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So it looks like the abnormal cold that was forecast is backing off a bit for my area, and most in the South East. Sure some of the high elevations could get cold, but as usual, the warmth prevails this time of year. I will enjoy the one or 2 slightly below normal temps, and low humidity. Come the end of the month though, looks like another shot of "cold"
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Reading between the lines, the Hail outlook tells a lot. True supercells are only going to be out by the Delta. The pre-frontal trough farther east now looks like it'll be a little less volatile. Much of the severe farther east may end up bows and line segments. They can produce tornadoes, but yeah 45% wind seems to be the right issue on which to focus.
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Haha, I thought literally the same thing.
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Nope...he's had to hide it out in his bathroom a few times. Him and his wife just put on a hockey helmet and bunker in the bathroom lol
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Despite the wind, the past couple of days had near perfect weather. Feels like a fall morning but with the bonus of a longer day and higher sun angle. Someone the other day mentioned Gypsy moths, you can see where they're taking over. Lots of defoliation occurring in some areas
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50 was my low. MDT was 49 it appears. Welcome to summer wheee we never cool like the rest of the region lol.
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The Euro loves to jack up the winds.
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I agree up here. Theres another shortwave moving through mid Atlantic on late Sunday into Monday. SoP areas of the sub look at risk for at least a lot of clouds.
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The Euro really blows up the coastal in our area and dumps a lot of rain. The GFS a little less so. The GGEM hits SNE more.
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They almost ALWAYS are.
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Not sure this is the place to go to complain about eventful weather.
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sorry to hear. You’re way up. I’d consider living in coastal Maine—even out to Eastport—- but never as far into the interior as you are. Too much winter. Add 10-15 degrees to your temps and that’s my location.
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https://phys.org/news/2015-02-evidence-link-wavy-jet-stream.html
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The wind this year has been notable....if it weren't for the leaves, I could have mistaken last night for November or even February. I'm sure a switch will be flipped and it will suddenly be summer. But right now and what is coming on Thursday is not very second half of May-like. On the other hand, thankfully we had the wind over night, otherwise my 40.5⁰ low this morning would have radiated to at least 30⁰, destroying my fruit trees and berries.
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2025-2026 ENSO
so_whats_happening replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Anyway here is the last month and a half of TAO data showing the increase in OHC GAWX just showed. This should still maintain a Nina-like atmosphere through at least most of the summer would not be surprised if we start to see some flare ups of Nino-like progression into Fall just not enough to flip the script. -
There’s a paper discussion what we’ve chatted about many times here. Brilliant!
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2025-2026 ENSO
so_whats_happening replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So we are just done talking about ENSO in an ENSO thread and this has now become a historical catalog for snowfall accuracy and debating climate? -
Another beautiful morning, though this morning felt more like a fall morning, except that the Sun has already been up for an hour and a half.
- Today
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2025 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Met1985 replied to Maggie Valley Steve's topic in Southeastern States
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45F winds still busy, not like yesterday, hope the sun makes a brief showing.
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2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not really surprised about 2013-14, as that was a very warm winter out west (same with 2014-15). 2010-11 was the one that surprised me. I thought it would make it, especially as a strong la nina year, and not really having the extreme warmth out west of a 13-14 or 14-15. 2009-10 making the list is more impressive to me, considering that was a strong el nino. Usually, strong el ninos are warm CONUS, as you can see with 2015-16 and 2023-24 taking the #1 and #2 spots. Regarding 1981-82, the bulk of the snow and cold were in January and that April event. February and March were rather quiet. -
44 degrees this morning, WOW! I could live with this till November.
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No, just was operating without my brain the other day is all.