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  2. 0.13 inches yesterday. Let’s see what happens later today. Soupy out there with a dew point of 74F.
  3. .99 now with the rain temporarily eased. Thunder rumbling to the south heralding the next batch.
  4. July 1-4: 85/66 +10 (Dews 70+) July 5-27: 76/53 -1 (7 mornings in the 40s)
  5. Already a quick .40” from a cell that popped right over me. Radar lighting up to the west, I think we see multiple areas of flash flooding this afternoon.
  6. HRRR bullseyes philly area now
  7. Probably... but to me thats "good news" for our severe prospects IMO. Granted we could still whiff, but 80% chance of a watch box to our north suggests to me that we are definitely in the game this afternoon for severe
  8. It looked like you were at least going to get a decent rain over there. I guess that didn’t happen. We ended up with about .60 here last night. I wasn’t sure we were going to get anything so I’m happy with that.
  9. he wasn't wrong with what he said.. and trust me far from left but lets stick to weather
  10. You’re laughing along with a strong leftist in those posts. In case you didn’t know
  11. 1997-1998 was a great example of what happens when the STJ overpowers the pattern with too much warmth. NYC only finished with 5.5 inches of snow that season. Many lows running to the Ohio Valley and then tracking very close to the area. I made a composite of the 12 heaviest precipitation days that winter. 12 heaviest precipitation storm days in NYC during DJF 1997-1998 and the storm track progression
  12. What are your thoughts for Union county ?
  13. Same amount here, but less than expected. Had to go west to get in on the action.
  14. radar looks great for here.. hopefully it doesn't die out by the time it gets here
  15. ESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1780 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1108 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...MARYLAND CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 281608Z - 281815Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...SEVERE POTENTIAL TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ONGOING WITHIN THE WARM AIR ADVECTION ZONE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO NEW ENGLAND. MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION, WHICH IS LIMITING HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION. NONETHELESS, A FEW AREAS OF MORE BROKEN CLOUD COVER HAS ALLOWED FOR FILTERED HEATING , WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO 80S ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL FLOW IS CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 30-45 KTS ACROSS THE REGION. AS FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES AND THE COLD FRONT TO WEST SHIFTS EASTWARD, THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. PRIMARY RISKS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND BUT A FEW TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS MAY POSE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO. ..THORNTON/HART.. 07/28/2026 ..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...PBZ...
  16. Picked up .59” so far for the day. See what the afternoon storms bring .
  17. We have mid 50s showing up in the forecast for a couple days this week!
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