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  1. Past hour
  2. CAPE
    How about this look? The Pac ridge shifts northward and builds into the WPO domain, which causes the deep trough out west to weaken and shift north/expand eastward some. If this verifies there will be more of a mechanism for delivery of colder air into our nearby source region. No hint of a SE ridge and potentially active with energy in the southwest ejecting eastward.
  3. stormy
    You are exactly right........... A week to go, we could have a cat 5 Hurricane. I have been following models for 20 years and never can I remember 6 hours like today. Are the models changing or are the pattern repetitions changing???
  4. psv88
    35 today and lots of snow melting off the panels. Solar production highest since January 24. Its been really bad since then...
  5. Climate175
    Wouldn’t that be something…
  6. Ji
    PSU--i did a weenie count and counted 20 big hits or big signals 02,04,05(lol),06,12,14,16,18,19,20,22,23,26,27,30,33,39,43,44,45
  7. TJW014
    Sun feels great. Getting to that point in the year where I don't need to crank the heat on full blast when getting in the car in the afternoon. It's already warm inside.
  8. TJW014
    They're warmer in that water than on land. Wetsuit technology has made some big advancements, even over the last 10 years or so. I have a 3/2 made from Yamamoto rubber that will keep me warm in water temps down to the low-mid 50s. Dries in an hour or two vs needing a full day with my old suits. I have a few friends who have made it a few winter seasons in just 4/3s and 5mm boots & gloves. It's never too late to get started out in the water!
  9. Roger Smith
    I don't care how they sort, to a statistician, the value after two values tied seventh is ninth, not eighth. If you are at the Olympics and you come in one place after two skiers who tie seventh, you are ninth, not eighth place. More to the point, if you were one behind two tied for second, you would not get a bronze medal, you would finish fourth. Every Canadian knows this because for many, many years we would always say, hey fourth, not too shabby. Back to what you were doing ...
  10. ORH_wxman
    Weeklies have been on and off with the blocking in march. This run was still pretty cold but didn't have much Atlantic blocking. But previous runs have had it. It's the hardest form of blocking to predict though, so can't take much stock in that part of it. You can see the trailing 5-day mean here for Mar 10-15 (similar for the several days around it).....basically a +TNH pattern....but if we throw a bit more ATL blocking on top if guidance is struggling with that, then you could imagine it could get pretty fun...but even this pattern could do some things
  11. mappy
    Dude lololol
  12. CoastalWx
    I’d like to get the blocking back. Hopefully it’s comes back by March.
  13. ORH_wxman
    1930s had some epic torches....I'm sure the dust bowl helped out....low dewpoint air everywhere. But even some of the winters in the '30s were obscenely warm...quite the contrast when you mix in a 1933-34 with those warm winters....kind of like having 2014-15 next to 2015-16 last decade. (early 1950s are sneaky VERY warm in NNE too)
  14. SouthCoastMA
    I'd take the 5" it has here. The lobster fishermen are in a good spot to jack.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Weeklies have a decent gradient pattern going into early March....not that they have been great this winter.
  16. CoastalWx
    Reggie has been consistent. I’ve noticed models are still shuffling with the ULL too. Gonna be some small shifts I think.
  17. Carvers Gap
    And to reference my earlier post about this being the coldest day at TRI since 2015...
  18. GreyHat
    The 850 temps are marginal, 2m temps are good depending on your location and the 500mb & 700mb temps are cold.
  19. Eskimo Joe
  20. Steve25
    Chuck said screw your thoughts and analysis, and double screw that groundhog, it’s OVER!
  21. ineedsnow
    Reggie gone wild
  22. ORH_wxman
    Yeah this doesnt look like a narrow area of 3-4" while everyone else gets flurries....seems like there's enough lift for a general light snow to give a lot of folks 1-2"....the question is who gets 3-5". Prob a few enhanced areas do. And yes, people may not want an inch or two, but that has nothing to do with the forecast.
  23. eyewall
    The NAM is trying to sneak a little in tomorrow:
  24. Carvers Gap
    Here is the photo of S Holston Lake. A picture is worth a thousand words.... It not uncommon for high elevation lakes to freeze during cold winters in NE TN. It is quite uncommon for TVA lakes in NE TN to have that much ice in my experience.
  25. TriPol
    Twenty below possible? That’s not a weather alert, that’s a medical thriller. Frostbite in thirty minutes means I’ll be counting to twenty nine and going back inside. Cancel all outdoor ambition. If anyone needs me, I’ll be wrapped in cashmere, monitoring my extremities like a NASA launch.
  26. ORH_wxman
    congrats scooter on 3k gone wild there
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