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It looks like they follow the op with substantial spread still in landfall point.

Yikes. 6-10" for the areas hit hardest by Helene. Fortunately the GEFS is much further east, so an outlier at this point

Man 06z GFS op tries to bury 94L across interior South Carolina. Looks like a potent 850 and 700 mb jet just pouring subtropical Atlantic moisture into the foot hills.

Anything that didn’t get shocked from the drought is a rich green or flowering.

I haven’t been in a legit storm since Gloria in ‘85. Bob was a complete non factor for me in interior eastern MA. Forty years without even a minimal storm is crazy.

About 1.5” here.

Low of 62 with .58” of daily rainfall, for a three-day total of 2.64”. Off to Happy Valley in a bit……we are!

Skies are clearing and its turning into a gorgeous morning so far.

2.20” in the stratus, 1.95” thru the tipper.

1.13" in the Strati. No complaints. 2.68" since 8/1, but there are several CoCoRAHS stations along the coast with <2.00" in that timeframe.

Picked up .27" last 24 hours. Three day event total = .63". Disappointing but at least no runoff and it all soaked in. Overall the dry pattern continues. Some places drier than others but the overall pattern has been dry. Unless there is a surprise it does not look like the tropics will deliver anything over the next week up this way.

TGIF and happy fall yall! Glad the rain is done for now, and looking forward to the weekend-scooter ride w/ another couple tomorrow. Then couch time for PSU tomorrow night. Sunday funday with my Son/Gson/DIL and Eagles. Good times. I hope your weekend is a good one also.

After looking at all the data and the runs, even though they are inconsistent, I still feel the most likely outcome is a slow approach to the SE coast and either making it inland or staying just off-shore, but then slowing down/stallings and dumping a lot of rain... The big story is going to be the rain/flooding.

Rain totals over the last 3 days include East Nantmeal 1.22" / Atglen 1.56" / Chester Springs 1.31" / Devault 1.73" / Glenmoore 1.20" / Kennett Square 1.74" / West Bradford 1.64" / Nottingham 0.93"/Warwick 0.57" and West Chester 1.13". We should see some sun today as we dry out and see humidity levels drop. Today should be the warmest day for quite a while. Highs will be well into the 70's to 80 degrees in valley spots. We start cooling down tomorrow and in fact by next Thursday some of the higher spots may struggle to escape the upper 50's for high temperatures. We should see lows well down into the 40's by midweek as we start the month of Red October - Go Phillies! Our only chance of rain looks to be Saturday night with another 0.25" to 0.50" possible.

Seems about ready to takeoff

Rain totals over the last 3 days include East Nantmeal 1.22" / Atglen 1.56" / Chester Springs 1.31" / Devault 1.73" / Glenmoore 1.20" / Kennett Square 1.74" / West Bradford 1.64" / Nottingham 0.93"/Warwick 0.57" and West Chester 1.13". We should see some sun today as we dry out and see humidity levels drop. Today should be the warmest day for quite a while. Highs will be well into the 70's to 80 degrees in valley spots. We start cooling down tomorrow and in fact by next Thursday some of the higher spots may struggle to escape the upper 50's for high temperatures. We should see lows well down into the 40's by midweek as we start the month of Red October - Go Phillies! Our only chance of rain looks to be Saturday night with another 0.25" to 0.50" possible.

2.18" Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Every storm since winter have been like the Dallas cowboys. All pretty and flashy but total frauds in reality.

Since 19-20, he always finds a way to predict a -AO/-NAO winter with a very weak SPV and major blocking every single year. He’s only gotten one right by default….20-21. And I get accused of being biased lol

Totaled .15”

Ah, rings a bell. I recall it underperforming a bit and angering Richmond too, which made me feel better that others were frustrated (no specific Richmond hate). If I’m getting the details mixed up don’t tell me lol Hopefully we’re tracking something wintry soon

welp, the river hardly moved, i'll wait till sunday, but it's not looking good: https://usgs-nims-images.s3.amazonaws.com/timelapse/CT_Connecticut_River_at_Thompsonville/CT_Connecticut_River_at_Thompsonville_720.mp4

Virginia Beach.

Overnight ensembles showed more offshore solutions so it will be interesting if the 6z ensembles follow with the OP in showing mostly landfalls

Joaquin of 2015 is the one for me.