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Kooks close to Lanton ATM

So is the convection firing tonight unexpected or no?

Drove by the closest gas station to my house today. A gallon of gas has gone up exactly $1.00 in the past 10 days. That sucks.

Flyers have a solid goalie in Vladar. Tho every time they get a G with promise, they trade them away. We'll see what happens here. Zegras is a spark. A few other younger guys with some promise too.

Kids will be fine -they've missed plenty of time in years past for much dumber reasons. Sounds like a lot of you are thinking you drop back to enhanced.

If we can fail, we will. We never seem to learn the lesson though.

Let me ask you a question. If you’re an administrator in a local school district, would you keep the kids in school or would you send them home early? Think long and hard about what the outcomes of these decisions could be and the risk in making one decision or the other, as well as the benefits and drawbacks of both.

Yeah rotation headed towards Spring Hill

3.7" here, 12.7" total MTD which is almost half my season total. We're now over my 15-year season minimum of 21.6". Guessing a bit over 1" WE for the month, not bad if heat/dryness otherwise weren't fighting against it.

Will be interesting to see what SPC does with this shift in guidance

Never even heard of those models

Right absolutely also tor warning in Columbia .

not great on that obvious bad call though. Their bats better wake up lol.

I'm likely getting a "storm day" off of work tomorrow. Grayling may be taking it hard again in the ice storm dept. Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1051 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1040 PM Freezing Rain Houghton Lake 44.30N 84.76W 03/15/2026 U0.00 Inch Roscommon MI Amateur Radio Trees and large limbs are being downed by ice.

USA into the finals of the World Baseball Classic!!!

Mesoscale Discussion 0256 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1002 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026 Areas affected...far northwestern Alabama and south central Middle Tennessee Concerning...Tornado Watch 59... Valid 160302Z - 160430Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 59 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado risk increasing. DISCUSSION...A discrete supercell has shown persistent rotation and strengthening over the last 30-45 minutes near the TN/AL state line. A second cell has also shown persistent rotation to the north of to the north of the TN state line. This is on the southern end of a cluster of cells ahead of the main squall line back to the west on the edge of the 60 F dew points. Within this region, STP around 2 is analyzed in surface objective analysis, with VAD profiles from KBNA and KGWX showing large low-level curvature in hodographs. This corridor will pose a relatively higher risk for tornadoes over the next 1-2 hours given the favorable shear and thermodynamic environment.

It will be interesting to see if RONI vs ONI makes a difference this season, because RONI will be ~-0.5c vs ONI. That difference in Moderate Nino range is historically about 2 NS/yr 2023 was +1.1c RONI (ASO), and +1.6c ONI and that season had 20 Named Storms, and slightly above average ACE. (SSTAs in the Atlantic so far this year are nothing close to 2023).

nice severe KY/TN

Still a few natural patches here, but sadly will be gone as well.

MKE recorded a 60 MPH gust, and looks like it's already transitioned to snow ahead of schedule.

Wind absolutely howling this evening. Fun 24 hours ahead no doubt. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

Hrrr like Beaver Co thru Cranberry

The 900 people who live in Onaway Michigan are getting snowfall rates I can only dream of

Flipped to ice pellets here a bit ago. Probably 0.1” of accumulation or so.

I'd say yes to the 3+ question. Stations in NMI use number of days with 6+ as their standard. The nearest station reporting such is about 20 miles due east of me. All NMI stations are AN season to date, even non-LES locales such as my own. Big storms (warning level) and deep snow are my key winter likes. Deep cold that may excite you and others, I actually deduct points for, lol. Lake has been iced since early December. I haven't had a daily high at or below freezing since March 1st yet somehow I have solid snow cover here from back to back storms. Meanwhile, DTW hit 70F today. It's pretty wild.