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Was hoping to go the whole month of Dec with snow cover.

this is why it’s sometimes not as simple as worse PNA -> weaker storm… the TPV is better oriented and allows the vort to curl more

That’s a pretty decent sized event for recent standards over SE areas. But I think decent banding would prob get back into interior too.

Yes, I noticed on my way across the bridge this morning. Super early for sure.

He beer.

Not that far off.

Why do you keep doing this to yourself?

Unfortunately, in this fast flow pattern that has been dominant since 2019, I doubt storms will pop up out of nowhere. I think if there’s enough storminess around, one will come our way.

lets sharpen that up a bit

It’s nice to see us focus on 15 day horizons in December. Bodes well for the perennial can kicking in Jan and Feb…

18z Euro on borad for the 14th, Really gets going but just a bit late.

Ai also

I actually feel very positive for the Saturday night snow . I really do think it’s coming . My gut feeling generally works

Was just out for daycare pick up. Bet visibility was 1/4 to 1/2 mile at best, and there’s hardly any wind right now. It’s just snowing that hard. Sounded like some ice pellets were mixing in a bit once I got home. .

Minneapolis radar

18z Euro looking much better for Sunday

AI Euro and euro are more amped

Thats how nina decembers go. Getting 0" is a la nina december is a great way to ensure getting a historically least snowy winter. This winter could be over by about the 15th if we dont have anything credible to track unfortunately

Whatever though at day 16.

I get the pessimistic sentiment. I feel it too. But the reality is we just don't know how things will play out. Some of our best snowstorms seemingly came out of nowhere. And the positive surprises are more fun than fretting for a week about a modeled blizzard that might disappear.

I'm loving this pattern. Been years it seems since we've seen clippers parading like this. Also, the Pac hybrids are nice as well if we can get more of them. Seems like there's a better chance for a widespread score compared to a big cutter with widespread p-type/dry slot concerns.

It’s a cooler rain basically. Still blows.

I was referring to the path of the next clippers. Ground zero- my backyard