All Activity

A low here of 51 beautiful degrees at the end of June! Current temp is only 67! I know this NW wind has been dry but wow have the temps been very cool.

TBH, I hope it does setup right over the mid-South and we end up on the eastern periphery. You could bet we would get some EML plumes advecting in at times along with some MCS opportunities...but yeah that all may get shunted towards the mid-Atlantic

models doing manufacturing physical reasons to shunt tho -

The heat and humidity is coming...buckle up, settle in, and enjoy.

Bandwidth throttle with acatt on hiatus

No sh*t. It's also fair to point out that there were far fewer records from the stations with long periods of record. Both things can be true.

Same here since this morning.. got 4 cloudflare 502 error message in past 10 minutes. Says bad gateway and that the problem is with the host website @dendrite

mm.. I think the 12z GFS is on crack with that west atl cut-off out of now where like that. 00z CMC was an outlier with a sharply back calving trough too, so we'll have to see. we were slated for a 2 days of significant heat until this run, tho. Euro's never been on board. Looks like this trying to miss NE a least excuse imaginable. Again...while the rest of the world broils to 2nd place i hottest ever. Wonder when cold enthusiasts around here will stop getting jerked off

Let's save it for the winter.

The EPS and AIFS all are on board for Heat. Euro op all alone

Records: Highs: EWR: 103 (2025) NYC: 99 (2025) LGA: 101 (2025) JFK: 102 (2025) Lows: EWR: 49 (1932) NYC: 52 (1932) LGA: 53 (1947) JFK: 54 (1965) Historical: 1816 - The cold weather of early June finally gave way to several days of 90 degree heat in Massachusetts, including a reading of 99 degrees at Salem. (David Ludlum) 1924 - Six men at a rock quarry south of Winston-Salem, NC, sought shelter from a thunderstorm. The structure chosen contained a quantity of dynamite. Lightning struck a near-by tree causing the dynamite to explode. The men were killed instantly. (The Weather Channel) 1946: 11.72 inches of rain fell at Mellen, WI during a 24 hour period. This is the greatest 24-hour precipitation total ever recorded in the state. There was flooding on the Bad and White Rivers. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1951 - Twelve inches of hail broke windows and roofs, and dented automobiles, causing more than fourteen million dollars damage. The storm plowed 200 miles from Kingmand County KS into Missouri, with the Wichita area hardest hit. It was the most disastrous hailstorm of record for the state of Kansas. (David Ludlum) 1952 - Thunderstorms produced a swath of hail 60 miles long and 3.5 miles wide through parts of Hand, Beadle, Kingsbury, Miner and Jerauld counties in South Dakota. Poultry and livestock were killed, and many persons were injured. Hail ten inches in circumference was reported at Huron SD. (The Weather Channel) 1957: On the basis of meteorological data and a radio report from a shrimp boat, the Weather Bureau in New Orleans issued the first advisory on a tropical depression in the Bay of Campeche at 10:30pm. The depression was located 300 miles south of Brownsville, TX. The storm would become Hurricane Audrey, moving northward over the next three days and striking near the Louisiana/Texas border causing extreme damage and loss of life. 1957: Palm Springs, CA hit 121°, equaling their highest temperature for June (6/26/1957 & 6/29/1994). 1960: A tornado at Schenectady, NY destroyed 16 homes with over 300 homes suffering major damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1967: Sheridan, WY fell to 32°, their latest freeze on record; the high temperature the previous day was only 47°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1975: An Eastern Airlines Boeing 727 crashed at JFK airport in New York City. 113 of the 124 people on board the aircraft died. Researcher Theodore Fujita studied the incident and discovered that the crash was caused by a microburst. His research lead to improved air safety. The tower never experienced the microburst, which was held back by a seabreeze front. The plane crashed 2,400 feet short of the runway. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1980: Not even a desert location. For 11 straight days (6/24 - /05) Wichita Falls, TX, set daily record high temperatures; 7 days had highs greater or equal to 113 degrees. Its all-time record high of 117 degrees was set on the 28th, and its all-time record high low of 85 degrees was set on 7/02. 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes in eastern Colorado. Baseball size hail was reported near Yoder, CO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 92 mph derailed a train near Pratt, KS. The town of Gould, OK, was soaked with nearly an inch and a half of rain in just ten minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Forty-three cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Valentine NE reported an all-time record high of 110 degrees, and highs of 102 degrees at Casper, WY, 103 degrees at Reno, NV, and 106 degrees at Winnemucca, NV, were records for the month of June. Highs of 98 degrees at Logan, UT, and 109 degrees at Rapid City, SD, equalled June records. Lightning killed twenty-one cows near Conway, SC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from Colorado and New Mexico to Kansas and Nebraska. Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes, and produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Wood River, NE, and hail three inches in diameter at Wheeler, KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1991: 3.50 inches of rain fell in 28 minutes at Scranton, ND. There were also 1.5 foot drifts of marble size hail. Front end loaders were needed to clear the streets. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1992: A tropical depression in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico produced periods of heavy rainfall over southwest and west central Florida from this date through the 30th. Four-day rainfall totals (25th-28th) of as much as 25 inches were recorded, with 8 to 14 inches common. 70 homes were destroyed by floodwaters, and the combination of winds, waves and tides led to significant beach erosion and undermining of seawalls in some locations. Two flood-related deaths occurred on the 29th - a man drowned in his flooded front yard in Manatee County and a man was crushed to death between two gasoline storage tanks dislodged by floodwaters at an auto service shop in Charlotte County. All-time record flood crest on the 29th at Myakka St. Park on the Myakka River. Flood waters did not fully recede in some areas until the end of June. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1996: A woman was checking the circuit breaker box in her garage when lightning struck. The ensuing power surge slammed the woman against a vehicle, knocking her unconscious for a short period of time.(Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History) 1996: Severe weather pounded much of the Mid Atlantic Coast with Washington, DC especially hard hit. Numerous reports of tornadoes, funnel clouds, damaging winds, large hail and heavy rain were reported. Tornadoes were reported in Upperville, Middleburg, Manassas, Centreville and Fairfax City, VA. There were numerous reports of downed trees and damage to structures across Northern Virginia and the Eastern Shore area of Maryland. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1997: Charleston, WV, finally hit 90° for the first time this year. The last 90-degree day was back on 5/19/1996, totaling 400 days in which it stayed below 90°. That is their longest stretch this century between 90 degree days. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1998: In Grayson County, VA about 3.5 miles northeast of Whitetop, at 5:15 pm, Three youths were injured by lightning. (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History) 1998: An unusually damaging wind event occurred during the late night and early morning hours in southwestern Iowa. Winds were sustained at 30-50 mph for over an hour at several locations, including Creston, Shenandoah, Clarinda and Red Oak, IA. Shenandoah, IA reported a gust to 80 mph. Two factors are surmised to have caused the event. First, light showers had moved through the area left lots of hot, dry air aloft between 4,000-10,000 feet. When rain fell through the dry air, it cooled, which made it heavier and resulted in strong downdrafts and high winds. Secondly, winds between 600-5,000 feet were quite strong and the momentum of these winds dropped to the surface causing higher winds. The wind event was accompanied by dramatic rises in temperature. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2003: A large F4 tornado destroyed the community of Manchester, SD. It was part of a swarm of nearly 60 tornadoes that touched down across eastern South Dakota. An armored camera placed in the path of the tornado by the National Geographic Society was blown nearly 500 feet and destroyed. Very little usable video was recorded. Meanwhile, researcher Tim Samaras deployed a measurement probe just 70 seconds before the twister struck it. The probe measured a pressure drop of 100 millibars, the largest ever recorded. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2010: The maximum temperature today at the Richmond International Airport was 102 °F which not only broke the record high temperature for the date, but was close to the 104 °F record maximum for the month of June set in 1952. Only three June days have been hotter: (June 30, 1937 103 °F) (June 19, 1944 103 °F) (June 26, 1952 104 °F ) June 2010 also had 19 days of 90 °F or hotter temperatures the record was 20 in 1943. The Richmond International Airport reported the mean temperature for June was 81.1 °F which was a new 113 year record. This breaks the old record of 79.2 °F set in 1943 and was a +8.7 °F departure from average. June had 8 new daily temperature records and all were for heat. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC) 2011: The 2011 Souris River flood in Minot, already predicted to be the biggest in recorded history, was predicted Thursday to get even bigger. According to the latest estimate, there will be some 29,000 cfs moving through Minot by Saturday (Ref. Grand Forks Herald Newspaper) 2016: June 22-24. Part of a severe weather outbreak that produced over two dozen tornadoes from Illinois to West Virginia, up to 10 inches of rain fell in just 12-24 hours on June 23, setting off West Virginia's third deadliest flood. Twenty-three people lost their lives. 2025: marked one of the most intense heat events ever recorded across the New York City metropolitan area as a historic heat dome pushed temperatures to record and near-record levels. Newark reached 103°F, JFK hit 102°F, LaGuardia climbed to 101°F, and Central Park officially reached 99°F, with all sites setting daily records and several establishing or tying their hottest June temperatures ever observed. The extreme heat was accompanied by unusually warm overnight lows, making it one of the most oppressive heat waves in modern regional weather history.

1. The Euro doesn’t peak before Dec, with a record RONI monthly of +3.1 in Dec vs current monthly record of +2.7 (1982): 2. But the CFS peaks earlier (in Nov) also way up at record levels for RONI of +3.2C. But then afterward, the CFS has by far the fastest cooling on record (I’m taking with a grain, especially because it’s the unreliable CFS) with it plunging to only +2.0 in Jan and +1.5 in Feb: 3. Due to a tendency for models to be a bit too warm with forecasts this far out, it wouldn’t surprise me if the actual RONI monthlies peak in the high +2s instead of low +3s. However, with the record warmest RONI month of only +2.7, a record warmest RONI is likely as of now.

Yeah, severe t-storm watch and then couldn't even see any storms from here. Today looks a little less hazy, I think.

Upper 50's @ noon with some light showers moving through over this way. Cool and damp. Looking forward to a real taste of summer next week.

WB 12Z model runs: note GFS has rain coming in Friday evening; RRFS and 12K NAM are nothing burgers (not shown); Canadian on board;

yeah I think saturday is overdone and will end up cloudy and mostly dry

0.79" out here. Models were showing around 0.80", so right in line with expectations. Beautiful day today and weekend looking better as well

There’s definitely a weakness there with the ridge axis that far west to sneak some north Atlantic stank our way. 00z euro op is definitely a way to taint the heat in our region…like you said. With that said…the ridging won out in early June so I won’t buy that yet. But we’ll be prone to backdoors or at least late digging s/w’s north of us that at least bring the dews down and moderate the heat. I’ve actually been enjoying the last few days. As long as mins are well into the 50s I’m okay with daytime 70s…even for my heat loving plants.

That was definitely cheesy...and the trailing car getting sucked away...reminded me of when you would get sucked up by that sun in Super Mario 3

I'm not too keen on persistent heat in the NEUS. 00Z ECMWF says no go. The ridge axis is well to the W so that makes NEUS susceptible to BDFs/onshore flow/more clouds/pcpn. GFS says yes to big heat tho but even that suggests it won't last. Mean trough position near/along the E Coast has been tough to shake overall.

This outlook may turn into TP for the Midwest and Lakes.

From Facebook: ** RING OF FIRE PATTERN ** Who's ready for the 'ring of fire' pattern next week? A large heat dome will set up in the Ohio Valley, bringing in the high heat and humidity. Even though we will be on the edge of this heat, we will still have temperatures and humidity levels push well above average, with dew points likely into the 70s (oppressive) range. Depending on the exact position of this high-pressure system, we may also be in the axis for storm clusters to move around this ridge of high pressure, which gives this the name 'ring of fire'. These storm clusters will need to be watched, as they will be moving into areas of very high instability and elevated wind shear. It is possible that if this ridge expands, it would push the storm complexes more into New England than into Pennsylvania. Regardless, next week will be rather active between the heat and storm potential! #PAwx #Pennsylvania #June #July #Summer #HeatDome

everyone is tracking the extreme heat dome in Europe

I would like to see the airshow in Baltimore on Sunday and go to the National Zoo on Saturday. I vote for delaying it two days!