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Just drove in from DIA and roads were clear. There is a very sharp cutoff along I25 near Longmont where there was no snow unfortunately.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
canderson replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Lucky. Only thing here is under bushes (but the city had less recipe that a lot and less sleet). -
The easy web version is here https://weatherstar.netbymatt.com
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Ice Ice Baby December 28-29 Storm Discussion
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Even 32° here with full sun. Nice afternoon. -
I don't know how I feel about the GEM para, but it isn't giving up its Arctic air to the GFS without a fight. Honestly, it probably looks the most sensible at 500 along w/ the AIGFS.
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So what's everyone's thoughts about snow potential for the next 10-14 days? Looks like we have some potential opportunities for us mountain folk.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
TheSnowman replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ray. 5.5”. Come On!! 12/2 was great 20 miles North of me. 12/14 was great 10 Miles S or SE of me. 12/23 was great 10 Miles North of me. 12/26 was a CT storm West & South of me. Screw Zone City! If it weren’t for that Crazy lucky 1:30-4am band Friday night that was purely for me to Franklin I’d be off the bridge. -
Same. @Allsnow is a good contributor. Hope he's well
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Yeah he had great insights on 33andrain.com when the forum was online. I haven't been there since they switched to discord Spring 2023. Do they still exist?
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I’m thinking the same. But i’ll take anything before the 10th!
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Wonder what this severe season will look like? The pattern oddly enough resembles 2023.During the winter of 2022-23,there was also a AR during that winter.Yes,AR'S can be had in NINAS,but are still more common in NINO'S. The latest charts today show NINO is peeping around the corner,while the subsurface in the east still have some cold pockets -2-3C mainly in the east,so it's not going away yet Not saying 2023 will happen again but it still is sorta a good analog year.Of course,there is also a chance of a SSWE later in the winter season
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
WmsptWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I swear to god, the area I am currently staying in is a precip hole. I drove to State College yesterday and along my journey, there was ice everywhere I went from Mount Union to Port Matilda to State College. Here? Nothing. I've always joked that the area from Bedford, McConnellsburg up through Lewistown and Sunbury is the most boring weather area in the state, but holy hell, I was amazed at how little signs of an ice storm there were even yesterday while the temperature never got above 34-35. -
Those top analogs for both periods are absolutely insane. What a list. Cautiously optimistic for this potential pattern.
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Realizing its just the op but cant help noticing several runs now how active the stj is starting to look. No shortage of southern disturbances moving across
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
jbenedet replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
“Pattern shift….” Careful what you wish for. There’s some naive optimism in seeing less mid level troughiness on the west coast but this is not without losing cold anoms in Canada. After first few days of January risk is tilted warm, even in the northeast. There’s some indications also, that the MJO makes a pass to 4/5/6 which are all warm phases for Jan. Pattern looks like trash around hr240 on the ensembles. Deluded to be getting excited for big snow from day 9ish on.. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
WmsptWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
What ice? Lol -
But he's always posted here consistently, even during the summer. I thought maybe he decided to take a break from the board for the summer/fall for a change, but now I'm more concerned since he didn't return for the start of the winter. Hopefully he's ok and will return to the board soon. I'll let you guys know if he messages me back.
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Only if you let them lol. Don't read them
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
TheSnowman replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
It’s truly Crazy how Nostalgic this “Weather on the 8’s” font and picture make me feel. Where do you view this by the way and who created it? -
Oh please god no with the buckle up comments. I fucking hate social media types. They’ve ruined weather
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I will add that it might be worth watching that Jan3 system on the GEM. The GEFS(as bad as it has been) has had a slider or two in each of its ensemble members. Low and behold, there it is on the GEM...rain, but decently cold temps and still time for that to trend.
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The show said they moved cannons and other supplies across the river on the ice. New York harbor and the Long Island sound also froze over. How far east idk. But apparently the temp never went above 0 for like 2 months in Morristown
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Was in Long Beach and can say they definitely had as much or more than at my house. Winter wonderland there.
