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I was thinking the rad pits could have one last hurrah below 0F early next week. Cold high cresting over deep snow pack....that'll plummet regardless of when in the season it is occurring.

Not letting me add multiple photos but this is a pic from beside our place at around 2pm. This is before the heaviest snow which fell from then till about 6. Now it also was windy but that’s roughly 8-10 on the seats already. Long and short- as crazy as it sounds (and in the valley 3000 feet below they got a dusting!)- this actually happened at Wintergreen. I don’t know if it was a perfect spot for upslope or what- but it was easily over a foot. Incredible to witness!

You know the forecast is uninteresting when the Banter thread has the most recent post.

NYC was in the cross hairs for at least 36-48 hours out....it was iffier beyond that....the system did not have long lead time though....the huge retrograding bomb started showing up inside 4 days IIRC....it was kind o chaotic because we were focusing on the first threat which was like this marginal temp firehose into SNE....I had nearly foot of pure blue snow on winter hill in that first event. I took this pic early on the morning of 2/24/10.

I hope we lock in on a wet spring, those always tend to be fun for severe as well.

That looks really cold Monday afternoon through Wednesday. Monday's eve is steeped in a sneaky Montreal Express; very efficient transport of low level syrup from western QUE/E Ontario. Thickness say 520 to 525 but the sounding may be more upright with the coldest, relative to normal, being the lowest 300 mb space of the sounding. It's all happening over a pan-dimensional snow pack, too. I bet we decouple and see (the season's last?) -0s lows in the interior around 4 am Tuesday morning. Might even call that the local pattern nadir, and it's rising in principle through the 10th after that.

Yeah it's obvious now that Monday is going to be suppressed to the south and shredded. Our hope to get a little accumulating snow is Tuesday, but of course the problem Tuesday is the cold air is moving out. So that looks like a mix storm with snow changing to rain. We need the Tuesday wave to come in early in the morning like last night's Euro showed. If that happens we can get a couple inches of snow before it changes to rain.

The weather today and tomorrow has premium potential.

Welcome!

Man... talk about radiative cooling .. all the way down to 3 degrees at FIT

Meanwhile, early cherry blossoms in DC.

Yeah I can see a reload near mid-month...mentioned this yesterday. PV starts to get pressed down into Hudson Bay on ensembles....if that verifies, that's a LOT of cold not far away, so we'd prob have an additional threat or two if that's where it starts to settle.

good times, last week i was punching my numbers for my snowmap for 20+

Not really seeing any signs of anything notable but heres the latest NBM.

Not over IMO.

That is bit too early to be impacted by the reversal...lag time is like 15 days at this juncture.

The wave on Sunday ruined this threat. It would have been a nice threat if it stayed in one piece.

The GEFS takes longer to get to phase 8. Likely around the 20th.

Can start to see the phase 8 effects here. Blocking weaker than I expected given the reversal.

The GEFS has a very persistent ridge in the East from March 4th to the end of the run. That’s why I’m starting to think after early next week, winter will be over. It was a very good run but I was hoping for a few more weeks.

What a difference a week makes. We were tracking at this time non stop last week.

Likely will be March 20th through first week of April as the next window.

The only thing keeping me from adding a "+" is this last storm was a high-end SECS/low-end MECS imby...coming in around 8-9". But it certainly was an A+ winter for many posters in our forum.

good chance given the pattern staying cold over all through early April (Assuming that happens)

I just need 3 more. Hopefully we get it .