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60 mph is pretty common in severe storms. 74+ mph is much less common.

Yeah odds don't seem great after that recon flight.

Saw a gust to 94 reported a little earlier to your west. How frequently do you guys get gusts 74+ out there?

Looks like those poor midwesterners are gonna get hit with everything but the kitchen sink today. 2000-3000 j/kg yikes.

The thing to watch for in July is how much the warm pool east of Japan driving the -PDO interacts with the +PMM. The models runs in a few weeks as we approach will give us some clues. Could be another overlapping pattern with some Nino-like and Niña-like influences to the 500 mb pattern over North America.

Doubt it but today should be nice regardless out there. Destructive tag on that latest severe thunderstorm warning out in Iowa. As for here, expectations kept in check for tomorrow. Not expecting much down this way. Whatever ejects out of the Midwest this weekend looks modestly intriguing.

This should increase more once the +IOD gets going. Per Eric Webb, the record ++PMM is acting as a +PDO

Here, farther north in the city, we got 50+ mph wind as the severe bowing missed a hair south. However, this is the second torrential comma head we've been under in the last week.

So when Summer ACTUALLY starts, its cold.

No other place in this sub severe weathers like Cedar Rapids...

Looking like some crazy winds on the south end of the bow as well with radar showing 100mph as also mentioned in the mesoscale discussion

Another morning, another ripping bow echo at 8am in Iowa!

Slightly warm, mostly dry, and boring (for most) for at least a week

G78MPH in Cedar Rapids with the bow.

Not good at all. We most likely see more water restrictions North Carolina Water Restrictions 2026 | Watering Schedule

We’re advecting warmer air aloft 700-500. Usually not a good sign for SNE unless we had very warm temps. Definitely red flags as usual in SNE but kinematics are there. Like I said, get us over 80.

But at least when the cap breaks you are rapidly transporting moisture into the troposphere!

But that's how you get an EML!

haven’t read this am’s and yet but yesterday pm lot afd ack’d this and basically said the strength of the low may aide in overcoming this

drier air aloft also looks to be an issue down this way

Min 48.7° Frost on the pumpkin this morning

If we can bust 80 I think potential would increase here.

Hrrr is decent in CNE and NNE but looks like that’s due to better forcing despite being wedged. Looks like warm capped hangover breathe here as usual.

MAV 76 for BOS tomorrow MET 66 (and thats the evening) NBM 81 must be a front or something nearby tomorrow

Wet and wedged up here until mid afternoon tomorrow. Puff puff pass