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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    Ryan Hall chasers showing large tornado on camera at Bay, Arkansas
  2. Chinook
    including this
  3. Chinook
    22 total tornado warnings, (Indiana, Wisconsin ones not shown)
  4. Chinook
    by the way, my place had something like 1" of rain in 2 hours this morning with lots of loud thunder, cold weather, elevated instability
  5. Chinook
    this is a confirmed tornado, Almyra AR
  6. Chinook
    possible tornado by Moscow, Tennessee. (Moscow Russia shouldn't have severe probabilities tonight)
  7. Chinook
    3-D view of storms in TN, MS
  8. Chinook
    You can actually see wind shear in this
  9. Chinook
    here's a new view
  10. Chinook
    splitting storm
  11. Chinook
    developing an overhang and maybe splitting updrafts near Enid, OK
  12. Chinook
  13. Chinook
    Maybe we need some thread(s) soon for severe weather events in the central region, like today Enhanced outlook for tornado/hail/wind
  14. Chinook
    3-D features of the storm that produced a tornado
  15. Chinook
    Ryan Hall says storm chasers are seeing a tornado here in NE Arkansas (confirmed tornado just issued)
  16. Chinook
    possible tornado with hail core aloft near Flora, Illinois
  17. Chinook
    possible tornado by Lafayette IN
  18. Chinook
    45% non-hatched wind threat up to MI/IN
  19. Chinook
    As I mentioned before, I think the CIPS web site was down for quite some time last year, but it is back. The top analogs for tomorrow night have some severe reports. This highlighted one was a worse analog. It's Mar 1, 2017, with a 1000-storm report day (Midwest sector analogs) if you choose the southeast/south central zone in CIPS, then the computations are different, with Mar 31, 2016 being a good analog, high storm report analog day
  20. Chinook
    double hail cores
  21. Chinook
    HRRR got a little excited for NW Ohio here. Still, though, the convection allowing models aren't too great for a 42 hour forecast
  22. Chinook
    My place had thunder at 1:00, with moderate rain.
  23. Chinook
    I guess it can't be 70 every day when there's 1"-2" of rain... or snow
  24. Chinook
    this is a range-height cross section of a large hailstorm (supercell) in Mississippi last night. There is an overhang of the huge reflectivity, indicating a large updraft, since it was a supercell. I am doing this because I re-downloaded the GRLevel2AE 21-day trial. (again) and I might as well post something from the 3D capabilities. (I probably won't pay for GRLevel2AE)
  25. Chinook
    It has been windier than average, near me. This reanalysis plot shows that the 925mb wind was 4m/s (8 knots) higher than average. The 925mb winds usually mix to the surface in the daytime/afternoon, so that's a good indicator that the surface wind has been 4-8 knots above average. I don't know if any particular data-system uses the NWS monthly climate-F6 data to find out abnormal wind speeds. (I've never heard of a calculation like that.)
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