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I find this typical of the backside of an arctic air mass, good radiational cooling and the winds finally decouple. My place was -8.5 this AM, but already rebounded to 27. We hovered around zero the previous couple nights with a lot more wind.

Euro is a complete debacle. Freezing line in upstate New York. Boston gets it good tho. So there’s that.

Yeah, I actually don't have a problem with it. Fits the general modal changes that are increasingly in conflict with the idea of placing amplitude in the MA to NE. There can still be aspects rippling through the field, so not intending to 'whiff' per se... just that it's within the realm of possibility with a strong -d(PNAP) in the background.

Snowy

yea theres nothing over an inch so you're gonna stick out but ill include it of course if you think its right

Mount Holly radar still down wow! Must be really really really broke

This is a good read from Forbes. Rolling Stone and other sites have a similar breakdown of the performance. What Did Bad Bunny's Halftime Show Mean? Every Cultural Reference Broken Down Bad Bunny’s Super Bowl LX halftime show was a joyful masterclass in cultural storytelling. Every element, from the opening shot to the final football spike, carried deep meaning rooted in Puerto Rican history, identity and resistance. https://www.forbes.com/sites/hannahabraham/2026/02/08/what-did-bad-bunnys-halftime-show-mean-every-cultural-reference-broken-down/

Ideally, you would have wanted a SSW to take place by mid February in order to have its effects felt in March. Nothing but bad trends across the board for the long range so far. SSW looks less likely, and long range looks like warm/wet and cold/dry. Dry begets dry, and the drought conditions continue. The residual -NAO will likely help us remain cooler relative to average but the rest of CONUS will be torching and our source region gets real warm as well.

The RDPS is beefy... but when isn't it

Not just zzzzzz. Full on coma. Open the pools.

@The 4 SeasonsI assume you meant the Feb 6-7. I had 1.1 inches and I think I was pretty much the high area for Orange County from other reports I've seen.

We still have amped huggers to clean whiffs. Really not much consensus at all

16 days today with sleet still in shady spots around the yard. I don't remember another time where it has remained for so long.

thrilling stuff

Its a total long shot but with 2 models showing snow for us, I can't jump off the bus yet.

CMC next Monday is a January 25th light version Ukie same ^^^ Euro Ai in the Carolina's and Virginia GFS sucks at everything it does

Euro AI is way south. Not sure if its still to warm for snow and ice? Or is it just rain

Yeah it’s been suppressed for many runs now

Yeah. Definitely drier than other models.

Robots are still ranging from clean whiff with EURO to a scrape with GFS

Euro AI is due east of NC too. Way south.

Primary seems to hang on too long to feel any comfort. Haven't really looked at it yet.

Euro skynet is a whiff on the 16th. Hasn’t liked this threat for several cycles.

Euro now has that band on south coast but paltry outside of that.

Those things are really, really hard to predict, aren't they?