Chinook

El Nino for the win

large MCS/MCC overnight. This particular radar image looks like a smiley face. This place just keeps getting wet

24-hr rain from last night (to 1200z) was 1.25" to 3.0" for Toledo. We had some more light showers. Now, SPC is considering a new severe thunderstorm watch for southern Michigan to NW Ohio late tonight

Is that considered a double-bounce?

Is there a way to view some sort of version of NCEP or European reanalysis now? I want to look at weekly or monthly averages of winds and temperatures and such things. But I can't. NCEP reanalysis is not available, as far as I can tell, from PSL: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/composites/day/ I want to figure out some of this stuff. It used to be fine. You know, look at 850mb temperature averages for a week or whatever. Now, not fine. I'm not sure the European ECMWF reanalysis offers a web page that does the things that I want it to do.

The TDS in Windsor, Canada seems to have been near the Forest Glade subdivision and the international airport.

wow! I hope nobody got hurt It started to rain heavily here with several lightning bolts in the clouds, 20-40mph wind gusts, a few (minor?) wind reports around Toledo, including a tree down in the downtown Toledo area. Low bits of clouds were moving quick with the onset of the storm, like 40mph or more.

I got thunder

Possible tornado in Windsor, Canada

there is currently a small rotation that's not that far from Wyandotte Michigan (Michsnowfreak) -- 11miles southwest

Hawaii is a hurricane magnet now

several tornado warnings in NY/PA today

tornado warning for the storm coming from Lake Ontario to New York state

huge amount of storms in Ontario

large supercells near Toronto

London ONT may have a severe or tornado warning right now

large storms already NW of Toronto

Hurricane Karina has been 125kt from last night into this afternoon. Just add a "T" and you've got Hurricane Katrina!

Honestly I will say that I have not checked that specific map very often. It's not of particular interest, day to day, for me. It seemed like some individual days in the 2016 El Nino were very high like +0.8C or something. For example, Feb 2016 is listed as +0.817C on that web site. The recently monthly anomaly values, like July and August 2026, are high (on that web site), +0.764C and +0.942C. So that's pretty insane.

I have never seen this type of real-time analysis map be +1.0 degrees C

I suggest we rename this part of the country, The Mid StormLantic

40 kt gusting to 49 kt at Sabine Pass (buoy system)- on the beach

My friends once told me that the Maroon Bells are crumbly and dangerous.

This is why you hike starting early, particularly with high mountains of 13000-14000, and particularly when you know it's not going to be perfectly sunny. You try to get off the peak before lightning, which might even start going at 12:00-1:00. The earliest storms happen with the mid-day radiation. Thankfully I had many sunny days of hiking mountains, as I tried to plan it out that way.

peak 38kt gusts at Port Arthur Texas. Now that could blow my hat off my head.