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...and it is why my chips have been pushed into the center of the table lol

Always are....we could get 100", and someone like me would flip because Tolland or Weymouth got 103".

Time will tell but my chips are on there being some epic meltdowns...

I don't think we particularly prone because baseline assumptions aren't high...everyone excepts at least one month of like +8....

59 for my low kemp mill

It was an early summer again this year. We had that incredible heat wave to start July, but not bad after that. The 2nd half of July was below normal temps, and August is gonna end up about normal. Last summer our hottest weather was in late June. The big heat has been coming very early in recent years.

Oh I have lots of deer around here. They're in my back yard very often, so I have fencing around the vegetable garden. Can't have a garden around here without the fencing. I don't put the lettuce in the garden though because the woodchucks are wild about lettuce and would dig under the fence to get in. The lettuce is in pots high up on top of two tables that I have stacked up. I'll start picking the lettuce during the first week of september. I always grow the lettuce for the spring, but it's nice to have it again for september and october.

unusable

Also, busy morning in the WXW2 backyard. It’s like they arrived for a meeting this morning. Just stood around for an hour lol.

It’s not fall yet, but seasonable is a step down toward a new season. I do think September has a chance of being on the cooler side for a bit.

The March 1993 superstorm, 93-94, and 95-96 were the fruits of Pinatubo's temporary global cooling.

There could be some epic meltdowns this winter. Speaking of the upcoming winter...a friend told me he received an email from the plowing company he uses informing him that plowing service will not be offered this winter because of the forecasted Super El Nino. According to him the company isnt willing to take the financial risk of losing money this winter.

Our TS days in July/August has averaged a bit over 7. 2025+26 has totaled only 5 and nothing of note. Our weekend was sunless until just before sunset yesterday as the earlier forecasts of 60-70% PoP declined to 30-40%. Total 2-day precip: 0.03".

Also had the 2 major snowstorm in April followed by light snow and sleet a few days later.

Chris any idea what the annual snowfall average should be around here? I get varying numbers from 50 inches per year to 70 inches per year. It must be strongly dependent on elevation. I'm actually served by the Jim Thorpe post office (the town is considered the Switzerland of the United States with its own clock tower and mountains in the background it reminds me of the quaint old town from Back to the Future lol.) But I'm regularly 7-10 degrees cooler than Jim Thorpe proper because my elevation is around 1580 feet here. Bear Creek Lake which is just to my east has an elevation of 1544 feet. When Lehighton hit 101 in early July we only made it to 93-94 on two days. The nearest airport to here is K12N 9.6 miles from here in Lehighton. Do you have any other nearby snowfall measuring locations besides Lake Harmony? Albrightsville is also near by as is Summit Hill. Need to match elevations to get a proper snowfall estimate. What is the least amount of snow that Mount Pocono has ever had in a season and the most? For monthly records I think they received around 4 feet of snow in January 1987. February 1988 and Mrach 1993. I remember coming here right after the 1993 Superstorm and the first floor of this house was buried in snow! The only time anything like that ever came close to happening on Long Island was in the winter of 2010-11.

Another chilly morning here, low of 52, and some gusts to around 25mph this morning. both the coldest temps and highest (non-tstorm) winds i've felt in a few months

I'm beating a dead horse here, but that is a horrible look. It would be nice to have at least one powerful long-tracker to, well, track. No use in complaining. It is what it is...

The very warm NW Pacific continues to drive a solid -PDO. It would be nice if that would diminish in intensity and allow a PDO increase. Strong El Niño forcing tends to favor a +PDO looking well back in history. Actually from 1877-8 through 1957-8, all 11 strong ones had a +PDO DJF. However, 1965-6 and 1972-3 were neutral. Then the 4 strong ones 1982-3 through 1997-8 went back to +PDO followed by a neutral 2009-10. 2015-6 went back to +PDO followed by 2023-4 being the first on record with a -PDO and a strong one at that! Being that August of 2026 will end up most likely 2nd strongest pre strong Nino Aug -PDO with even a slight chance at the strongest -PDO pre-strong Nino Aug, the chances of a +PDO this winter are low. Hopefully it would rise to neutral PDO and we don’t get the 2nd strong Nino winter -PDO in a row.Full tally for 20 strong El Niño events since 1877-8:-16 (80%) +PDO - 3 (15%) neutral PDO- 1 (5%) -PDOPDO data: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/v6/index/ersst.v6.pdo.dat

I used to think so too I'm just a little north of you in the Poconos in actuality we need both el ninos and la ninas we just don't want either to get too strong. Our best summers and winters come in the transition years from el nino to la nina think 1995-96 and 2010-11. So the transition period between el nino and la nina might be the most exciting time both for summer and winter weather.

I love reading your posts they are always very informative John! Are you aware of Sir Roger Penrose's Conformal Cyclical Cosmology? He uses geometry to explain how the expansion of the universe could be one in many cycles of expansion and contraction and how what seems like increasing entropy will one day maybe a trillion years from now lead to a return to a very low entropy state like at the so called Big Bang which was really a Big Bounce. It doesn't violate the Second Law of Thermodynamics as long as the universe is at least slightly larger with each reiteration of the cycle. Think of a ball rolling up and down successive hills with potential energy being converted to kinetic energy as it rolls downhill and being converted back to potential energy as it rolls up the next hill. This is how a cyclic universe would be possible with the ball rolling downhill representing expansion and the ball rolling uphill representing contraction. Reason being that going uphill goes against gravity and going downhill happens because of gravity. Each cell living, breathing and dying really is like its own universe but also cyclic in a way because nothing is ever truly destroyed (the Law of Conservation of Mass-Energy) it just changes form and becomes part of the next whole. The idea of the primary colors representing the universe are intriguing. You could have space represented by the additive primaries of RGB red green blue and the arrow of time represented by black in our universe and an anniversary with its anti-space represented by the subtractive primaries of CMY cyan magenta yellow and an equal but opposite arrow of time represented by white, so as our universe expands its anniversary contracts and vice versa.

Here we go again

I'm the opposite; I love ninos live in central MD and our best snow chances are in niños--and a lingering nina state is bad news for us as we get screwed out of the goods most of the time, lol Which is why those in our region are hoping we can get something out this one (before la nina reigns supreme again for two years!)

Waters off the east coast certainly lost the chill of early to mid summer in a hurry.

NP. To each their own

Some 50's across central NC this morning. Combined with the low humidity it feels great outside