillo, Dodge City, Manhattan Kansas, and Omaha. 3.98" measured at Santa Fe, NM.
  12. powerful Hurricane Rachel yesterday at a strength of 105 knots
  13. One thing will be a little bit different this winter. Mayjawintastawm's least favorite model, the No-Accumulation-Model, will be retired this week and will be replaced by some version of the RRFS (not sure if it's the RRFS we're already seeing on the model web sites, or something else.) The NAM had a pretty bad track record for the Front Range winter storms for a while now.
  14. Four Corners low cold and snow. It is snowing in Colorado, but at over 11000ft at Wolf Creek Pass, so pretty high up there
  15. storm name "Marco" is on this year's list for the Atlantic. It would have been a huge coincidence if Marco and Polo were named storms at the same time.
  16. Recent passes of Hurricane Polo show flight-level winds around 150kt and pressure values of 909mb or a bit less. The TropicalTidbits satellite view now has a 914mb pressure shown. (not sure if this is the official value)
×
×
  • Create New...