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21 years since the blizzard of 2005 14.1 inches at NYC. This could be close at current rates.

NAM had 2-5" in the Baltimore area, they have just switched to sleet with 7-11" of new snow on the ground..

I hope the sleet holds till 12 but that might be wishful thinking. Looks like moderate snow now

What do the upper air patterns show? Are they moving towards us?

We saw heavy rates overcome a shallow layer in Little Rock yesterday morning. But that sounding didn't punch through with +3C like this afternoon's forecast sounding looks to.

Just 5 weeks till March.

Fun radar

The biggest push of sleet will be when the coastal starts to develop. Need to watch for when that starts to develop.

The NAM nailed this thing. Pitiful moisture here in the triangle. The globals were trash with totals. Hopefully all the folks that bought generators didn’t open them.

4” - moderate to heavy snow

1/2" in 17min Finally past my NAM storm snowfall prediction Arkansas areas got 8" of sleet Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Heavy sleet, Crownsville. maybe 6 before switch, 1.5 of sleet since- ish there seems to be a big dry slot heading our way? Is that a thing? Or do you all think it will fill in???

Yea was just looking at a live webcam in DC and definitely saw flakes flying

Next official measurement at Noon but wanted to provide an interim update. KMJS sitting at 11/9 with heavy snow and what looks to be close to 2.5" additional inches having fallen in the last two hours. I've always kind of had in my head the O/U for sleet arrival time at ~1pm so anything beyond that and I'll be happy although it will likely be earlier. Here's to the next couple hours of boom!

can see it on klwx as well… there’s a nice fight with the cold air…. Any slow down can be huge @jm1220

What a scene outside! Puking snow right now

I was thinking about using the leaf blower too. 10F/DP 7F Do we have to go all the way back to PDII or the ‘96 storm the last time we had snow at these temps?

Sleet has a higher reflectivity on radar, so when watching that in winter storm like this can sometimes hint were the mix is. My guess is as that moves NE it will lessen on radar but actually just mean its all snow

Correct.

Sleet seems primed to mix in here at any moment.

Most recent SPC meso discussion from 9:39 AM EST. Mesoscale Discussion 0055 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0839 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 Areas affected...Eastern West Virginia and Virginia into the DelMarva. Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 251439Z - 251745Z SUMMARY...Snow has mostly transitioned to sleet from eastern West Virginia, across Virginia, and into the DelMarva. DISCUSSION...Strong warm air advection has supported moderate precipitation rates through the morning across West Virginia/Virginia and into the Mid-Atlantic. The 12A IAD RAOB showed a warm nose slightly below freezing at around 750mb with very strong (80 knot) southwesterly flow at the altitude of the warm nose. As such, this warm nose is quickly warming/advecting north and surface observations of sleet across northeast Virginia and Maryland confirm this transition. Any areas that remain snow this morning across Virginia and Maryland will likely transition to sleet within the next 1 to 2 hours given this strong warm air advection aloft. Expect precipitation type to remain sleet even as this warm nose continues to warm given the very cold temperatures at the top of the boundary layer (-15C) at the KIAD, KRNK, and KGSO 12Z RAOBs. The moderate precipitation will continue with sleet accumulation of 0.1 to 0.2 inches per hour expected. ..Bentley.. 01/25/2026

These temps in the valley are strange. Heavy rain started here at the house, and we had the temp go up, and now it is back down to freezing.

Coming down heavy now! Those returns from Wheeling working their way toward us.

DC has 3.5-4” as of 730am today