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For the whiskey?

This is a true arctic airmass. I’m in Killington, VT currently. Wind chill got down to -20 on the mountain today. Not staying till the weekend but Saturday could get wind chills near -30. Just insane how cold it’s been, especially when you remember we’re technically still in a La Niña.

We’ve had Amex shows after the move from Eastern. But Randy only hosts shows when they get big events in DC so shows are like unicorns now.

I’m sure we’ll go north then south and by Thursday everyone will throw in the towel and by Friday night we’re back to our wishful solution

Not to steal StormyClearWeather's pet, but the 18z Ukie ensembles are acceptable to most in the forum.

Need it out ahead of the southern energy. That would be colder and less phasing. More snow to sleet for us.

Whenever it snows a ton Amtrak is a complete disaster. They either cancel the trains outright or they get delayed for an obscenely long time.

hoping that ice just keeps trending more north so we get more snow!

Give me all rain if not going to snow.

Dude it's not exactly like you're some great poster. People in glass houses shouldn't throw stones. You're like the principal everyone hates.

HH Euro is all but a statewide WSW level event. Been a minute since I can say we've had that potential.

think you're right, I was still in Waterbury so it was prior to 2014, also remember a couple in the Eastern days, very cool and exciting knowing that big dog mecs was on the way... gathering useful info from the experienced mets on here.

Models overdo ZR and ice all the time but it’s definitely going to be substantial

That’s from 10:30 am. Sorry man, I give people the benefit of the doubt. You’re clearly a troll now and should post somewhere else and get a life.

First call for the NC triangle Snow 1-4 inches Sleet 2-3 inches zr- .30 seems reasonable for my hood Look on the bright side. if you are in my hood, time off at work most def

6hr precip maps to go with this.

Ah I see what you are getting at. The STJ got active at times last winter too, and it was a La Niña with a La Niña subsurface. Point taken, It’s other factors that are driving the pattern, not ENSO. And that includes STJ activity.

I think, 2010 was when the switch was made.

lol, there are like 3 users now who are all in Dover DE and vicinity (me, Tito, and the Magnolia guy) when it used to be only 1 (or was it 2)

I prefer to wait until some model actually shows mixing to worry about mixing lol.

Definitely northerly trends by the AIFS and Euro at 18z in terms of sensible weather over the Valley. AIFS moved two counties to the north and the Euro moved four. The AIFS, after trending well south of its original solution, is back north to its original track. The trend makes sense given that over running events often trend north. The problem is ice and lots of it. If it is going to rain…we had better hope this makes another jog north into those big highs. I think big trouble is brewing if we can’t get this to warm up. It is possible that our vortex is either in a blind spot at high latitudes or got sampled better. I have nod idea which, could be additional data or the absence of data.

Latest Srefs at 84hrs

The way the trend is going, jimbos back will make a miracle healing on its own and won't need surgery.

I know all of our focus has been on tracking this event, but does everyone realize it’s only 5 degrees outside right now

last one I remember was I think late 00s/early 10s, maybe Jan 2011, but I can't recall.