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The trend over the last several model runs has been to dig the trough more SW, priming it for an earlier negative tilt. The earlier the negative tilt, the closer we get to a bigger Raleigh-Boston winter storms.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
For as much as I'd love that to verify, yes. For now at least with 0 support. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Damage In Tolland replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
We tried to tell you . You were warmer today than here lmao -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Enjoy the snow in the “county” -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
Damage In Tolland replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
We knew -
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Yep that’s where I’m at. I’d love to see things move towards a GFS solution but ultimately the same fail modes that caused the system moving in now to miss are still there. No blocking and no 50/50 means things are very progressive and flatter positive tilt is a serious risk.
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the wizards are winning 50 next year F-Boozer F-George C-Sarr G-Trae G-Trae lol
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Discount the full blown blizzard is what I meant to Snowcrazed71. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Snowcrazed71 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hmm.... Not really. But I like your analogy the best! -
Well we will probably get snow long before the wizards get a 50 win season
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Two things are for certain: 1. We need snow within the next 10 days or I think we'll all go crazy 2. @winter_warlock posts 6-words-or-less sentences, one of those words being "lol"
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Appreciating Each Other/Poster Compliments
stormtracker replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
*YOU ARE NOT PERMITTED TO VIEW THIS BOARD* -
We might need snow more than the Wizards need a 50-win season.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Then you read wrong. Its not one or the other, but possibly a compromise. See the Euro AI/GFS AI/GEFS. I wouldn't put my eggs in either the GFS OP or Euro OP runs at 12z. -
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Well you almost have to at the moment. Maybe the GFS finds a but this time. But it just shit the bed a few days ago…so for now discount it. -
Well it's like it's a tie game and Tyler loop ( the GFS model) is getting set to kick the winning field goal...
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Honestly this could trend up or down at this point but with the Euro being on the lighter side, I would tread lightly with excitement. Hopefully good things come for 18z/0z. Its hard to believe models are this bad this close to a storm and we live in 2026.
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When can we start getting NAMMED at hour 84....i thinking 6z tomorrow
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Np,.. sorry about that !
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Winning, I think…sort of…maybe…
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First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
WinterWolf replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
And ya..temps flopped big time today, 45 damp and raw with sprinkles. Nasty. -
First Legit Storm Potential of the Season Upon Us
WinterWolf replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Then LOG THE FUCK OFF. It’s that dam simple. But you’ll be right back here at 18z and 0z, complaining incessantly, so obviously you aren’t tired of this. Cuz if you were, you’d log off. What a crack pot.
