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  2. A discussion we can take over to the main seasonal thread, but I just wanted to state that this record is definitely in jeopardy. To reiterate the point already made in above posts, given the rate at which Edouard was organizing over a mere 24 hours, I concur that it would have become a hurricane. Formation a bit further southeast over the east-central GOM, and it may have even bombed into a major prior to landfall. Granted, the environmental conditions weren't perfect. Lingering pockets of stable airmass in the mid-levels did appear to interfere with the convective envelope at times, but shear was light, and the immediate surface temperatures prime for rapid deepening once the system mixed that out. Location of genesis and the short window of time were ultimately the most critical factors in Edouard's development.
  3. Only if they can be screamers . With no cold air this winter benchmark Rainers are not wanted . Maybe it’s the season of damaging big screamers
  4. I ended up with an impressive ~8.85” of rain in August.
  5. Detroit had 10 days of 90F, looks like they just touched 90F today for the 11th day of the year.
  6. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    mexico meds: MexiPh ~ online drugs order
  7. at least we should get some good coastals as we head into fall with El Niño
  8. 87 with a dewpoint of 73 here. Feels like a steambath out there. Hopefully we'll get an exciting t-storm a little later.
  9. I was involved in a caveat from last season…
  10. The thunderstorms that just initiated in northern pennsylvania shot up hail cores in a hurry.
  11. I suggest we rename this part of the country, The Mid StormLantic
  12. Great way to kick off met Fall with mid 90s and 105+ heat indices.
  13. DCA has been to 98. HI there and on many of the mesonet sites around that 105 mark.
  14. I would too. My gut says one will find a small area with just the right conditions and RI at least one time like Joaquin in 2015 but this current super el nino is unprecedented and it's honestly a bit naive to just assume this will behave like previous super el ninos. The distance this super el nino could be at its peak from previous record super el ninos will likely be a bigger temperature difference than all the older record supers are to average el ninos. We really have no playbook to fully understand all the intricate effects this super el nino is having on worldwide weather patterns overall at a deeper level. Nino's at this strength could make everything behave differently enough than the ones we're used to. That's why I'm slightly annoyed seeing so many people trying to forecast the upcoming winter fully confident this will play out just like other super el ninos we've had. There is nothing we can look back at for the one we're experiencing right now if it reaches its predicted peak lmao. It will be fascinating to see how differently or not it effects this hurricane season overall though. It's possible these hyper el ninos don't play any differently than previous supers but we'll see in a few years if they do or not.
  15. Texas point topped out at 50 kts sustained with gusts to just below hurricane force, 62 kts (71 mph). This storm was likely 1-2 hours away from hurricane intensity based on the rapid organization at landfall
  16. Even today, look at the models. Whether it's 850 Td or theta-e...just gets cut off near NYC. That is one thing I have noticed.
  17. At least your area had July 4th. There has been nothing river east and even over most of NNE. People are asking why the pattern has been more S and W of New England. I'll include SW CT. If I go by memory, it seems like we've had a lot of W-NW flow and this low to mid level theta-e boundary over the OH valley and at times pushing into the NYC area. So while we had some warm and humid days, the real juice has been more to the SW. Storms love higher theta-e and it can't push far to the northeast if the flow is NW-SE. We never really had a ridge flex into New England....it's been to our southwest.
  18. There's some slightly enhanced kinematics ,slightly enhanced sheer profile north of my area.
  19. 4:00pm Mucape/ Cin /lpl low-level lapse rates mid-level lapse rates.
  20. 40 kt gusting to 49 kt at Sabine Pass (buoy system)- on the beach
  21. My friends once told me that the Maroon Bells are crumbly and dangerous.
  22. Thanks for posting the official landfall. I jumped the gun lol. We’ve made it to September without a hurricane.
  23. Edouard really tried at the very end. Thank goodness it didn't have another 12-18 hrs over water.
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