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  2. Nice thundery early morning yielded 1.45" here.
  3. Keep an eye on next week. Wouldn't be surprised to see more locally heavy rainfall totals before the week is over.
  4. Lowest min from NJWXNET was 40. Very refreshing. Overnight low here was 45.
  5. not a coin toss with a nino this strong and east based. easy breezy beautiful winter forecast
  6. .97" this morning riding the southern edge of the rain shield.
  7. At this point, I look at a consensus average. But interestingly, none of the seasonal models are that different with temps (early season being warmest) and heavy precip along the SE and east coasts regardless of how they got there, east or central based.
  8. More and more I think the rate of change can be as important or moreso than the index value itself. Definitely true with the QBO. Let's look at this WSJ chart for El Nino. Slope is greater than the other events of record. Calculus is back like the monster in the TV! I expect something new this El Nino.. er uh, well more crazy that's already in progress.
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  10. Good Idea: Not caring when someone weenies your posts Bad Idea: Lashing out at people when you get a weenie on your post.
  11. Hit 52F this morning with a 49 dew point. It was lovely. Still is. Currently at 72F with a 56 dew.
  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  13. I don't think that matters.....I think you're being a bit too linear. The EURO has it a good handle on this and it has the forcing near 160W, too. Maybe it's wrong, but I don't see any reason to assume that is the case.
  14. 46 glorious degrees this morning. This is more like it - and congrats @mappy for doing even a bit better
  15. Canaan Sinks was 36F, dew point prevented it from going down further (ie. Dense fog) there this morning.
  16. Today
  17. Yeah, I think I missing Amos as much as Tunsil at the moment. Pickens and/or Lamb, have to be drooling at the matchup.
  18. These endless summers like this year last well into Nov. Trust me . Keep the shorts on
  19. Crisp! living the dewpoint dream
  20. I don't think I could make it to Thanksgiving but seems like I could go for a while. Probably could get by with shorts and a light long-sleeved shirt.
  21. Bottomed out at a glorious 49F this morning.
  22. A typical year is usually around Tgiving . After that as you move into Dec, is genially no longer shorts time However with the wire to wire warmth this winter, more days than not you should be able to wear them.
  23. home heating oil up 6 percent today.. glad we don't use it but for those that do I'm sure they are hoping for a warm winter..
  24. Curious to see how long I can go wearing shorts. It was chilly outside last evening with shorts and short-sleeve shirt but at least there were no mosquitos!
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