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GFS!!!!!

This batch of rain saved the day here. Made the forecast respectable. 0.82".

Yet we can’t buy these early deformation bands along RT 2 in winter.

48 here Sleeping with the window open

storm reports

Well the PNA isn't changing. Today's daily reading is approaching the most negative daily since December 2021. it's looking more like those +PNA this past Winter were more a blip than a change in the long term state.. remember, 2020-2024 was the most negative PDO on record going back to the 1800s, and October 2024 had the lowest monthly PDO on record. It may take some time to change that, although I do think a more active sun could help. What we are getting now is a -NAO, which just hasn't been happening in the Winter, although that could of course change going forward.

The fact that we're having a 2nd nor'easter since April 11 makes me more confident that the WPAC jet is changing and that a 2013-14 winter is coming in 2025-26. We have all the other pieces in place. If the WPAC jet cooperates, a cold and snowy winter is almost certain in the Eastern US. [Imagine if the April 11-12 and this event had happened in January/February.]

Nothing like chilly, chunky rain heading into MDW. Warmth is hopefully coming soon.

God I wish I was there..soon though, it’s coming. As Paula dean once said, help is on the way!

Hello from Arizona. My first time here today, it was 100. walking felt like a furnace blowing on me we fly back into JFK tomorrow.

Yes that worked out pretty well. 0.73" here now. Steady moderate rain.

if we can shift the NAM a bit east and get some heavier precip in here we mix

This sure beats 20,000 years ago when the continental ice sheet reached the Poconos and what is now NYC! SE PA was tundra. .

It looks like some white rain mixes in at times over the highest inhabited elevations. It’s wet, not white.

if precip is light then meh.. heavier stuff we could mix

They are generously calling it snow with these low level temps

42.2 feels great with the bedroom window open

Glad this is rain, I would've melted if it were January

From WxBell: Consider this chart of seismic activity: In looking at that chart, Dr Viterito was asked this question: : "How can you claim such a significant impact from so few events?" "This graph is the Mid-Ocean Spreading Zone Seismic Activity (MOSZSA) from 1977 through 2024. In order to capture the total number accurately, we can only monitor the medium and large sized seismic events. For the catalogue that I use, these are events of magnitude 5.3 or higher. To answer your question, here is how this works: last year (2024) we saw a total of 93 mid-ocean seismic events magnitude 5.3 or higher. In fact, virtually all of them were 5.3-6.2. What every seismologist does know, however, is that the scale is logarithmic. So, for magnitudes 4.3 to 5.2, there were 10 times 93, or 930 seismic events. From 3.3 to 4.2, there were 9,300 events. From 2.3 to 3.2 there were 93,000 events. And from 1.3 to 2.2, there were 930,000 events! Add it all up and there were over 1,000,000 seismic events along the mid-ocean ridge system for 2024. Furthermore, it is estimated that roughly 98% of those events produce high temperature magmas. That means that, on average, high temperature magma was injected into the mid-ocean ridge system nearly 3,000 times every day! At its low point in 1977, there were only 22 mid ocean events of 5.3 or more, or roughly 200,000 total events. That's nearly 5 orders of magnitude less than the 2024 event total! This dynamic, highly energetic system is CLEARLY having an impact on the thermohaline circulation." Any comments?

FLAKES!!

I gave in and turned the heat on too.

Pouring here presently. Good forecast by Mount Holly on the late evening rainfall potential from earlier this morning.

Raining nicely here now. Have the windows open listening to it. Very relaxing(with a bourbon). up to 0.42"

Heavy rain

Messenger shuffle east tonight. Ray to Kevin on NW would be having domestics with their spouses if this were winter.