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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
MET Winter 2025-26 at Detroit DJF avg temp: 25.2F (-3.2F) 43rd coldest out of 153 years Coldest since 2017-18 Coldest temp: -10F on Jan 24 # of days with a low below 0F: 5 (most since 2018-19) # of days with a low 9F or colder: 21 (most since 2014-15) # of days with a low 32F or colder: 83 (most since 2013-14) # of days with a HIGH 32F or colder: 45 (most since 2014-15) DJF precip: 3.92” (-2.64”) 17th driest out of 153 years Driest since 2020-21 DJF snowfall: 32.9” (-2.5”) 51st snowiest out of 153 years Snowiest since 2020-21 Largest snowstorm: 6.1” – Jan 14/15 Season snowfall thru 2/28- 38.8” (+1.5”) Days with 1”+ snowcover: 61 (most since 2013-14) Days with 6”+ snowcover: 21 (most since 2014-15) Peak snow depth: 9” (Jan 26, Jan 27, Jan 28, Jan 29, Feb 7) 19th most days with 1”+ snowcover out of 121 years Insane stat- In a winter full of deep cold and white ground, we managed to touch 60F+ 3 times this cold winter. Each time was a very brief but rapid spike. While not close to the record of 7, these 3 days were spaced out one in each month DJF. This is only the 2nd time on record this occurred. The other time was a very warm winter (1889-90). Lets compare- In an era when everyone wants to compare things to CC, the irony is that this winter most closely resembled a handful of winters from the 1900s-1910s. The cold temperatures, frequent snowfall, and solid blanket of snow that covered the ground most of the time but without any huge storms, and with NO big precip makers, is a throwback to the colder, drier climate of that era. Two in a Row- This is the 2nd colder than normal winter in a row. Last winter finished 0.9F below avg and this one 3.2F below avg. Last winter saw average snowcover despite below avg snowfall, so this is also 2 years in a row where snow covered the ground in a greater capacity than would be expected with the amount of snow that fell. If I had to guess- Ill say next winter locally will be milder with less snowcover but a bigger snowstorm than each of these past 2 winters. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Weather Will replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Imgoinhungry replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow tv. Nothing will stick, i think. . -
2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I wonder if CANSIPS has consistency bias? I know I think @GaWx was showing how they had SSTA anomalies for the same month year after year. -
Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'll take 0.5" -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
+2-3 std +NAO on long range GFS ensembles -
And it wasn't even that warm. Plus no rain either. Just the power of the sun
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Rd9108 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Well mid month guidance has shown a return of winter fwiw https://x.com/i/status/2028181023901553072 -
I think people lose track of when some of us are trolling and when we’re not. On the last page…I was goofing around and trolling. A couple weeks ago, when the worst of the cold lifted out, a few of us mentioned the worst of winter was behind us cold wise…I think Scoot may have thrown out a back broken too. But it was just in reference to the time of the year, the extended temp outlook for the rest Feb, and climo. But I don’t recall anyone saying snow season was broken.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yes, but April concrete slop sucks. I’ll take the moisture, but its not the same as a deep winter storm. -
Hit a high of 54 and got in another bike ride before the cold returns. Its a nice afternoon to sit in the sun w drunk in hand.
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Seems like temps for today busted high, was forecasted to be 36F and sitting at 42F
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I just don’t want a complete miss south stank on the upcoming rain and warmth.
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It seems like its hard to get a handle on what’s gonna happen over the next few days. Pattern change.
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Ugh.. yup. My hiking season is coming to an end until the fall. I'll do some local hiking but nothing big. The crowds are back. I enjoyed the glacier. I was the only one out for weeks.
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mm.. Brian makes a good point on that. well, firstly...the whole "season's back broke" thing is both stupid, and my fault. I'm the one that first proffered that metaphor back 15 years ago. ... I remember doing so, and have regretted having done so, ever since. Because people don't use it within the restraint of objectivity; they abuse the use and/or there is no consistent definition of what that is. Mostly, whomever doesn't like the season at hand cites the back broke sentiment at least excuse to do so which isn't the purpose of that either. When I first said that years ago, it was in deference to the 'pattern of summer' breaking down. There are certain climo pattern return tendencies for each season. In august, we typically do so the first signs that it is teetering. This is sensibly revealed by not being hot(not being cold) all the time in summer or winter, respectively. What's skewing matters is CC ( also) because we are observing summer looks in Novembers, and winter looks in Mays. It's why I regret ever starting that meme saying. It's like backs are healing for more hefting. In this case of winter 2026 and what Brian's sort of intimating there, a big blocking episode was ending in mid February, and folks had March right there in their foresight by then, so it seemed just as good a time. It just so happens we tucked a historic storm in there. LOL
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57 here un Hawthorne, NY
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If you look at satellite, you’ll see the most perfect example of the Catoctin cloud factory. Hardly any other clouds around except along/over the Catoctin’s. Still a fair amount of sun today (cloud factory is waning), though kind of a sneaky chilly compared to yesterday. Not looking forward to tomorrow’s temps, if I’m being brutally honest. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12&dim=undefined
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My St Bernard Husky mix today trying to navigate the heavy deep wet snow. From his paws to chest is 18 inches. Bottom is still icy. Always check him but he is a beast not bothered
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Hey Mitch, thanks for doing that. You could go ahead and delete this post if you’d like.
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Weather Will replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
