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Totally disagree. PV is near. Still active. Time will tell. One SW timed right

Lol…And the longer range can’t shit the bed yet again…cuz that never happens lol. Really? You’re smarter than that.

Been a hell of a year for Virginia

Can tell there is elevated instability noted by the cumulus.

Next week was the real shot and that shit the bed. I know the 0ZGFS was trying to hint at something a little later, but I don’t see any model agreement showing that.

actually initializing elevated convection over the top of this newly arrived dome too - y'all may even get wet in mid NH

I can look ahead and see the pattern and know it. I’m not talking about a random fluke either. I’m not counting on that. The overall pattern looks done. And I’m not counting a sloppy inch or two that’s gone an hour later either.

Cloudy with light rain here at work in Charleston wv seems pretty cappy

Another thing to share that I thought was interesting is just as it passed to the south, every single window in the house fogged up I figured you guys would know why. But said to my wife “it’s got to be right there, we just can’t see it with the hail and wind”

NAM fail today. Already 50 here. Another nice one on tap. Let's get rid of more snow piles

I’ve never seen a forecast for a (midnight) high in the 70s with frozen precip later that same day (in this region). Not in my 24 years of tracking weather

UUFFDA!! My 1.2" yesterday, 1.7" today, and possible 6+" of snow tomorrow night is all the excitement I care for. Tor's and giant hail not my cup of tea. Cool to watch, tho. Blessings to all down there.

It’s happening. Get on the bus. Go all in. 6 inches is my baseline for uva (based on GFS and prior temp forecast)

While I hope you’re right…I want the streets cleaned up so I can keep the truck clean. There is no way you can know this..and you know it. March has 3 full weeks to go, and with Mr. PV hanging close by…it may not be over. But I do hope you are correct. Beautiful morning here…so much for the NAM getting it right today with cool and damp. What a POS.

I started our December threads so I’m down to start our possible last of the season.

another warm day on temp with sun and temps in the 60's.

It's semantics, sure ... but I just thought it was interesting. I cracked that open this morning, thinking I'd see a BD yet that's a synoptic normal front. whatever, the flow is NE and rudely steeling yesterday's joy; no one outside this social media is either aware nor gives a shit about the differences. agreed -

This cannot be happening

+28 for ORH yesterday…that’s the highest departure since April 2023. I had to go back to Jan 2020 to find one higher. Of course they’re all positives.

Regarding the lake breeze, again I’m about 2 miles north and 2 miles west of lake village The lake breeze ripped through here and dropped it to about 52 degrees with stiff north winds Around 4 o’clock the stiff lake breeze relented and we made it to about 58 degrees By around 5 o’clock when I get back from picking up my wife we were at about 64 degrees and the neighbors flag was showing winds out of the E/SE. After the tornado passed just south, and before the next rounds of storms, the humidity came back and it felt like a stormy night But just before it hit, SE winds and it wasn’t very humid or juicy feeling out Anyway, just sharing. I was glued to the weather and being outside yesterday

it's not totally alone and eps did nudge south with accums in WI, this could in fact be your moment

Whatever you want to call it…it has more momentum on the BD angle of the front. The “cold” over upstate NY gets bullied out pretty easily by the WAA push.

Seems weird. They went off for about 90 seconds right when our phones buzzed. I know you know what you are talking about, just not sure I agree with it This morning has been a trip realizing how close it was. Definitely let my guard down due to how quickly the sirens came on and then turned off

I would agree. The remnant outflow was clearly visible on satellite for a long time before the cell interacted with it. It appeared to move south for several miles and then became stationary.