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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    developing an overhang and maybe splitting updrafts near Enid, OK
  2. Chinook
  3. Chinook
    Maybe we need some thread(s) soon for severe weather events in the central region, like today Enhanced outlook for tornado/hail/wind
  4. Chinook
    3-D features of the storm that produced a tornado
  5. Chinook
    Ryan Hall says storm chasers are seeing a tornado here in NE Arkansas (confirmed tornado just issued)
  6. Chinook
    possible tornado with hail core aloft near Flora, Illinois
  7. Chinook
    possible tornado by Lafayette IN
  8. Chinook
    45% non-hatched wind threat up to MI/IN
  9. Chinook
    As I mentioned before, I think the CIPS web site was down for quite some time last year, but it is back. The top analogs for tomorrow night have some severe reports. This highlighted one was a worse analog. It's Mar 1, 2017, with a 1000-storm report day (Midwest sector analogs) if you choose the southeast/south central zone in CIPS, then the computations are different, with Mar 31, 2016 being a good analog, high storm report analog day
  10. Chinook
    double hail cores
  11. Chinook
    HRRR got a little excited for NW Ohio here. Still, though, the convection allowing models aren't too great for a 42 hour forecast
  12. Chinook
    My place had thunder at 1:00, with moderate rain.
  13. Chinook
    I guess it can't be 70 every day when there's 1"-2" of rain... or snow
  14. Chinook
    this is a range-height cross section of a large hailstorm (supercell) in Mississippi last night. There is an overhang of the huge reflectivity, indicating a large updraft, since it was a supercell. I am doing this because I re-downloaded the GRLevel2AE 21-day trial. (again) and I might as well post something from the 3D capabilities. (I probably won't pay for GRLevel2AE)
  15. Chinook
    It has been windier than average, near me. This reanalysis plot shows that the 925mb wind was 4m/s (8 knots) higher than average. The 925mb winds usually mix to the surface in the daytime/afternoon, so that's a good indicator that the surface wind has been 4-8 knots above average. I don't know if any particular data-system uses the NWS monthly climate-F6 data to find out abnormal wind speeds. (I've never heard of a calculation like that.)
  16. Chinook
    "It's really beautiful around sunset. The methane emissions really pick up the colors." -- Jim Carrey, The Mask.
  17. Chinook
    The Dust Bowl coincided with too many La Nina/neutral winters, By my inexact calculations, a double El Nino helped finally wetten up the central part of the country before WWII. And then of course they changed the farming practices and planted trees for windbreaks. By the way, the last storm (March 20th) picked up dirt from the Plains and deposited it on my car through the light rain.
  18. Chinook
    This is the first time since 1997 that two F-4/EF-4 tornadoes were in Arkansas on the same day.
  19. Chinook
    so, any real tornadoes near Flossmoor/Chicago Heights or east of them?
  20. Chinook
    near Charleston/Oakland IL
  21. Chinook
  22. Chinook
    heavy snow recently in Wyoming, and other places out west
  23. Chinook
    tried to get another BWER on radar by the possible Oakland Illinois tornado
  24. Chinook
    My attempt to cut through the storm near the tornado(es)/gustnado(es)
  25. Chinook
    the BWER "hole in the storm"
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