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Those of us who missed yesterday’s rain are in a world of trouble

nice 4 us, brutal for sc/nc

This is indicative of a very well coupled (ocean-atmosphere) El Niño and Bjerknes feedback taking control:

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 149 PM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026 MDZ003>006-008-011-503>508-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-053-055-056- 501-502-505-506-526-527-WVZ051>053-070200- /O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0001.260408T0400Z-260408T1300Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page- Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange- Culpeper-Fairfax-Stafford-Spotsylvania-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 149 PM EDT Mon Apr 6 2026 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures 25 to 31 degrees possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, and northeast Maryland, central, northern, and northeast Virginia, and the eastern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

12z model suite doesn't look enticing for precipitation over the next two weeks. GFS is the "wettest"... CMC and Euro quite dry

This was in this mornings AFD from LWX High pressure will build to our north over the Great Lakes Tuesday, leading to mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will run about 10 degrees below normal, with highs for most in the upper 40s and 50s (upper 30s to low 40s mountains). A northwesterly breeze of around 20 mph will make it feel even cooler. High pressure will become centered to our north over the Southern Tier of NY Tuesday night, with a surface ridge extending southward into our area. Skies will be clear, and winds should go light or calm, setting the stage for an ideal radiational cooling night. Temperatures are forecast to drop below freezing to the northwest of I-95, with lows in the 20s for many. We may be issuing Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings for Tuesday night into early Wednesday in some parts of our region. But this is what they said Sunday morning in the AFD Upper trough will swing across the northern Mid-Atlantic states Sunday night through Tuesday bringing chilly air for early Apr with highs 5 to 15 degrees cooler than normal. As strong Canadian high pressure settles in by Wednesday morning, expect cold temperatures with likelihood of frost and hard freeze. Since this is earlier than the median date of April 11 of the last Spring Freeze based on the latest 1991-2000 Climatology, no Frost and/or Freeze headlines are anticipated at this time

Maybe bc growing season is just starting? Lots of manure going down on fields around me in the last two weeks

Huh... interesting

That April 1982 snowstorm showed just what could have been. If not for a long lull in February and March, 1981-82 could have been a historic snow season. But the April storm was a nice reminder of that cold and snowy pattern in January 1982.

Super Duper El Nino?

Thanks, can't wait.

Freeze watch in effect for most of the region

Just got my Alexa freeze watch. Yay?

It’s been off and on flurries all day in Greenfield.

Oh Jay Peak, 397" lol, sure.

Some warm weather without back doors every 2 days would be nice, but we need some action from frontal systems or coastal lows-wouldn’t be good if we’re entering a big east coast ridge into the summer pattern.

Is it warm up again yet? Clouds already en route…because that’s what northern stream systems bring.

Looking pretty dry for a while going forward.

Getting some flakes here now

Looks pretty warm from next weekend on....ridge builds over the east finally

Not bad!

hmm

Day of my Christening

Luckily it’s early so soil moisture is still high from the winter. Though we definitely do not want that to continue .

TORCH!!!