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WB has 39

Lovely

I’m really trying hard not to let myself get excited because I’m worried about the cut off but it’s getting hard not to.

LOL if that Alberta clipper phases it would be a triple phaser would be biblical

It looks beautiful

Hopefully we reel this one in! I was just having fun with my last post to you & Canderson. We all have our posting tendencies & that is what makes this place great. I am still in a little disbelief that the GFS lead the way on this one so far and has not wavered much for a few days. I will be happy with a widespread 6 inches of snow with some lucky spots hitting double digits. Let’s see where the final trends take us this weekend up until game time.

H5 at 36 00z NAM... now we wait for like 10 minutes for the run to resume lol

Truly can’t remember a storm trending like this within 48 hours, with GFS (sort of) leading the way synoptically

Stronger and further west at H5 coming out from the northern plains

Willy Wonka?

There’s a shit ton of energy in the flow this run, hope it feeds into things.

That western death band on the HRRR is tasty. NAM is looking better too. I am getting sucked back in.

lol that alberta vort is close to phasing... would be a BECS triple phaser if that happens

Probably not, but temps should be in the 40s or 50s during that week, maybe even a 60. We should see a 70 at some point in the middle third of the month.

Actually, It’s over 4”

Will we get double NAM'd? on hour 33 on pivotal...

That NOW makes sense… Especially your final sentence‼️

Closes 3 hrs later

That one actually came far enough west for some brief snow pellets in Long Beach when the best banding was parked over NNJ. Still one of my favorite blizzards even though I missed the heaviest. Some of the best drifting in Long Beach since February 1978. Long Island probably holds the edge for jackpots over NNJ since many of these systems loop just east of the benchmark with the best banding from Monmouth County across Suffolk County.

I‘m not privileged enough to know why. Nor is this the space for that type of speculation. Only reason I called it out here was the amount of metal flying east is hard to fathom. The 22’s listed above usually wouldn’t be forward deployed for long, along with like +25% of the E-3 fleet makes me think this isn’t a build up for a 2 day strike campaign. Turns out the media picked it up too finally and we saw some stories yesterday/ day before

Must have been someone with nothing to do in Silver Spring that came up with that. Or Vegas. lol

because temps will be above freezing when some precip starts

The mid-level centers are probably going to be further west with this storm. I don't think this is a 12/19/09 or a 1/29/22 type of event for this sub.

9.1” and still ripping. Everything caked.

I cant see anything bad on this run so far