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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Had thunder and lightning and a few drops around 2am. I woke last night to the sound of thunder"How far off?" I sat and wondered -
Sub 70 temps through June 1 on SSW/SW winds low level WAD would piss me off to no end in these pahts. Couldnt live here. Portland is often in that zone, as much as I love that city.
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Looks like the warm spots make a run on 87° today. Next chance for 80 appears to be on Sunday. The coolest temperatures relative to the means will be over the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest behind the cold fronts.
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SW wind events tend to do a lot of damage.. especially with leaves on trees
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
And since November every composite for "before an El Nino the next year" has worked out perfectly - probably the best 6 month running composite match on record. It may take a +4.0c ONI El Nino to dominate a N. Pacific low like 82-83 or 97-98 though -
Gonna be nice today except for the 50mph winds lol. Finally feels close to summer.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This El Niño just started Even JB admits it’s coming -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Decent thunder above about an hour ago. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
But the big constant-persistent N. Pacific low has gone extinct as we've gone through time. Whether that is global change or a product of the -PDO/-ENSO background state, the fact that the MEI is still negative for April tells me that the major strong Nino N. Pacific pattern may not be there that strong this year. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Got a surprise shower with some thunder a few minutes ago (4:30AM). Picked up 0.02"...lol -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Similar experience. Had a solid light & sound show for about an hour.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
My guess is we don't see a monster North Pacific low like 82-83 and 97-98, but we'll see. The "negative ENSO background state" appears to still be very strong. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
so_whats_happening replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
ONI coming in at 0.1 and MEI showing -0.6 -
Severe season skipped SNE and jumped straight to NNE tomorrow.
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The Knicks are on some kinda tear right now, jfc.
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And you know what...I do not think we have a talent problem. That's why I'd be against any rebuild. I hope they don't sell at the deadline, because there aren't that many pieces left to sell without completely starting over! You would not get much from the vets we do have (and you're not selling Alonso, lol). It's not like last year...I think we're just gonna have to stand pat while we search for a new GM.
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They're gonna have to axe Elias. I'm not sure how you justify keeping him at this point. This is all his construction and it's come out terribly, smh
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Winter 2026-2027 Speculation
Prismshine Productions replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Prediction: +2-+3.5° AN, 50-75% snowfall Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk -
Prismshine Productions started following May 2026 Obs/Discussion and Winter 2026-2027 Speculation
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Why can't we keep this pattern through August then have a cold and snowy winter Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
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Decent. Constant lightning and thunder. No hail and winds gusting to about 40 mph. Nice wrinkle during an otherwise chilly pattern.
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I was going to say this is a solid long-duration garden variety event. Then we got a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for a pretty decent looking cell just to my west. We’ll see how it holds up.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
