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It’s really been rough.

Thanks, Don 1. I felt that at a minimum that the wording wasn’t the best, possibly due to haste. I may follow up with him on that to get better clarification. 2. He did mention the effect on crop sizes from the variable of climate/wx being hard to separate out. Doesn’t that include the variable of temperature?

Hoping to break 0.1” in another hour or two!!

2 potential windows in a less than ideal pattern-hard to ask for more. The 20th is the longer shot for now. The window centered on the 23rd looks better, but unfortunately as we get closer the looks have become less favorable lately. We just cant know yet.

The weather just hasn't been the same since the completion of the Trans Continental Railroad.

NAM is ok here mid week but likes Ray’s hood on north.

Light rain here for about the last hour. 42F currently. No cold air around unless you're on a chaise lounge outside. Snow pack still holding on.

What else we got? Nothing so chips in

I've noticed that HRRR often does that on an off run after a major run. Looks good on the 18z run and then much different on the 19z run. It'll prob go back north on the next run.

Radar looks better then my forecast of .50. I'd estimate I've already gotten .20 and radar is stacked.

1-3 inches is my call 1.5 for central park

there's a lag time with the mjo. we're currently feeling the effect of the passage through phases 6-7 to end january.

lol i did the same thing, and then i put it too far south by accident i gotta fix that. Looks like Mohonk Lake COOP is a bit too far south, its NW of New Paltz i couldnt figure out what the light blue was supposed to be, 0.1-4? Apr 1987 is def one i could do eventually, not that familiar with the 80s, vortex95 was a big help

Looks like after this week the weather may turn to winter again. Most of the Euro products show this. Here is the AI. Wouldn't mind one more period before spring. Obviously we are starting to enter the time of the year where sun angle makes a difference but its still only February.

The Miller B signal has been there on the mean for a few days now, but it has trended south on the EPS on recent runs. Discussed this in the other thread. Still a bit of a longshot, but still some time for adjustments. The window around the 23rd is also intriguing(maybe more so) with a Miller B look, but further south. The look up top is nice with HP to the N/NW and the 50-50 low.

**Trigger Warning** Sun angle season is here. Pretty solid melting up here on pavement in SLK under full sun.

Joe Biden is ecstatic.

You should see my grandmothers needle point. She has this.

In 1869 it was a week later.

Hrrr back south. We get nothing

Good stuff on EPS

In 1869 it would have been snowing at my house. I'm pissed.

Maybe if we started threads for incoming torches. N’ah it probably doesn’t work that way. Virga, 43F/DP 30F. I wouldn’t mind a few hours of rain, if just to wash some salt off the car.

Any chance Wednesday nights deal is some light icing interior and snow north of 90?