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Looks like some real cold tonight.

Because it’s on a dead ass NE trajectory off of the Southeast Coast?

Since your home now, I think you can put your thong back in mothballs, as it is way too cold for that thing here.

I'd take 2" and be happy in southern wake. That's a solid snow here.

For those that don’t know, Tom lives up on Roan Mtn. https://x.com/tomniziol/status/2016856004009332761?s=46&t=LVg8BRWCh1zZb6F_t95EVg https://x.com/tomniziol/status/2016856006039392447?s=46&t=LVg8BRWCh1zZb6F_t95EVg .

I think it is an earlier generation of the AI models. I remember hearing about it more last year. But honestly not sure.

3-6 is a lot more than we typically get… clearly I’d love 6. I am trying not to take these runs too exact. It’ll make you insane.

I wish the trough was further west. Cold and dry look. Clippers?

Current: the "-54" is -5 for Hackettstown and -4 for nearby Mount Olive.

With the projected temps all of NE should prosper.

I just still am having trouble seeing how snow doesn’t get west to some degree . Maybe I’m vey wrong , but something tells me the final solution has not yet revealed itself

I will be fine if I go rest of season without anything else. Going on day 5 here with no power.

I fired up a Feb thread.

Hey @lilj4425- the moment a map is in our favor.... like in the history of weather, we read this. Haha, he could be 100% right and no doubt probably is. But it has been confirmed, the upstate of SC is the red- headed step child of SE winter weather..

-9 at MHT, only got to -3 here. had a bunch of deer tracks around my weather station this morning, maybe they were breathing on it and warmed it up a bit.

Stratosphere outlook is active. Even the GEFS is showing a warming and split in the mean. I would show the EPS, but it isn't available on weatherbell. Op Euro: Op GFS: If this plays out, I would expect impacts around the first or second week of March. One thing to consider, is that the last time we had a major SSWE in February (2018 I think), we did not have the base state we have this winter. It was a low - moderate Nina, but we hadn't really had a lot of blocking that winter. I think this one is happening, so it will be interesting to see how it plays out in early March.

Look like a moderate spike in phase 8 to come

This is WRAL's first map. Brad P in Charlotte says the potential dry slots prohibited him from putting out totals last night. He said that a broad stroke map may not be the best in this case.

AI models much more enthusiastic about Feb.5 potential. Resembling a SWFE with potential transfer. Something to keep an eye on at least.

Still hope for some light snow as forecasted Northern/northeastern extent of precip is usually further NW of QPF.

One of those could really dig and become a Miller B with the +PNA ridge still there.

Welcome back to the tundra!

This storm was aligned with a spike in the AO which we usually want. Even so only gets to -2 which is probably aiding in the suppression.

I thought I was going to move to Russia to get those totals, glad I am not an impulsive person. LOL.

SREF looked great but I honestly don't know how accurate it is.