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I’ve seen this song and dance too just this past winter. It ticks slightly back in our direction to give false hope only to go even further south than before in the subsequent run.
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WTF is it with golf course clubhouses burning down? This is like 5th one in last couple years. https://www.boston25news.com/news/local/raging-blaze-destroys-clubhouse-pub-popular-new-england-golf-resort/UTFUKW22INCXVH4Q2IK5N5CEV4/?outputType=amp
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Obviously everyone in the SE are on alarm watch with what could transpire over the next several days. There are several variables with the steering currents and the strength of this possible tropical system. I'd like to see a few more days of consistency with this in the models. Obviously this will be talked and analyzed a lot but that's what we do.
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2.02" Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
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Are you going to stop complaining? DendriteBlizzard2013
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Invest 94L—80% 2 day and 90% seven day odds of development
GaWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Per WxBell (may be different from others like TT): -Of the 18Z 30 GEFS/50 EPS members, I count ~25% that bring a lowest SLP of <1000 mb onto the E coast, but I see no lowest SLP <990 mb on the GEFS on land. -There do appear to be 7 EPS members that are hurricanes/<990 mb hitting. -
.66 today and .89 for the event here in 21057
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1.51” so far
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Sundog replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Ironically the northern part collapsed first lol good job HRRRRR -
Invest 94L—80% 2 day and 90% seven day odds of development
GaWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
That’s what I meant when I mentioned those scenarios. It appears the best chance for a Fujiwara to do that is for Humberto to be at a higher latitude than 94L. This is based on viewing 100s of ensemble members from different runs along with operationals. -
Charlotte stations are doing the same. The setup has alarmingly bad potential.
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18Z AI ensemble does not support its global solution to stall for a few days and then move northward.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Sundog replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
This is embarrassing -
What did the 12z have?
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How much did you get with this event the last couple of days?
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
FPizz replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Added a whopping .03 so far. Maybe some more can come through later on. -
70F./ 1.07"
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2, erry time!
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Wow. Only .86 so far up here. We should clear an inch though. It’s been a good rain for soaking in vs running off.
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I get there’s sensitivity surrounding the anniversary of Helene but… Boyer and local Mets are underplaying this.
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Glad today is out of the way and we can get back to our regularly scheduled best weather ever. Btw, where is that clown that said it was going to be 80/60 to start October? 60/20 maybe lolz...
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thekidcurtis started following Invest 94L—80% 2 day and 90% seven day odds of development
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ya colors have exploded around here
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Yea, drought turned it quickly this year. Ludlow/Okemo area had some color early Sept, they will almost certainly be past peak by then.
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Station around the corner is closing in on 3" https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KVTNORWI10?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash