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Water vapor satellite imagery is actually encouraging.
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Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pretty enthused that this afternoons potential precip shield is looking is looking less potential and more actual this AM: There was even a severe t-storm warning associated with it earlier. Now we see if the cold air can make it.- 63 replies
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I think it’s gonna mix down quite well later today. Gonna blow pretty good this evening
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HRRR has been rock steady since yesterday that we don't lose the clouds today.
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Just got into work (across from Sterling WFO) and it actually appears that this low cloud deck is rapidly thinning out behind the earlier showers. That line of showers wasn’t very dense and didn’t really fill in, at least where I live. I’m actually feeling a little better about this vs late last night when the high res models started the bust scenario.
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Squall line coming through west Asheville currently. Raining sideways with lots of lighting and very windy. Torrential rainfall.
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Breezy foggy showery - thats good for severe right?
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Looks to me like a rainy morning. Ugh.. Hopefully this shit clears out.
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I’m ready for whatever today brings. Hoping for something noteworthy, but please don’t knock my trees down
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Not a bad call it appears
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Buckethead replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I'd take cover if I was in Marshall. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk -
About .50 here so far
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Wild un
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Feeling very lucky this storm waiting for a week of melting before hitting us….
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Picked up 1/4” of rain overnight after 0.03” yesterday
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Buckethead replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Inflow notch showing up on radar SW of Marshall. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
ChalkHillSnowNut replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Im done with snow but if I can get 3-5” on the grass when it’s cold I’ll take it-it can be gone Wednesday -
Yup these storms have some strength to them especially getting better organized out of the west.
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Yeah, we kind of lucked out with the late February snowstorm. There was just enough cold air for that to happen. If it happened even a few days later, it would have been a completely different story. There just isn't any cold air for a snowstorm right now. I mean, we just had 4 days in the 70s, with 2 of those in the 80s last week. Any snow (if it does happen) will be just like last Thursday: brief and will not accumulate.
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This was fun one to track: WHEN LOOKING AT REGIONAL PRESSURE TRACES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF THE LOW HAS BEEN ON THE VERY SOUTHERN END OF ENSEMBLE CLUSTER PATHS WITH A NOTABLE SOUTHERN TREND ESTABLISHED IN EACH SUCCESSIVE ENSEMBLE MEAN FORECAST OVER THE PAST FOUR SUCCESSIVE RUNS. AS A RESULT, THE DEFORMATION "COMMA HEAD" REGION IS VERIFYING SOUTHEAST OF ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE, AND IS LARGELY CENTERED FROM THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO INTERSTATE 39. AN INTERESTING NOTE THIS MORNING IS THE CLEAR PASSAGE OF SEVERAL MESOSCALE GRAVITY WAVES THROUGH THE DEFORMATION SHIELD, WHICH WAS WELL ADVERTISED BY CAM GUIDANCE 24 HOURS AGO. EACH WAVE WAS MARKED BY A LOCAL INCREASE IN SNOWFALL RATES AND WAKE SUBSIDENCE, AS WELL AS LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS (OVER 60 MPH IN SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN).
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Buckethead replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Severe thunderstorm warning just went up with a tornado possible tag. -
Absolutely pouring in that thin line over the beltway.
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