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This is a marginal event; if it fails everyone will blame the phenomenon that shall not be named....

Gfs looks good too

BWI: 16.2 DCA: 10.1 IAD: 19.7 RIC: 8.7 ——————— SBY: 7.3

Got 10”. Had some good ratios at the end of the event to get us to double digits. Sun is out now, making for a beautiful morning

12z GFS brings Warning level snow to most of the Susquehanna Valley on Tuesday.

Courtesy of Rays winter storm archive. Again no accumulation for the coast.

983 is a pretty legit coastal

You think it’ll be that wound up?

-SN, 30/28°F

TEMP _________DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -1.2 -1.3 -1.7 -1.7 +0.9 +1.2 +1.3 +2.2 +1.5 SNOW _______ DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ DTW _ BUF __ DEN _ SEA _ BTV 15" 32" 41" 40" 22" 96" 58" 13" 80"

Looking like a 1-1.5" refresher for this area. Be nice to cover up the bare spots created from the 40mph winds early this morning.

3k NAM is more in line with most guidance. 5-8”

Good burst of snow this morning.

i cannot identify a difference between the 0z and 12z CMC

Doesn't make sense - they have 2" for Bel Air, then 43% of getting 1"+ 1" is much more realistic around here - the 12z GFS looks like ~1", less SE

More like Tuesday afternoon. Looks like I'll be out plowing by midnight/2am if the timing on the models holds

It will

Gfs looks about right to me in terms of reasonable solutions.

We got some of that here too! Pleasant surprise, not a bad thing at all.

A dusting in the city

I believe a good comparison would be December 5/6 2009. Offshore track resulting in hours of white rain. Areas just north and west had a moderate accumulation. Actually a perfect benchmark track.

GSP mentioned Winter Weather Advisory coming either later this afternoon or tomorrow morning for all of the Mountain areas including the SW Mountains for tomorrow night. Looks like snow changing to freezing rain event. They are also mentioning the next event would be Thursday night into Friday with snow likely for all areas including Asheville/Hendersonville before changing to sleet/freezing rain. The upcoming medium range continues to advertise a fast progressive pattern with moisture every day or two into next week.

Yes you will

Its the furthest east of all guidance, I'm not sure what to make of that as i didn't follow how it has been this summer and only going on how it was last winter and it was off a bit then too.

TEMP _________DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -1.0 -2.0 -2.0 -3.3 2.5 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.1 SNOW _______ DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD ____DTW ___ BUF __ DEN _ SEA _ BTV 10.0" 20.0" 40.0" 37.5" 45.0" 92.0" 40.0" 6.5" 80.0"