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We hiked it on Sunday with the dog. A guy blew past us carrying his telemark skis on the way up, eager to get on the remaining snow.
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77/56
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Outflow boundaries from the morning MCS should make things fun, too.
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On the south shore of LI warmest its been here is 77.8°F which I hit earlier today around 11am. Sea breeze is capping my temp from going any warmer. Been hovering around 76-77 for the past hour or so
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80° is too warm. 50 is too cold. I'm turning into a cranky old fuk
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80.2
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it's a sup day, even around here.
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Yup.. exactly . Running a sprinkler merely wets the top soil . Need rain to prevent fert burn . How many lawns have we seen over the years where the landscapers drop fert, and then it doesn’t rain for a week plus and bakes in the high sun angle. By then the damage to the lawn for the summer is done and they are torched and/ or die in many spots. By the same token don’t want an inch in a heavy downpour in 10 minutes . It’s tricky
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Good point, guess I was more so referring to sups but yes models have been consistent in showing that. Definitely some touch and go to it. 15z HRRR wants to fire a mean storm over N Lasalle Co around 00z, so first hints of maybe some more initiation in NE IL.
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I'd worry though about a heavy thunderstorm washing it away vs throwing some hose water on it right now.
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2026-2027 El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There still seemed to be some Nina like influence that year though. December was mild like you would expect in a Nino but it came with Nina like tendencies which made the east very warm that month. 2014 seems like the last Nino that really had the classic summer to winter progression IMO. -
i'm with kev on this, you don't want to rely on irrigation to get the fert into the soil - you want actual rain, more than a 1/4 inch. that's a lot of water, and relying on a well in a steiny pattern is risky
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
One thing is for sure, the STJ is going to be on roids. The PMM has gone severely positive. Combine that with a strong/super El Niño and watch out -
Looking at some initial signs for next winter JAMSTEC April update includes first DEC-FEB forecast.
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beer?
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We get bowing segment remnants from nw il and s wi sups
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Snow in May...? May see some flakes early next week. I have no desire for A/C weather. Have not turned it on yet, but may need to this week. The polar vortex split attempt (wave-2) that occurred back in early Feb will significantly impact our large-scale wx pattern in late Apr & May as the circulation & temperature anomalies from it propagate into the troposphere, leading to increased high-latitude blocking (-NAO/-AO) https://x.com/webberweather/status/2042246921671336290?
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Another thing to consider is the dry ground almost coast to coast. May add some warmth to those numbers unless it turns wet. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/
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Ya cuz water from your well/reservoir, and water from the sky are different…? It’ll due in a pinch... put the stuff down.
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news to me
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That doesn’t water in fertilizer .
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Do you own a hose or sprinkler?
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With how warm it has been since early March, I'm surprised there were still spots that hadn't reached 80 yet this year. My first 80 was March 10. While a Greenland block means cold May, I highly doubt a -2 to -4 monthly temperature is going to verify. Keep in mind, May 2023 came in at -1.5 and June 2023 at -2.6 at PHL, compared to 1981-2020 normals. We haven't seen that cold at that time of the season since 1985. If this verifies, it would be the coldest at this time of the season in over 4 decades. Probably not going to happen.
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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80 here
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Thanks guys! Both of those are great.
