All Activity

There's really no reason to ever get excited about this current Os team. 1 step forward and 2 steps back

Sanders made the mess,but bringing Cano in with the bases loaded and 2 outs really is pretty dumb on Albernaz's part the way Cano has pitched in his last 2 appearances.

New spc update has marginal and slight expanded more eastward marginal moved east to parts of Cumberland plateau and also east tn slight risk is now up and around i65 but north of i40 for 5% hail and 2% tornado and 5-15% wind for the majority of west and middle tn and parts of Cumberland plateau and east tn https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html .

The Orioles have the starting pitching but the bullpen sucks

Despite me taking the best day of this week to mow, more than a week after the last meaningful rainfall, the bottom of my grass was still soaked and stalled the mower aft it choked on grass soup. Drought my ...

Terrible 8th. Cano!!

I believe that these equations of ocean to atmosphere heat transfer are what’s taught at meteorology courses. I’m sure there’s a way to do this.

NAM and Euro basically dry should put up a lot of caution flags

I’ll tell you what, let’s see how the new MPAS RRFS does. Tries to develop +RA here on warm front tomorrow.

When did you leave Burlington? I had no idea

A slow-moving cold front will likely bring showers or thundershowers to the region tomorrow into tomorrow night. Parts of the region could experience flooding. The frontal passage will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Friday could see highs in the lower 80s with some additional showers or thundershowers. The weekend could feature cool and perhaps unsettled weather. The greatest chance for rain will be on Saturday. Somewhat cooler than normal weather will then extend into at least the middle of next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -28.34 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.178 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 53% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.2° (0.1° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

how many g damn times

it's a Stein summer here, that is objectively true by all measure(s).

Deepmind really wanting to pick up the second wave into the SW Atlantic. Some IFS/AIFS-Ens. members also agree with this.

Today's Highs: PHL: 90 EWR: 89 ACY: 89 BLM: 88 New Brnswck: 88 LGA: 88 TEB: 87 TTN: 86 NYC: 85 ISP: 84 JFK: 84

I know. The stuff tomorow will rob it. This is for tomorrow night into Friday.

Os offense is back to sucking against the Yankees. Sucks they blew Mondays game but oh well. Probably not consistent enough to make the playoffs anyway.

@dendrite, @stormtracker ! Fuck @Wow, he’s beyond useless!

Hurricane Lala at 0045z and 0605z from Aug 19 (that is, 0045z from almost 24 hours ago)

I get the dew and heat trolls, as well as the cold and snowy trolls, as well as the drought vs floods. But, for the love of what ever you believe in, can we just have a thread on reality?? PLEASE!!

Here is an example of the three-body scatter spike, essentially a form of bad radar data. The radar bounces off the large hail, and possibly back to the ground, back to the hail, and back to the radar. The DBZ values are up above 70 for a couple of pixels

I just need 2 more days of no rain, then I don’t give a shit! Hope you’re right on this!!!!

This is interesting. Meteorology is essentially the study of heat transfer. Winds increase in the winter, in large part, because the temperature difference increases between the mid and upper latitudes. We all know that. So, if we have 3.4 averaging 80 and NPac 52 (just for the sake of argument), what would the heat transfer difference cause the jet stream to do if the NPac was 45? In some ways that 7 degrees equals more stored heat than we could ever imagine, decreasing winds. But in the grand scheme of things, is it a proverbial drop in the bucket? Winters suck here because we're almost always close enough to be in the game yet we rarely score a goal. That's numbingly frustrating to us weather fans (in no small part why @dailylurker and I rented a damn house at the apex of the Tug). But I digress...you said (and I am an admirer of you) that you don't think the STJ would be materially impacted due to the increased temperature of the 'blob'. So, I'd love to figure out a way to calculate at what delta would the reduction in the temperature contrast between ocean latitudes cause the STJ to peter out, nullifying the best part of El Nino......and are we close?

Boundary temps. Cold above… rain. Cold below….ice. Fucking hate freezing rain!!!