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That trailing s/w seems to be trending to a cleaner and cleaner phase.

Maybe not "smoke" per se, but pasted with mashed potatoes sticking to every single surface if that verifies!!

Lol 6 level contour closed off h5 at 36

@Inudaw More amped storm helps our chances for once? Tilts the bands into RVA?

This snow will be very, very heavy. Heads up for the shovelers.

the SW edge of these things are always brutal 12/30/00 was a disaster there

Soundings have us at 33-34 at 18z tomorrow. Other runs/models were 35-37

I'm all in. 100% invested. It's game time. Let's do this.

What’s wrong with that ? Wow

I think NAM is going to be the greatest model run of all time for Philly. Topping last night

Blizzard. Wow.

51 and partly sunny. Since I haven't updated on river ice in a while, there is still full ice coverage on the Bush River near my location as far as I can see. Melt is most definitely on ofc. According to the Nat'l Ice Center mid-Atlantic chart, the western shore tributaries north of Balt were 70-99% ice covered, with few small more melted spots - as of yesterday (chart still the latest).

We never stood a chance with this set up unfortunately. Ill live vicariously through all the videos. We will get ours one day. I might be 60 by then but it will happen.

1002mb to 977mb in 12 hrs

977mb at hr36 and bombing out

If I remember correctly boxing day was a bust for them.

It was nearly the most accurate IMO with the flip over to sleet in the January storm.

NWS shows 2-4 inches, for now.

Yep

Huge mashed potatoes falling from the sky, it would be a lot of fun.

The 500mb progression on the NAM is just perfect for heavy snow in this area. Wow.

Nam is a smoke show, absolutely beautiful

Winds were pretty middling with that one, this will have insane drifting. Looks like gusts 55-60 well inland could be 70-80 on the immediate coast.

Central pressure gradient a tick NW Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Blizzard and Winter Storm Warnings Expanded The blizzard warnings were extended about a county inland by the NWS (counties in orange) and those watches for counties in NEPA were converted to warnings (pink), as the NWS clearly has more confidence in more snowfall making it that far inland so they upped snowfall for everyone especially west of 95. Below is a bulleted summary of the blizzard/winter storm warnings which is easier to digest than those long text strings the NWS puts out. Hopefully we'll see a new NWS map soon, as snowfall amounts have been increased, as per these warning amounts. Specifically, the warning for Somerset/Middlesex/Mercer is for 16-20" of snow and the map had us at 12-16" (and this goes for everyone). The links below have the full text for all of the warnings. Blizzard Warnings from the NWS-Philly and NYC Blizzard Warning for Atlantic-Cape May Counties for blizzard conditions with total snow accumulations between 12 and 20 inches and winds gusting as high as 50 mph. Blizzard Warning for Gloucester-Camden-NW Burlington-Cumberland-Counties for blizzard conditions with total snow accumulations between 14 and 20 inches and winds gusting as high as 45 mph. Blizzard Warning for Monmouth-Ocean-SE Burlington Counties for blizzard conditions with total snow accumulations between 15 and 20 inches and winds gusting as high as 50 mph. Blizzard Warning for Morris-Somerset-Middlesex-Mercer Counties for blizzard conditions with total snow accumulations between 16 and 20 inches and winds gusting as high as 45 mph. Blizzard Warning for Passaic-Hudson-Bergen-Essex-Union Counties for blizzard conditions with total snow accumulations between 12 and 18 inches and winds gusting as high as 50 mph Blizzard Warning for Westchester-Manhattan-Bronx-Staten Island-Brooklyn-Suffolk-Queens-Nassau Counties for blizzard conditions with total snow accumulations between 15 and 20 inches and winds gusting as high as 55-60 mph Blizzard Warning for N Westchester-Rockland Counties for blizzard conditions with total snow accumulations between 11 and 15 inches and winds gusting as high as 45 mph Note: blizzard warnings are also up for Delaware and Connecticut, as well as Rhode Island/Mass (not including those details) Winter Storm Warnings from the NWS-Philly and NYC (very close to blizzard conditions, looking at the winds) Winter Storm Warning for Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton Counties for total snow accumulations between 8 and 16 inches and winds gusting as high as 45 mph Winter Storm Warning for Delaware-Philadelphia-Chester-Montgomery-Bucks Counties for total snow accumulations between 14 and 18inches and winds gusting as high as 40 mph Winter Storm Warning for Sussex-Warren-Hunterdon Counties for total snow accumulations between 13 and 18 inches and winds gusting as high as 45 mph Winter Storm Warning for Salem County for total snow accumulations between 14 and 18 inches and winds gusting as high as 40 mph https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=PHI&wwa=blizzard warning https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=PHI&wwa=winter storm warning